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Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd HK$0.04, price HK$0.19, upside -77.4%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Technology · HK · ISIN KYG6561R1011

NT Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd

8645 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.0425 · Strongly overvalued (−77.4%)

!Quality 45/100

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +34.6 %/yr)

!Loss-making · -3.8% net margin (TTM)

!Low debt · negative free cash flow

!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)

!Narrow moat 0/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear HK$0.0340 to bull HK$0.0595 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 45/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1280 – HK$1.55 · fair‑value band HK$0.0340 – HK$0.0595 · the HK$0.1880 price screens above the HK$0.0425 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Byte Metaverse Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of network support services in Malaysia and the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Network Support Services and Network Connectivity Services; E-Commerce; and Online Game IP Authorization Management segments. It offers network support services, such as network infrastructure design and hardware installation, and network management and security services; network connectivity services, including intranet and internet connectivity solutions, and value-added services; and online game IP authorization management services. The company was formerly known as Michong Metaverse (China) Holdings Group Limited and changed its name to Byte Metaverse Holdings Limited in March 2024. Byte Metaverse Holdings Limited was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645) currently trades at HK$0.1880, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0425, 77.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.0340 (bear) to HK$0.0595 (bull), the price of HK$0.1880 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$270M in FY2025 versus HK$62.2M in FY2021, a compound +44.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$10.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$235M (≈ $29.9M) · P/S ratio 0.75 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0100 · Net margin −3.9% · Return on equity −17.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.8% · Operating margin −11.3% · Revenue (TTM) HK$314M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 53% fair-value upside, at −77%, 8645 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.0340 Fair Value HK$0.0425 Bull HK$0.0595

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

Owner Earnings HK$0.0900 HK$0.1500 HK$0.2800 73

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 HK$0.1000 53

All 2 models by family

DCF Models

Owner Earnings HK$0.0900 HK$0.1500 HK$0.2800 73

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 HK$0.1000 53

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 24

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 80

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 6

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 91

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 99

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 50

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 0

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 0

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 6

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100

The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Revenue growth 1 year

+170.6%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+41.2%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+34.6%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+20.3%

’17

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

12.8% (2020) → −7.6% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

8645 screens overvalued: fair value 77% below the price. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 470 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures

A mixed picture versus its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 48 · Below median

Fair Value upside −77.4% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on assets −8.0% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (TTM) −3.8% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (TTM) −11.3% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 27.6% · Top 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.41× · Cheapest 25%

P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 44

FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 32

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 36

HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM	$225.51	$186.56	−17%
Accenture plc ACN	$176.11	$305.06	+73%
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS	₹2,082	₹2,993	+44%
Infosys Limited INFY	₹994.10	₹1,691	+70%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH	₹1,258	₹1,926	+53%
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation CTSH	$56.84	$138.62	+144%
Amadeus IT Group AMS	€53.48	€65.98	+23%
Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc BR	$163.77	$159.88	−2%
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc FIS	$33.35	$32.72	−2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO	₹164.02	₹287.86	+76%

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Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.0425 −77%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8645" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$0.0425</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−77%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8645

Frequently asked questions

Is Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0425 versus a price of HK$0.1880, about −77% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 8645?

Our model-based fair value for Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0425 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1880.

What is the quality score of 8645?

Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0425 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0340, optimistic scenario HK$0.0595. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$0.0425, about −77% upside versus a price of HK$0.1880 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0340, optimistic scenario HK$0.0595. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645)?

Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$314M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.0425 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1880. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 27, 2026, 8645 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1880, fair value HK$0.0425, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 8645?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1880); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0425). For Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.1455 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd worth?

The market values Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd at about HK$235M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1880; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0425 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8645?

Our models span a range for Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0340, base HK$0.0425, optimistic HK$0.0595 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.1880). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645)?

Balance-sheet figures for Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −17.3%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 8645 from its 52-week high?

Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.1880, about 78% below its 52-week high of HK$0.8600 and at the low of HK$0.1880 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0425 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd?

From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1880, calculated fair value HK$0.0425 (−77%), Quality Score 45/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 8645 calculated?

We run Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0425, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645)?

The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.1880. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0425, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0595). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645)?

The market capitalisation of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd is HK$235M (≈ $29.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd is 0.75 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645)?

Earnings per share at Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645)?

The net margin of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd is −3.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd is −17.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd is −9.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645)?

The operating margin of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd is −11.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645)?

Revenue at Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd is growing +27.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +41.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645)?

Earnings per share at Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd are growing +66.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645) generate?

The free cash flow of Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd is −HK$13.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net cash does Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd (8645) hold?

Nomad Technologies Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$21.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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