Wens Foodstuff Group (300498) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 90.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price −0.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 11% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥6.15 to ¥17.18). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Our model range runs from ¥6.15 (bear) to ¥17.18 (bull), base ¥12.08. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 49/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥11.40 – ¥23.92 · fair‑value band ¥6.15 – ¥17.18 · the ¥13.55 price screens above the ¥12.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Wens Foodstuff Group (300498) currently trades at ¥13.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.08, implying the stock looks roughly 10.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Wens Foodstuff Group generated revenue of 104B CNY at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. Net debt stands at 8.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥6.15 (bear case) to ¥17.18 (bull case); at ¥13.55, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -11%, 300498 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥13.37) versus Growth DCF (¥2.03). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Wens Foodstuff Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the agricultural and animal husbandry businesses in China and internationally. It operates through five segments: Aquaculture Industry; Engineering and Equipment Manufacturing; Meat Processing; Animal Health Industry; and Other Industries.
Full company description
Wens Foodstuff Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the agricultural and animal husbandry businesses in China and internationally. It operates through five segments: Aquaculture Industry; Engineering and Equipment Manufacturing; Meat Processing; Animal Health Industry; and Other Industries. The company breeds, farms, and sells livestock and poultry, including chickens, pigs, ducks, geese, pigeons, waterfowls, laying hens, and other breeds. It also offers room and low temperature dairy products; poultry and livestock products; chicken, pork, fresh eggs and related products, cooked food, and raw milk under the Wens brand name. In addition, the company is involved in livestock and poultry slaughtering and deep processing, as well as dairy processing; farm planning and design, civil engineering, agricultural and livestock equipment manufacturing and procurement, IoT environmental control, environmental protection, and breeding services; financial investment, industrial investment, and merger and acquisition businesses; and veterinary biological products, veterinary drug preparations, and feed additives. It exports its products. The company was formerly known as Guangdong Wens Foodstuff Group Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Wens Foodstuff Group Co., Ltd. in August 2018. Wens Foodstuff Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Yunfu, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Wens Foodstuff Group reported revenue of ¥104B in FY2025 versus ¥65.0B in FY2021, a compound +12.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥5.2B in FY2025.
300498 screens 11% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 293 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.90 | ¥48.19 | +18% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,120 IDR | 7,076 IDR | +127% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,540 IDR | 3,105 IDR | +102% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
| PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS | 700.00 IDR | 448.40 IDR | -36% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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