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China Digital Video Holdings (8280) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$67.4M

CD China Digital Video Holdings 8280 · HK
PriceHK$0.1000
Fair ValueHK$0.5900
Upside+490.0%
Quality66/100
Weak Growth
Loss-making · -70.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (5/8)
Narrow moat 21/100
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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.4000 – HK$0.7900 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price −11.5% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.4000). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.4000 to HK$0.7900) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$0.1190 HK$0.0520 Fair Value HK$0.5900 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.0520 – HK$0.1190 · fair‑value band HK$0.4000 – HK$0.7900 · the HK$0.1000 price screens below the HK$0.5900 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

China Digital Video Holdings (8280) currently trades at HK$0.1000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5900, implying the stock looks roughly 490.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Digital Video Holdings generated revenue of HK$50.5M at a net margin of -70.9%. Revenue declined 33.2% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$37.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.4000 (bear case) to HK$0.7900 (bull case); at HK$0.1000, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -39% fair-value upside, at 490%, 8280 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$50.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) -33.2%
Net margin -70.9%
Return on equity -62,712%
Free cash flow HK$60.0M FY2024
Operating margin 14.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0300
Net debt HK$37.4M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100
Profitability 7
Quality Growth 75
Cashflow 100
Fin. Strength 33
Investment 100
Low Volatility 50
Momentum 95
52W Momentum 86
Net Issuance 82

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China Digital Video Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, researches, develops, and sells video-related and broadcasting equipment and software to TV broadcasters, new media operators, and other digital video content providers in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

China Digital Video Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, researches, develops, and sells video-related and broadcasting equipment and software to TV broadcasters, new media operators, and other digital video content providers in the People's Republic of China. It also provides related technical services, including CreaStudio, a multi-camera recording and editing service used by entertainment TV shows to produce and operate media content. The company was formerly known as China Digital Video Limited. China Digital Video Holdings Limited was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

China Digital Video Holdings reported revenue of HK$135M in FY2024 versus HK$312M in FY2020, a compound −19.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$28.0M in FY2024.

Revenue −19.0%/yr
FY20 HK$312M
FY21 HK$250M
FY22 HK$260M
FY23 HK$146M
FY24 HK$135M
Net income
FY20 −HK$69.1M
FY21 −HK$148M
FY22 −HK$111M
FY23 −HK$147M
FY24 −HK$28.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Digital Video Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8280

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 10
FUTURE 0 / 11
PAST 0 / 0
HEALTH 100 / 98
DIVIDEND 0 / 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.77 C$2.96 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS C$11.30 C$7.61 -33%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $26.23 $4.82 -82%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $160.07 $45.60 -72%
Universal Music Group UMG €18.31 €14.78 -19%
TKO Group TKO $203.49 $123.61 -39%
Fox Corporation FOXC34 R$253.26 R$209.88 -17%
News Corporation N1WS35 R$71.61 R$15.60 -78%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 4.93 MXN -91%
Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 ¥11.64 ¥15.21 +31%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Digital Video Holdings (8280) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.5900 versus a price of HK$0.1000, about +490% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8280?
Our model-based fair value for China Digital Video Holdings is HK$0.5900 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1000.
What is the quality score of 8280?
China Digital Video Holdings has a Quality Score of 66/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of China Digital Video Holdings (8280)?
China Digital Video Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$50.5M (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8280?
The net profit margin of China Digital Video Holdings is about -70.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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