Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group (900912) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap $885M
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026 — revised from $9.57 to $0.5681 (−94.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $0.6449 – $0.7775 · fair‑value band $0.4050 – $0.8180 · the $0.6700 price screens above the $0.5681 fair value. As of Jul 7, 2026.
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Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group (900912) currently trades at $0.6700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5681 — implying the stock looks roughly 15.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group generated revenue of $6.0B at a net margin of 15.3%. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.2%. Net debt stands at $9.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.4050 (bear case) to $0.8180 (bull case); at $0.6700, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside — at -15%, 900912 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co., Ltd. engages in the trade and operation business in China. The company is also involved in real estate development and operation; entrepot trade, bonded warehousing, international freight forwarding within bonded zones; consulting and agency services for foreign investment projects; and parking fee collection business. In addition, it provides international trade and economic consulting; international freight forwarding services for import and export goods, including cargo solicitation, booking, warehousing, transshipment, container loading and unloading, settlement of freight and miscellaneous charges, customs declaration, inspection declaration, insurance, and related short-distance transportation services; consulting services; investment management; construction engineering management; property management; real estate, business, and enterprise management consulting; marketing planning; and conference and exhibition services. …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group reported revenue of $6.0B in FY2025 versus $8.9B in FY2021, a compound −9.5%/yr. Reported net income was $935M in FY2025, compounding −0.0%/yr from FY2021.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.