Kinetix Systems Holdings Ltd (8606) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · HK · Market cap HK$75.2M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0394 to HK$0.0514 (+30.6%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +10.4% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from HK$0.0461 (bear) to HK$0.0567 (bull), base HK$0.0514. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 53/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0450 – HK$1.74 · fair‑value band HK$0.0461 – HK$0.0567 · the HK$0.0530 price screens above the HK$0.0514 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Kinetix Systems Holdings Ltd (8606) currently trades at HK$0.0530, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0514, implying the stock looks roughly 3.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Kinetix Systems Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$393M at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue grew 15.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$40.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0461 (bear case) to HK$0.0567 (bull case); at HK$0.0530, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -3%, 8606 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.1700) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0200). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kinetix Systems Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides information technology (IT) services in Hong Kong, Macau, Singapore, the People's Republic of China, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: IT Infrastructure Solutions Services, IT Development Solutions Services, IT Maintenance and Support Services segments.
Full company description
Kinetix Systems Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides information technology (IT) services in Hong Kong, Macau, Singapore, the People's Republic of China, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: IT Infrastructure Solutions Services, IT Development Solutions Services, IT Maintenance and Support Services segments. The company offers IT infrastructure solutions services to clients by advising them the hardware and/or software that their IT systems would require and procuring the relevant hardware and/or software and integrating them with client's IT systems. It also provides IT development solutions services, including system analysis and design, software development, and technology consultancy services; and IT maintenance and support services. In addition, the company provides entertainment products and human resources services. It serves private and public sectors, including government agencies, banks and financial institutions, and technology and media companies, as well as transportation and logistics firms, etc. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kinetix Systems Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$393M in FY2025 versus HK$254M in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$2.5M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 490 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $235.98 | $175.76 | -26% |
| Accenture plc ACNN | 2,460 MXN | 300.07 MXN | -88% |
| Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS | ₹2,350 | ₹3,473 | +48% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,176 | ₹1,998 | +70% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,365 | ₹1,722 | +26% |
| Wipro Limited WIPRO | ₹183.94 | ₹314.26 | +71% |
| Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM | ₹1,625 | ₹1,521 | -6% |
| Samsung SDS Co 018260 | 235,500 KRW | 235,321 KRW | -0% |
| Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT | ₹5,474 | ₹3,259 | -40% |
| Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 | 433,000 KRW | 186,323 KRW | -57% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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