Muyuan Foods Group (002714) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 237B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from ¥59.53 to ¥48.19 (−19.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −0.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 26% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥36.15 to ¥116.47). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥29.68 – ¥80.41 · fair‑value band ¥36.15 – ¥116.47 · the ¥38.37 price screens below the ¥48.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Muyuan Foods Group (002714) currently trades at ¥38.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥48.19, implying the stock looks roughly 25.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Muyuan Foods Group generated revenue of 138B CNY at a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue declined 17.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.9%. Net debt stands at 62.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥36.15 (bear case) to ¥116.47 (bull case); at ¥38.37, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 26%, 002714 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥127.86) versus Asset-Based (¥9.53). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a pork company in the hog farming industry in China. It operates through four segments: hog business, slaughtering and meat product business, feed ingredients trading, and others.
Full company description
Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a pork company in the hog farming industry in China. It operates through four segments: hog business, slaughtering and meat product business, feed ingredients trading, and others. The company engages in breeding and sales of piglets, finished hogs, breeding hogs, meat products and by-products, hog carcasses, pork cuts, and raw material for feed, pig manure, and feed products, as well as slaughtering and meat production, and fresh and frozen meat products. Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd. in May 2026. Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Nanyang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Muyuan Foods Group reported revenue of ¥144B in FY2025 versus ¥78.9B in FY2021, a compound +16.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥15.5B in FY2025, compounding +22.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Farm Products · 293 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | -17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,120 IDR | 7,076 IDR | +127% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,540 IDR | 3,105 IDR | +102% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
| PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS | 700.00 IDR | 448.40 IDR | -36% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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