Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd stock ¥53.02, price ¥43.75, upside +21.2%, quality 61 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥29.68 – ¥62.19 · fair‑value band ¥27.21 – ¥77.55 · the ¥43.75 price screens below the ¥53.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a pork company in the hog farming industry in China. It operates through four segments: hog business, slaughtering and meat product business, feed ingredients trading, and others.
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The company engages in breeding and sales of piglets, finished hogs, breeding hogs, meat products and by-products, hog carcasses, pork cuts, and raw material for feed, pig manure, and feed products, as well as slaughtering and meat production, and fresh and frozen meat products.
Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd. in May 2026. Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Nanyang, China.
Stock analysis
Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714) currently trades at ¥43.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥53.02, implying the stock looks roughly 17% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥129.79 per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥43.75 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥9.38, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥27.21 (bear) to ¥77.55 (bull), the price of ¥43.75 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd reported revenue of 144B CNY in FY2025 versus 78.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +16.3%/yr. Reported net income was 15.5B CNY in FY2025, compounding +22.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 244B CNY (≈ $36.7B) Large · P/S ratio 2.00 · EPS (TTM) ¥−1.59 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin −6.9% · Return on equity −10.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.3% · Operating margin −7.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 21%, 002714 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥27.21Fair Value ¥53.02Bull¥77.55
Price ¥43.75 · Upside +21.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV¥28.87¥34.04¥38.6174
FCF DCF¥71.99¥115.69¥257.1672
Growth DCF¥67.74¥139.79¥259.6472
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF¥71.99¥115.69¥257.1672
Owner Earnings¥56.50¥132.37¥296.1667
5Y Revenue Exit¥41.13¥67.87¥123.4967
5Y EBITDA Exit¥64.61¥115.35¥214.8769
5Y P/E Exit¥52.61¥113.50¥195.5865
10Y Revenue Exit¥49.41¥100.36¥129.7964
10Y EBITDA Exit¥68.09¥151.69¥297.0362
10Y P/E Exit¥59.20¥125.45¥232.2658
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥19.28¥134.44¥188.6761
Lynch FV¥69.46¥99.22¥128.9959
PEG = 1.0¥69.46¥99.22¥128.9955
EPV¥28.87¥34.04¥38.6174
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥14.01¥30.05¥49.4763
DDM Multi-Stage¥14.01¥24.88¥31.4064
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥44.65¥59.53¥74.4263
P/S Multiple¥31.66¥42.22¥52.7758
P/B Multiple¥38.36¥51.14¥63.9355
EV/EBIT¥31.62¥45.98¥60.3365
EV/EBITDA¥48.86¥68.97¥89.0767
EV/Revenue¥16.26¥28.14¥40.0152
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥7.00¥9.38¥13.9954
Growth DCF
Growth DCF¥67.74¥139.79¥259.6472
Rev-Margin DCF¥45.28¥77.86¥146.3767
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥18.97¥24.03¥40.9671
ROIC Compounder¥40.97¥67.14¥84.4769
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥90.85¥129.79¥168.7265
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +47.3% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+16.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.15.6% vs 34.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.54% → 13%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.9% a year for the price and +9.9% for the forecasts.
Compare Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 286 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside+21.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets9.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)−6.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−7.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−7.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.25× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002714
Frequently asked questions
Is Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥53.02 versus a price of ¥43.75, about +21% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 002714?
Our model-based fair value for Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd is ¥53.02 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥43.75.
What is the quality score of 002714?
Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥53.02 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥27.21, optimistic scenario ¥77.55. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥53.02, about +21% upside versus a price of ¥43.75 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥27.21, optimistic scenario ¥77.55. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714)?
Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 125B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.99% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +0.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.7 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002714 use?
Our models discount Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd at 8.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.44, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd that is +0.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd grew +20.7 % a year. The price currently implies +0.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (+0.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.38 % in the last fiscal year (free cash flow was negative over the last twelve months): that much free cash flow Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd it is ¥53.02 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥43.75. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 002714 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥43.75, fair value ¥53.02, a gap of about +21% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002714?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥43.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥53.02). For Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd the two are ¥9.27 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd worth?
The market values Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd at about 244B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥43.75; our models calculate a fair value of ¥53.02 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002714?
Our models span a range for Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥27.21, base ¥53.02, optimistic ¥77.55 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥43.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 002714?
The PEG ratio of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd is 4.78 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714)?
Balance-sheet figures for Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −10.9%, debt of 0.25 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002714 from its 52-week high?
Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd trades at ¥43.75, about 14% below its 52-week high of ¥51.10 and 35% above the low of ¥32.36 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥53.02 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Tyson Foods, Inc, Bunge Global SA, Wens Foodstuff Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥43.75, calculated fair value ¥53.02 (+21%), Quality Score 61/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002714 calculated?
We run Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥53.02, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd currently trades 17% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was ¥43.75. Our model-based fair value is ¥53.02, about +21% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (¥27.21 to ¥77.55). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714)?
The market capitalisation of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd is 244B CNY (≈ $36.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd is 2.00 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714)?
Earnings per share at Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd are ¥−1.59. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714)?
The dividend yield of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd is 1.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714)?
The net margin of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd is −6.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd is −10.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd is 6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714)?
The operating margin of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd is −7.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714)?
Revenue at Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd is growing −7.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714)?
Earnings per share at Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd are growing −90.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714) carry?
The net debt of Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd is 62.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 5, 2026