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China Information Technology Development Ltd (8178) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of China Information Technology Development Ltd HK$0.50, price HK$0.20, upside +155.0%, quality 23 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · HK · ISIN KYG215501357

CI Thin data Sep 24, 2026

China Information Technology Development Ltd

8178 · HK

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value HK$0.4973 · Strongly undervalued (+155%)
!Quality 23/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.5 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/7)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$3.68 HK$0.1081 Fair Value HK$0.4973 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1081 – HK$3.68 · fair‑value band HK$0.3716 – HK$0.7432 · the HK$0.1950 price screens below the HK$0.4973 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

China Information Technology Development Limited, an investment holding company, provides system integration and related support services in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China.

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China Information Technology Development Limited, an investment holding company, provides system integration and related support services in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Provision of IT Infrastructure Solutions and Maintenance Services (IT Solutions and Maintenance); Securities investments; and Rental of Properties segments. It offers software development, system integration, technical support, and maintenance services; IT infrastructure solutions; and office management services. The company is also involved in sale of computer hardware and software; rental of properties; securities trading; big data application activities; provision of telecommunications consultancy, cloud services, managed IT services, support consultancy, and intelligent retail system services; and assets acquisition, and management and consultancy services. The company was formerly known as Xteam Software International Limited. China Information Technology Development Limited was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

China Information Technology Development Ltd (8178) currently trades at HK$0.1950, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4973, implying the stock looks roughly 60.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.3716 (bear) to HK$0.7432 (bull), the price of HK$0.1950 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

China Information Technology Development Ltd reported revenue of HK$34.5M in FY2025 versus HK$66.1M in FY2021, a compound −15.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$99.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$20.9M (≈ $2.7M) · P/S ratio 0.61 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.7600 · Net margin −289% · Return on equity −48.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.2% · Operating margin −283% · Revenue (TTM) HK$34.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 92% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 53% fair-value upside, at 155%, 8178 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.3716 Fair Value HK$0.4973 Bull HK$0.7432
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.7700 HK$1.03 HK$1.53 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.7700 HK$1.03 HK$1.53 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−16.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.2% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−43.7% (2020) → −124.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 498 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +155% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −36% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.17× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 45
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 36
HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 43

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $227.06 $186.56 −18%
Accenture plc ACN $183.52 $305.06 +66%
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS ₹2,090 ₹2,993 +43%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,021 ₹1,690 +66%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,257 ₹1,926 +53%
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc FIS $34.67 $32.47 −6%
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation CTSH $59.14 $132.01 +123%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹164.90 ₹287.90 +75%
CDW Corporation CDW $146.16 $162.00 +11%
Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc BR $163.45 $145.34 −11%

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HK$0.4973 +61%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Information Technology Development Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8178

Frequently asked questions

Is China Information Technology Development Ltd (8178) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4973 versus a price of HK$0.1950, about +155% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8178?
Our model-based fair value for China Information Technology Development Ltd is HK$0.4973 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1950.
What is the quality score of 8178?
China Information Technology Development Ltd has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Information Technology Development Ltd (8178)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.4973 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.3716, optimistic scenario HK$0.7432. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Information Technology Development Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.4973, about +155% upside versus a price of HK$0.1950 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.3716, optimistic scenario HK$0.7432. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Information Technology Development Ltd (8178)?
China Information Technology Development Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$34.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Information Technology Development Ltd (8178)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Information Technology Development Ltd it is HK$0.4973 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1950. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Information Technology Development Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 8178 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1950, fair value HK$0.4973, a gap of about +155% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8178?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1950); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.4973). For China Information Technology Development Ltd the two are HK$0.3023 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Information Technology Development Ltd worth?
The market values China Information Technology Development Ltd at about HK$20.9M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1950; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.4973 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8178?
Our models span a range for China Information Technology Development Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.3716, base HK$0.4973, optimistic HK$0.7432 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$0.1950). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Information Technology Development Ltd (8178)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Information Technology Development Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −48.3%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 23/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8178 from its 52-week high?
China Information Technology Development Ltd trades at HK$0.1950, about 92% below its 52-week high of HK$2.36 and 23% above the low of HK$0.1580 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.4973 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Information Technology Development Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Information Technology Development Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$0.1950, calculated fair value HK$0.4973 (+155%), Quality Score 23/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8178 calculated?
We run China Information Technology Development Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.4973, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. China Information Technology Development Ltd currently trades 155 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Information Technology Development Ltd (8178)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$0.1950. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.4973, about +155% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Information Technology Development Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (23/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.3716). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.3716 to HK$0.7432) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of China Information Technology Development Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China Information Technology Development Ltd (8178)?
The market capitalisation of China Information Technology Development Ltd is HK$20.9M (≈ $2.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Information Technology Development Ltd (8178)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Information Technology Development Ltd is 0.61 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Information Technology Development Ltd (8178)?
Earnings per share at China Information Technology Development Ltd are HK$−0.7600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of China Information Technology Development Ltd (8178)?
The net margin of China Information Technology Development Ltd is −289% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Information Technology Development Ltd (8178)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Information Technology Development Ltd is −48.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Information Technology Development Ltd (8178)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Information Technology Development Ltd is −8.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Information Technology Development Ltd (8178)?
The operating margin of China Information Technology Development Ltd is −283% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Information Technology Development Ltd (8178)?
Revenue at China Information Technology Development Ltd is growing −36.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does China Information Technology Development Ltd (8178) generate?
The free cash flow of China Information Technology Development Ltd is −HK$22.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Information Technology Development Ltd (8178) carry?
The net debt of China Information Technology Development Ltd is HK$49.0M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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