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Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B $1.17, price $0.64, upside +82.7%, quality 25 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE0000009V9

SW Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B

900912 · SHG

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

Fair value $1.17 · Strongly undervalued (+82.7%)
Solidly profitable · 14.8% net margin (TTM)
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Moderate debt
Quality 25/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −10.2 %/yr in CNY)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 40/100
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.8996 $0.6000 Fair Value $1.17 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.6000 – $0.8996 · fair‑value band $0.8330 – $1.68 · the $0.6420 price screens below the $1.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co., Ltd. engages in the trade and operation business in China.

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Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co., Ltd. engages in the trade and operation business in China. The company is also involved in real estate development and operation; entrepot trade, bonded warehousing, international freight forwarding within bonded zones; consulting and agency services for foreign investment projects; and parking fee collection business. In addition, it provides international trade and economic consulting; international freight forwarding services for import and export goods, including cargo solicitation, booking, warehousing, transshipment, container loading and unloading, settlement of freight and miscellaneous charges, customs declaration, inspection declaration, insurance, and related short-distance transportation services; consulting services; investment management; construction engineering management; property management; real estate, business, and enterprise management consulting; marketing planning; and conference and exhibition services. Further, it manufactures and sells daily chemical products; and sells properties. The company was formerly known as Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Development Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co., Ltd. in September 2015. Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Stock analysis

Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912) currently trades at $0.6420, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.17, implying the stock looks roughly 45.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $1.63 per share, and 11 of the 13 models we run sit above the $0.6420 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $0.8900, and 2 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.8330 (bear) to $1.68 (bull), the price of $0.6420 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B reported revenue of 6.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 8.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −9.5%/yr. Reported net income was 935M CNY in FY2025, compounding 0.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $873M · P/E ratio 5.8 · P/S ratio 0.91 · EPS (TTM) $0.1100 · Net margin 15.7% · Return on equity 6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% · Operating margin 11.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 83%, 900912 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.8330 Fair Value $1.17 Bull $1.68
Price $0.6420 · Upside +82.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings $0.6100 $0.8900 $1.35 76
Residual Income $1.32 $1.35 $1.43 76
EPV $0.0300 $0.0700 $0.1100 69
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.6100 $0.8900 $1.35 76
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.7000 $0.8500 $0.9600 67
EPV $0.0300 $0.0700 $0.1100 69
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.62 $2.15 $2.69 63
P/S Multiple $0.9800 $1.31 $1.64 58
P/B Multiple $1.31 $1.74 $2.18 55
EV/EBIT $0.7700 $1.14 $1.50 65
EV/EBITDA $1.51 $2.11 $2.72 67
EV/Revenue $0.4600 $0.8000 $1.13 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8700 $1.17 $1.75 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.32 $1.35 $1.43 76
ROIC Compounder $0.0300 $0.0700 $0.1100 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.14 $1.63 $2.12 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 47
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 9
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 19/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.9% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−2.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 13%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.5%/yr over ~6Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Business Services · 234 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +82.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6.0% · Below median
Return on assets 0.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 26.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 54.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.62× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.8× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.37× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.92× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.08× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 43
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)24 · sector 37
HEALTH (low debt)69 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 53

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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RB Global, Inc RBA C$116.74 C$128.41 +10%
Aramark ARMK $54.92 $23.06 −58%
UL Solutions Inc ULS $66.05 $33.46 −49%
Rentokil Initial plc RTO $20.64 $19.63 −5%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/900912

Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.17 versus a price of $0.6420, about +83% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 900912?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B is $1.17 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.6420.
What is the quality score of 900912?
Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.17 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.8330, optimistic scenario $1.68. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.17, about +83% upside versus a price of $0.6420 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.8330, optimistic scenario $1.68. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912)?
Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B it is $1.17 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $0.6420. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 900912 trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.6420, fair value $1.17, a gap of about +83% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 900912?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.6420); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.17). For Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B the two are $0.5310 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B worth?
The market values Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B at about $873M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $0.6420; our models calculate a fair value of $1.17 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 900912?
Our models span a range for Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B: cautious scenario $0.8330, base $1.17, optimistic $1.68 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $0.6420). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 900912?
Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.8 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.17 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.1, P/B 0.4, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 5.7.
What is the PEG ratio of 900912?
The PEG ratio of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B is 1.08 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 6.0%, debt of 0.62 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 900912 from its 52-week high?
Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B trades at $0.6420, about 14% below its 52-week high of $0.7430 and 5% above the low of $0.6140 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.17 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Cintas Corporation, Thomson Reuters Corporation, Copart, Inc, Global Payments Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $0.6420, calculated fair value $1.17 (+83%), Quality Score 25/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 900912 calculated?
We run Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.17, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B currently trades 45 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was $0.6420. Our model-based fair value is $1.17, about +83% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (25/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.8330). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.8330 to $1.68) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B

How large is the market capitalisation of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912)?
The market capitalisation of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B is $873M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B is 0.91 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B are $0.1100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912)?
The net margin of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B is 15.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912)?
The operating margin of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B is 11.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912)?
Revenue at Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B is growing +26.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B are growing +58.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912) generate?
The free cash flow of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B is −1.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B (900912) carry?
The net debt of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone Group Co Ltd B is 9.6B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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