8645 (8645) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · Market cap HK$235M

8 8645 8645 · HK

PriceHK$0.3100

Fair ValueHK$0.0700

Upside-77.4%

Quality42/100

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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0400 – HK$0.1000

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated today

Share price −24.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.3100 – HK$0.8600 · fair‑value band HK$0.0400 – HK$0.1000 · the HK$0.3100 price screens above the HK$0.0700 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

8645 (8645) currently trades at HK$0.3100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0700 — implying the stock looks roughly 77.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, 8645 generated revenue of HK$314M at a net margin of -3.8%. Revenue grew 27.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$21.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$314M

Revenue growth (YoY) +27.6%

Net margin -3.8%

Return on equity -17.3%

Free cash flow −HK$13.7M FY2025

Operating margin -11.3%

More key figures

EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0100

EPS growth (YoY) +6,637%

Net cash HK$21.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

8645 reported revenue of HK$270M in FY2025 versus HK$62.2M in FY2021, a compound +44.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$10.5M in FY2025.

Revenue +44.4%/yr

FY21 HK$62.2M

FY22 HK$96.0M

FY23 HK$122M

FY24 HK$99.9M

FY25 HK$270M

Net income

FY21 −HK$4.0M

FY22 −HK$32.5M

FY23 HK$18.6M

FY24 −HK$26.8M

FY25 −HK$10.5M

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Similar stocks

6 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM	$272.36	$174.70	-36%
Accenture plc ACN	$178.86	$228.49	+28%
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS	₹2,199	₹1,863	-15%
Infosys Limited INFY	₹1,065	₹15.23	-99%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH	₹1,155	₹1,220	+6%
Fiserv, Inc FISV	930.00 MXN	109.65 MXN	-88%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 8645 (8645) undervalued?

As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0700 versus a price of HK$0.3100 — about −77% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 8645?

Our model-based fair value for 8645 is HK$0.0700 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.3100.

What is the quality score of 8645?

8645 has a Quality Score of 42/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 8645 (8645)?

8645 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$314M (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 8645?

The net profit margin of 8645 is about -3.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.