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Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$235M

NT Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd 8645 · HK
PriceHK$0.3400
Fair ValueHK$0.0510
Upside-85.0%
Quality45/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -3.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0340 – HK$0.0680 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +25.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 85% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0680). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0340 to HK$0.0680) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.55 HK$0.1260 Fair Value HK$0.0510 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1260 – HK$1.55 · fair‑value band HK$0.0340 – HK$0.0680 · the HK$0.3400 price screens above the HK$0.0510 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645) currently trades at HK$0.3400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0510, implying the stock looks roughly 85.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$314M at a net margin of -3.8%. Revenue grew 27.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$21.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0340 (bear case) to HK$0.0680 (bull case); at HK$0.3400, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -85%, 8645 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM HK$0.0300 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0300 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0600 61
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 HK$0.1000 50
All 4 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$0.0700 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1600 31
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0300 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0300 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0600 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 HK$0.1000 50

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.1000) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0600). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$314M
Revenue growth (YoY) +27.6%
Net margin -3.8%
Return on equity -17.3%
Free cash flow −HK$13.7M FY2025
Operating margin -11.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) +6,637%
Net cash HK$21.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 6
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Byte Metaverse Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of network support services in Malaysia and the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Network Support Services and Network Connectivity Services; E-Commerce; and Online Game IP Authorization Management segments.

Full company description

Byte Metaverse Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of network support services in Malaysia and the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Network Support Services and Network Connectivity Services; E-Commerce; and Online Game IP Authorization Management segments. It offers network support services, such as network infrastructure design and hardware installation, and network management and security services; network connectivity services, including intranet and internet connectivity solutions, and value-added services; and online game IP authorization management services. The company was formerly known as Michong Metaverse (China) Holdings Group Limited and changed its name to Byte Metaverse Holdings Limited in March 2024. Byte Metaverse Holdings Limited was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$270M in FY2025 versus HK$62.2M in FY2021, a compound +44.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$10.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$270M
Latest YoY
+170.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+41.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+34.6%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.3%
Revenue +44.4%/yr
FY21 HK$62.2M
FY22 HK$96.0M
FY23 HK$122M
FY24 HK$99.9M
FY25 HK$270M
Net income
FY21 −HK$4.0M
FY22 −HK$32.5M
FY23 HK$18.6M
FY24 −HK$26.8M
FY25 −HK$10.5M

8645 screens 85% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8645

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 490 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 28% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.41× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 33
FUTURE 100 · sector 30
PAST 0 · sector 35
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 32 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.98 $175.76 -26%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 300.07 MXN -88%
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS ₹2,350 ₹3,473 +48%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,176 ₹1,998 +70%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,365 ₹1,722 +26%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹183.94 ₹314.26 +71%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,625 ₹1,521 -6%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 235,500 KRW 235,321 KRW -0%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,474 ₹3,259 -40%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 433,000 KRW 186,323 KRW -57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0510 versus a price of HK$0.3400, about −85% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8645?
Our model-based fair value for Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0510 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.3400.
What is the quality score of 8645?
Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645)?
Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$314M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8645?
The net profit margin of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd is about -3.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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