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Anhui Ronds Science & Technology Incorporated (688768) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 4.7B CNY

AR Anhui Ronds Science & Technology Incorporated 688768 · SHG
Price¥45.68
Fair Value¥16.71
Upside-63.4%
Quality52/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.7% net margin
generates free cash flow
0.57% dividend yield
Trails peers (1/13)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range ¥13.27 – ¥20.26 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥17.71 to ¥16.71 (−5.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +4.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥20.26). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥99.38 ¥19.07 Fair Value ¥16.71 Jul 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥19.07 – ¥99.38 · fair‑value band ¥13.27 – ¥20.26 · the ¥45.68 price screens above the ¥16.71 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Anhui Ronds Science & Technology Incorporated (688768) currently trades at ¥45.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.71, implying the stock looks roughly 63.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui Ronds Science & Technology Incorporated generated revenue of 633M CNY at a net margin of 10.7%. Revenue declined 15.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 260M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥13.27 (bear case) to ¥20.26 (bull case); at ¥45.68, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -63%, 688768 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥10.21 ¥10.82 ¥11.73 76
Growth DCF ¥11.87 ¥20.72 ¥37.03 72
Gordon GGM ¥3.79 ¥7.55 ¥11.44 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥12.37 ¥19.07 ¥37.78 38
Owner Earnings ¥15.70 ¥32.43 ¥66.26 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥10.51 ¥17.62 ¥31.41 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.12 ¥21.09 ¥37.46 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥14.87 ¥29.36 ¥48.08 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥10.74 ¥19.49 ¥29.73 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.14 ¥22.47 ¥41.16 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥14.04 ¥27.56 ¥50.95 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥6.48 ¥45.22 ¥63.46 54
Lynch FV ¥13.47 ¥19.24 ¥25.02 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥13.47 ¥19.24 ¥25.02 46
EPV ¥8.65 ¥9.71 ¥10.62 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.79 ¥7.55 ¥11.44 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.79 ¥6.53 ¥7.97 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥14.30 ¥19.07 ¥23.84 63
P/S Multiple ¥12.16 ¥16.21 ¥20.26 58
P/B Multiple ¥12.16 ¥16.21 ¥20.26 55
EV/EBIT ¥13.01 ¥16.70 ¥20.39 53
EV/EBITDA ¥12.26 ¥15.70 ¥19.14 54
EV/Revenue ¥9.40 ¥12.60 ¥15.80 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.27 ¥8.41 ¥12.55 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥11.87 ¥20.72 ¥37.03 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥10.51 ¥18.58 ¥30.61 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥10.21 ¥10.82 ¥11.73 76
ROIC Compounder ¥8.65 ¥9.71 ¥10.62 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥18.00 ¥25.72 ¥33.43 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥25.72) versus Dividend Discount (¥6.53). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 633M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -15.2%
Net margin 10.7%
Return on equity 6.4%
Free cash flow 61.5M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 69.5
More key figures
Operating margin -44.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.7700
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -64.1%
Net cash 260M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Anhui Ronds Science & Technology Incorporated Company provides solutions for machinery condition monitoring in the predictive maintenance field in China. Its main products are industrial equipment condition monitoring and fault diagnosis systems.

Full company description

Anhui Ronds Science & Technology Incorporated Company provides solutions for machinery condition monitoring in the predictive maintenance field in China. Its main products are industrial equipment condition monitoring and fault diagnosis systems. The company offers hardware products, such as sensors, acquisition equipment, and auxiliary equipment; software covering supercare equipment intelligent operation and maintenance platform and iEAM intelligent equipment management system; and a Rongzhi Zhiwei app for the enterprise's daily maintenance and management needs for industrial equipment. It also provides software research and development, intelligent diagnosis, cloud services, etc. The company serves the wind power, petrochemical, metallurgical, cement, mining, thermal power, paper making, cement, water treatment plant, and coal chemical industries. It also exports its products to Europe, South America, North America, Southeast Asia, and other regions. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Hefei, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Anhui Ronds Science & Technology Incorporated reported revenue of ¥646M in FY2025 versus ¥397M in FY2021, a compound +12.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥83.9M in FY2025, compounding +0.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
646M CNY
Latest YoY
+10.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+19.6%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+26.2%
Revenue +12.9%/yr
FY21 ¥397M
FY22 ¥547M
FY23 ¥498M
FY24 ¥584M
FY25 ¥646M
Net income +0.8%/yr
FY21 ¥81.2M
FY22 ¥116M
FY23 ¥62.7M
FY24 ¥108M
FY25 ¥83.9M

688768 screens 63% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anhui Ronds Science & Technology Incorporated Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688768

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 480 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −63% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -45% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -15% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 69.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.27× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.44× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 11.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 64.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 20
FUTURE 0 · sector 29
PAST 25 · sector 36
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 11 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.92 $143.90 -39%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 250.95 MXN -90%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,457 +26%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,204 ₹1,230 +2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹178.43 ₹226.81 +27%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,455 ₹1,086 -25%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 199,300 KRW 196,390 KRW -1%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,059 ₹2,364 -53%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 393,000 KRW 133,088 KRW -66%
Coforge Limited COFORGE ₹1,541 ₹702.84 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Anhui Ronds Science & Technology Incorporated (688768) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥16.71 versus a price of ¥45.68, about −63% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688768?
Our model-based fair value for Anhui Ronds Science & Technology Incorporated is ¥16.71 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥45.68.
What is the quality score of 688768?
Anhui Ronds Science & Technology Incorporated has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Anhui Ronds Science & Technology Incorporated (688768)?
Anhui Ronds Science & Technology Incorporated reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 633M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688768?
The net profit margin of Anhui Ronds Science & Technology Incorporated is about 10.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Anhui Ronds Science & Technology Incorporated pay a dividend?
Anhui Ronds Science & Technology Incorporated currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.57% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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