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Bunge Global SA (BG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Bunge Global SA is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · US · ISIN CH1300646267

BG Bunge Global SA logo Some data Sep 18, 2026

Bunge Global SA

BG · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $47.76 · Strongly overvalued (−59%)
!Quality 28/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.9% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·2.44% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/14)
!Narrow moat 28/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 20 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$131.41 $64.32 Fair Value $47.76 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $64.32 – $131.41 · fair‑value band $43.31 – $61.02 · the $115.58 price screens above the $47.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

Bunge Global SA operates as an agribusiness and food company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Soybean Processing and Refining, Softseed Processing and Refining, Other Oilseeds Processing and Refining, and Grain Merchandising and Milling.

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Bunge Global SA operates as an agribusiness and food company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Soybean Processing and Refining, Softseed Processing and Refining, Other Oilseeds Processing and Refining, and Grain Merchandising and Milling. The Soybean Processing and Refining segment is involved in the purchase, storage, transportation, processing, distribution, refining, marketing, and sale of soybeans and soybean related products, as well as biodiesel and fertilizer production and distribution for the food, animal feed and biofuel industries. The Softseed Processing and Refining segment is involved in the purchase, storage, transportation, processing, distribution, refining, marketing, and sale of softseeds and softseed related products, as well as biodiesel production and distribution. The Other Oilseeds Processing and Refining Segment is involved in products of a specialty nature, including the purchase, storage, transportation, processing, distribution, refining, marketing, and sale of these related products. The Grain Merchandising and Milling segment is involved in the purchase, storage, transportation, distribution, and marketing of commodities primarily consisting of corn, wheat, barley, cotton, pulses, and sugar; milling of wheat and sugar; and related services including ocean freight and financial services. Bunge Global SA was founded in 1818 and is headquartered in Chesterfield, Missouri.

Stock analysis

Bunge Global SA (BG) currently trades at $115.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $47.76, implying the stock looks roughly 142.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $72.78 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the $115.58 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $18.07, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $43.31 (bear) to $61.02 (bull), the price of $115.58 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Bunge Global SA reported revenue of $70.3B in FY2025 versus $59.2B in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was $819M in FY2025, compounding −20.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $23.1B · P/E ratio 29.6 · P/S ratio 0.34 · EPS (TTM) $3.91 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 1.2% · Return on equity 4.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −59%, BG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $43.31 Fair Value $47.76 Bull $61.02
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.7088 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $63.47 $64.80 $63.02 76
EPV n/a $4.54 $10.07 68
ROIC Compounder n/a $4.54 $10.07 68
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $28.70 $70.41 $91.14 65
PEG = 1.0 $12.65 $18.07 $23.49 57
EPV n/a $4.54 $10.07 68
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $21.72 $39.66 $63.45 66
DDM Multi-Stage $21.72 $32.66 $44.60 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $66.48 $88.65 $110.81 63
P/S Multiple $53.82 $71.76 $89.70 58
P/B Multiple $53.82 $71.76 $89.70 55
EV/EBIT $29.99 $53.21 $76.43 64
EV/EBITDA $48.93 $78.46 $107.99 66
EV/Revenue $10.05 $31.36 $52.67 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $40.99 $54.92 $81.97 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $63.47 $64.80 $63.02 76
ROIC Compounder n/a $4.54 $10.07 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $50.95 $72.78 $94.62 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 27
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+32.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−11.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−14.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−14% vs 0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 2%

BG screens 142% overvalued. Compare with Archer-Daniels-Midland Company →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 290 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −60% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 88% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.56× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.45× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.29× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 13.8× · Priciest 25%
PEG 1.71× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)20 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)72 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)49 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $85.00 $38.02 −55%
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥41.08 ¥112.63 +174%
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $52.12 $37.28 −28%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.63 ¥11.18 −24%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 202.80 kr 254.35 +25%
SalMar ASA SALM kr 562.50 kr 171.05 −70%
PT Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk PGUN 9,600 IDR 1,184 IDR −88%
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥169.08 ¥311.94 +84%
United Plantations Berhad 2089 33.60 MYR 36.96 MYR +10%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,150 IDR 6,287 IDR +100%

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Bunge Global SA · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bunge Global SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BG

Frequently asked questions

Is Bunge Global SA (BG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $47.76 versus a price of $115.58, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BG?
Our model-based fair value for Bunge Global SA is $47.76 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $115.58.
What is the quality score of BG?
Bunge Global SA has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bunge Global SA (BG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $47.76 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $43.31, optimistic scenario $61.02. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bunge Global SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $47.76, about −59% upside versus a price of $115.58 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $43.31, optimistic scenario $61.02. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bunge Global SA (BG)?
Bunge Global SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $80.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Bunge Global SA pay a dividend?
Bunge Global SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.44% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bunge Global SA (BG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bunge Global SA it is $47.76 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $115.58. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bunge Global SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, BG trades above its calculated fair value: price $115.58, fair value $47.76, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($115.58); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($47.76). For Bunge Global SA the two are $67.82 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bunge Global SA worth?
The market values Bunge Global SA at about $23.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $115.58; our models calculate a fair value of $47.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BG?
Our models span a range for Bunge Global SA: cautious scenario $43.31, base $47.76, optimistic $61.02 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price $115.58). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BG?
Bunge Global SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.6 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $47.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.7, P/B 1.5, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 13.8.
What is the PEG ratio of BG?
The PEG ratio of Bunge Global SA is 1.71 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bunge Global SA (BG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bunge Global SA (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 4.9%, debt of 0.56 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BG from its 52-week high?
Bunge Global SA trades at $115.58, about 13% below its 52-week high of $133.13 and 66% above the low of $69.64 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $47.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bunge Global SA?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Tyson Foods, Inc, Wens Foodstuff Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bunge Global SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $115.58, calculated fair value $47.76 (−59%), Quality Score 28/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BG calculated?
We run Bunge Global SA through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $47.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Bunge Global SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bunge Global SA (BG)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $115.58. Our model-based fair value is $47.76, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bunge Global SA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($61.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Bunge Global SA (BG) come from?
Earnings per share at Bunge Global SA grew +8.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.5 %, EBIT margin +3.6 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Bunge Global SA

How large is the market capitalisation of Bunge Global SA (BG)?
The market capitalisation of Bunge Global SA is $23.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bunge Global SA (BG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bunge Global SA is 0.34 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bunge Global SA (BG)?
Earnings per share at Bunge Global SA are $3.91 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Bunge Global SA (BG)?
The dividend yield of Bunge Global SA is 2.4% (payout 72.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bunge Global SA (BG)?
The net margin of Bunge Global SA is 1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bunge Global SA (BG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bunge Global SA is 4.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bunge Global SA (BG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bunge Global SA is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bunge Global SA (BG)?
The operating margin of Bunge Global SA is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bunge Global SA (BG)?
Revenue at Bunge Global SA is growing +87.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bunge Global SA (BG)?
Earnings per share at Bunge Global SA are growing −76.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Bunge Global SA (BG) generate?
The free cash flow of Bunge Global SA is −$923M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Bunge Global SA (BG) carry?
The net debt of Bunge Global SA is $14.7B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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