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Brambles Limited (BMBLF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Brambles Limited $12.82, price $13.16, upside -2.6%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
Brambles Limited
BMBLF · USNeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
·Fair value $12.82 · Fairly valued (−2.6%)
✓Quality 67/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.1 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓3.3% dividend yield · Sustainable
✓Wide moat 76/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0002 – $17.97 · fair‑value band $8.12 – $17.55 · the $13.16 price screens above the $12.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
Brambles Limited operates as a supply-chain logistics company. It operates through CHEP Americas, CHEP EMEA, and CHEP Asia-Pacific segments. The company offers platforms to transport goods across their supply chains. Its products include reusable pallets and containers.
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Brambles Limited operates as a supply-chain logistics company. It operates through CHEP Americas, CHEP EMEA, and CHEP Asia-Pacific segments. The company offers platforms to transport goods across their supply chains. Its products include reusable pallets and containers. The company serves consumer staples, retail, automotive, and general manufacturing industries. Brambles Limited was founded in 1875 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Stock analysis
Brambles Limited (BMBLF) currently trades at $13.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.82, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.6%).
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $11.68 per share, and 5 of the 25 models we run sit above the $13.16 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.67, and 20 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $8.12 (bear) to $17.55 (bull), the price of $13.16 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Brambles Limited reported revenue of $6.8B in FY2025 versus $5.2B in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was $896M in FY2025, compounding +14.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $18.3B · P/E ratio 19.6 · P/S ratio 2.57 · EPS (TTM) $0.6700 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 13.1% · Return on equity 28.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at −3%, BMBLF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $8.12
Fair Value $12.82
Bull $17.55
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2320 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$7.18
$11.00
$16.56
80
Growth DCF
$7.39
$10.89
$15.73
78
Owner Earnings
$6.26
$9.64
$14.56
76
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$7.18
$11.00
$16.56
80
Owner Earnings
$6.26
$9.64
$14.56
76
5Y Revenue Exit
$5.92
$9.32
$13.52
72
5Y EBITDA Exit
$11.04
$18.56
$27.11
74
5Y P/E Exit
$7.97
$13.03
$18.14
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$6.12
$9.28
$13.23
67
10Y EBITDA Exit
$9.53
$15.57
$23.26
67
10Y P/E Exit
$7.60
$11.80
$16.63
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$4.55
$11.67
$15.20
65
PEG = 1.0
$2.19
$3.13
$4.07
57
EPV
$6.27
$7.46
$8.50
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$3.64
$7.13
$12.01
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$3.64
$5.57
$7.64
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$10.53
$14.04
$17.55
63
P/S Multiple
$7.65
$10.20
$12.75
58
P/B Multiple
$8.44
$11.25
$14.06
55
EV/EBIT
$12.20
$16.55
$20.90
66
EV/EBITDA
$15.12
$20.44
$25.76
67
EV/Revenue
$5.58
$8.34
$11.09
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$1.25
$1.67
$2.50
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$7.39
$10.89
$15.73
78
Rev-Margin DCF
$5.92
$9.40
$13.23
72
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$3.87
$4.75
$7.55
74
ROIC Compounder
$6.64
$8.39
$10.32
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$8.18
$11.68
$15.19
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
67/100
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Profitability
61
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
88
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.1% a year
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+15.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12.6% vs 5.7%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 20%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.9% a year for the price and +1.0% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+3.7%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.7%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.0%
Watch BMBLF, get fair value alerts →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
- Brambles Ltd's Dividend Analysis
- Brambles Delivers First Year Progress Against its 2030 Sustainability Program
- Brambles Ltd (BMBLF) (FY 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Resilient Growth Amid US Repair ...
- With EPS Growth And More, Brambles (ASX:BXB) Makes An Interesting Case
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Business Services · 235 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $197.74 | $188.06 | −5% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | $99.36 | $70.79 | −29% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $27.14 | $31.02 | +14% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $83.33 | $88.43 | +6% |
| Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL | €67.82 | €98.05 | +45% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$116.74 | C$128.41 | +10% |
| Aramark ARMK | $54.92 | $23.06 | −58% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $66.05 | $33.46 | −49% |
| Rentokil Initial plc RTO | $20.64 | $19.63 | −5% |
| Sodexo S.A SW | €53.90 | €78.26 | +45% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Brambles Limited (BMBLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.82 versus a price of $13.16, about −3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BMBLF?
Our model-based fair value for Brambles Limited is $12.82 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $13.16.
What is the quality score of BMBLF?
Brambles Limited has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Brambles Limited (BMBLF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.82 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.12, optimistic scenario $17.55. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Brambles Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.82, about −3% upside versus a price of $13.16 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $8.12, optimistic scenario $17.55. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Brambles Limited (BMBLF)?
Brambles Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Brambles Limited pay a dividend?
Brambles Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.33% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Brambles Limited (BMBLF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Brambles Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +6.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.1 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BMBLF use?
Our models discount Brambles Limited at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.46, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Brambles Limited that is +6.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Brambles Limited (BMBLF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Brambles Limited grew +7.1 % a year. The price currently implies +6.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Brambles Limited (BMBLF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Brambles Limited (+6.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Brambles Limited (BMBLF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.92 %: that much free cash flow Brambles Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Brambles Limited (BMBLF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Brambles Limited it is $12.82 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $13.16. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Brambles Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, BMBLF trades above its calculated fair value: price $13.16, fair value $12.82, a gap of about −3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BMBLF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($13.16); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.82). For Brambles Limited the two are $0.3400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Brambles Limited worth?
The market values Brambles Limited at about $18.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $13.16; our models calculate a fair value of $12.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BMBLF?
Our models span a range for Brambles Limited: cautious scenario $8.12, base $12.82, optimistic $17.55 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $13.16). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BMBLF?
Brambles Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.6 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $12.82 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.6, P/B 5.3, P/S 2.5, EV/EBITDA 9.1.
What is the PEG ratio of BMBLF?
The PEG ratio of Brambles Limited is 2.57 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Brambles Limited (BMBLF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Brambles Limited (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 28.1%, debt of 0.52 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BMBLF from its 52-week high?
Brambles Limited trades at $13.16, about 27% below its 52-week high of $17.97 and 22% above the low of $10.83 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $12.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Brambles Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Cintas Corporation, Thomson Reuters Corporation, Copart, Inc, Global Payments Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Brambles Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $13.16, calculated fair value $12.82 (−3%), Quality Score 67/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BMBLF calculated?
We run Brambles Limited through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $12.82, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Brambles Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Brambles Limited (BMBLF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $13.16. Our model-based fair value is $12.82, about −3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Brambles Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($8.12 to $17.55) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Brambles Limited (BMBLF) come from?
Earnings per share at Brambles Limited grew +2.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.3 %, EBIT margin −0.3 %, tax rate −0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Brambles Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Brambles Limited (BMBLF)?
The market capitalisation of Brambles Limited is $18.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Brambles Limited (BMBLF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Brambles Limited is 2.57 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Brambles Limited (BMBLF)?
Earnings per share at Brambles Limited are $0.6700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Brambles Limited (BMBLF)?
The dividend yield of Brambles Limited is 3.3% (payout 65.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Brambles Limited (BMBLF)?
The net margin of Brambles Limited is 13.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Brambles Limited (BMBLF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Brambles Limited is 28.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Brambles Limited (BMBLF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Brambles Limited is 10.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Brambles Limited (BMBLF)?
The operating margin of Brambles Limited is 21.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Brambles Limited (BMBLF)?
Revenue at Brambles Limited is growing +5.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Brambles Limited (BMBLF)?
Earnings per share at Brambles Limited are growing +16.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Brambles Limited (BMBLF) carry?
The net debt of Brambles Limited is $2.6B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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