Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation
Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free
Discover now →
Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Australian Agricultural Company $20.31, price $9.50, upside +113.8%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
- Add to watchlist
AA
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Australian Agricultural Company
AAYYY · USCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
✓Fair value $20.31 · Strongly undervalued (+113.8%)
!Quality 44/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +8.8 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 25.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 34/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Watch Australian Agricultural Company for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.
Watch for free
Pro now: $1 first month
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
54‑month range $8.02 – $17.77 · fair‑value band $15.83 – $25.38 · the $9.50 price screens below the $20.31 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Australian Agricultural Company Limited produces cattle and beef in Australia. The company is involved in production of beef, including breeding, backgrounding, and feedlotting; sales and marketing beef into global markets; and ownership, operation, and development of pastoral properties.
Show more
Australian Agricultural Company Limited produces cattle and beef in Australia. The company is involved in production of beef, including breeding, backgrounding, and feedlotting; sales and marketing beef into global markets; and ownership, operation, and development of pastoral properties. It provides its products under the Westholme and the Darling Downs brands. The company also exports its products. Australian Agricultural Company Limited was founded in 1824 and is based in Newstead, Australia.
Stock analysis
Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY) currently trades at $9.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.31, implying the stock looks roughly 53.2% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $22.15 per share, and 7 of the 10 models we run sit above the $9.50 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $7.88, and 3 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $15.83 (bear) to $25.38 (bull), the price of $9.50 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Australian Agricultural Company reported revenue of A$405M in FY2026 versus A$276M in FY2022, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$103M in FY2026, compounding −6.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $570M · P/E ratio 7.5 · P/S ratio 1.92 · EPS (TTM) $1.26 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 25.4% · Return on equity 6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 114%, AAYYY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $15.83
Fair Value $20.31
Bull $25.38
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.6421 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings
$8.73
$15.06
$23.49
75
Residual Income
$15.09
$15.09
$15.95
71
Growth-Adj P/E
$15.50
$22.15
$28.79
67
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
$8.73
$15.06
$23.49
75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$8.08
$25.28
$33.64
64
Lynch FV
$5.51
$7.88
$10.24
61
PEG = 1.0
$5.51
$7.88
$10.24
57
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$18.71
$24.95
$31.19
63
P/S Multiple
$5.61
$7.48
$9.35
58
P/B Multiple
$15.15
$20.20
$25.25
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$10.19
$13.66
$20.38
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$15.09
$15.09
$15.95
71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$15.50
$22.15
$28.79
67
Notify me when AAYYY reaches fair value
Put AAYYY on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
44/100
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Profitability
34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
97
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
43/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.0% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+18.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.17.6% vs 4.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2019 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−53% → −47%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.5%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Watch AAYYY, get fair value alerts →
Compare Australian Agricultural Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 284 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM | $80.38 | $38.02 | −53% |
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.48 | ¥115.35 | +185% |
| Bunge Global SA BG | $108.14 | $56.75 | −48% |
| Tyson Foods, Inc TSN | $50.98 | $37.06 | −27% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | −17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 205.60 | kr 280.90 | +37% |
| SalMar ASA SALM | kr 580.50 | kr 171.05 | −71% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 21.80 THB | 55.71 THB | +156% |
| United Plantations Berhad 2089 | 32.58 MYR | 35.84 MYR | +10% |
| Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 | ¥155.26 | ¥254.63 | +64% |
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
All undervalued stocks
TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
🥇 Backtested Best
🏆 Big Names
⭐ Top Rated
💎 Quality on Sale
🚀 Profitable Growth
🧊 Quality Compounders
💵 Dividend Stars
📈 Strong Momentum
📉 Fallen Angels
⚖️ Deeply Undervalued
🔍 Small-Cap Gems
🏰 Moat at a Fair Price
💼 Insider Buying
🎩 Buffett-Style Quality
📚 Peter Lynch GARP
🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula
🛡️ Graham Defensive
Discover tools
Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector
Compare toolTwo stocks side by side
Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark
Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
Frequently asked questions
Is Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $20.31 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $9.50, about +114% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AAYYY?
Our model-based fair value for Australian Agricultural Company is $20.31 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $9.50.
What is the quality score of AAYYY?
Australian Agricultural Company has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $20.31 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $15.83, optimistic scenario $25.38. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Australian Agricultural Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $20.31, about +114% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $9.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $15.83, optimistic scenario $25.38. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY)?
Australian Agricultural Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$422M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Australian Agricultural Company pay a dividend?
Australian Agricultural Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.95% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Australian Agricultural Company it is $20.31 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $9.50. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Australian Agricultural Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AAYYY trades below its calculated fair value: price $9.50, fair value $20.31, a gap of about +114% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AAYYY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($9.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($20.31). For Australian Agricultural Company the two are $10.81 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Australian Agricultural Company worth?
The market values Australian Agricultural Company at about $570M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $9.50; our models calculate a fair value of $20.31 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AAYYY?
Our models span a range for Australian Agricultural Company: cautious scenario $15.83, base $20.31, optimistic $25.38 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $9.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AAYYY?
Australian Agricultural Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $20.31 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 1.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Australian Agricultural Company (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.5%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AAYYY from its 52-week high?
Australian Agricultural Company trades at $9.50, about 11% below its 52-week high of $10.65 and 9% above the low of $8.73 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $20.31 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Australian Agricultural Company?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Australian Agricultural Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $9.50, calculated fair value $20.31 (+114%), Quality Score 44/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AAYYY calculated?
We run Australian Agricultural Company through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $20.31, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Australian Agricultural Company currently trades 53 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $9.50. Our model-based fair value is $20.31, about +114% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Australian Agricultural Company right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($15.83). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Key figures of Australian Agricultural Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY)?
The market capitalisation of Australian Agricultural Company is $570M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Australian Agricultural Company is 1.92 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY)?
Earnings per share at Australian Agricultural Company are $1.26 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY)?
The dividend yield of Australian Agricultural Company is 0.9% (payout 7.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY)?
The net margin of Australian Agricultural Company is 25.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Australian Agricultural Company is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Australian Agricultural Company is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY)?
The operating margin of Australian Agricultural Company is −65.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY)?
Revenue at Australian Agricultural Company is growing −1.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY)?
Earnings per share at Australian Agricultural Company are growing +247% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY) generate?
The free cash flow of Australian Agricultural Company is −A$14.5M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Australian Agricultural Company (AAYYY) carry?
The net debt of Australian Agricultural Company is A$505M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Australian Agricultural Company in the live analysis
One click puts Australian Agricultural Company on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.