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ABC Company (ABC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 21, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of ABC Company stock €1.94, price €3.90, upside -50.3%, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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AC
Some data
Oct 20, 2026
Some data
Oct 20, 2026
ABC Company
ABC · MIWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
Our calculation puts a fair price 50% below what the stock costs today.
Highly profitable · 48.6% net margin (TTM)
Generates free cash flow
1.5% dividend yield · Well covered
Quality 49/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +131.4 %/yr in EUR)
Some data
Fair value €1.94 · Strongly overvalued (−50.3%)
Narrow moat 36/100 · thin data
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.67 – €487.05 · fair‑value band €1.45 – €2.42 · the €3.90 price screens above the €1.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 20, 2026.
Company profile
ABC Company S.p.A. operates as a permanent capital vehicle company in Italy. The company offers financial and strategic consulting services.
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It also invests in food, business process outsourcing, mechanics, medtech, industrial consultancy, strategic consulting and corporate finance, and finance sectors. In addition, the company promotes club deals focused on targeted investments in the private investment sector.
The company was formerly known as CdR Advance Capital S.p.A. and changed its name to ABC Company S.p.A. in November 2021. ABC Company S.p.A. was founded in 2021 and is based in Milan, Italy.
Stock analysis
ABC Company (ABC) currently trades at €3.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.94, 50.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 17 models at a data quality of 76/100, which puts the data coverage at medium.
Scenario range: €1.45 (bear) to €2.42 (bull), the price of €3.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
ABC Company reported revenue of €557K in FY2025 versus €8.4K in FY2020, a compound +131.4%/yr. Reported net income was €2.6M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €66.4M Micro · P/E ratio 27.9 · P/S ratio 16.5 · EPS (TTM) €0.1400 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 48.6% · Return on equity 6.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −20.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −50%, ABC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €1.45
Fair Value €1.94
Bull €2.42
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0655 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
P/B Multiple
€1.45
€1.94
€2.42
53
NCAV (Graham)
€0.6100
€0.9200
€1.15
50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple
€1.45
€1.94
€2.42
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
€0.6100
€0.9200
€1.15
50
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
49/100
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Profitability
36
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth
71
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow
100
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength
90
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment
18
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility
50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum
44
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high
66
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares
0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+188.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+131.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,233.7% (2020) → −765.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.6% a year for the price.
ABC screens overvalued: fair value 50% below the price. Compare with Blackstone Inc →
Compare ABC Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 670 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Valuation of the Italy market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF | $155.69 | $311.38 | +100% | vs ABC |
| Exor N.V EXO | €68.30 | €136.60 | +100% | vs ABC |
| Apollo Global Management, Inc APO | $111.69 | $196.06 | +76% | vs ABC |
| Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP | $490.51 | $590.44 | +20% | vs ABC |
| Ares Management Corporation ARES | $117.01 | $103.04 | −12% | vs ABC |
| State Street Corporation STT | $168.95 | $139.37 | −18% | vs ABC |
| Northern Trust Corporation NTRS | $166.91 | $123.42 | −26% | vs ABC |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $110.34 | $52.29 | −53% | vs ABC |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | $37.51 | $13.42 | −64% | vs ABC |
| KKR & Co KKR | $89.87 | $29.26 | −67% | vs ABC |
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Frequently asked questions
Is ABC Company (ABC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.94 versus a price of €3.90, about −50% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ABC?
Our model-based fair value for ABC Company is €1.94 (as of Oct 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €3.90.
What is the quality score of ABC?
ABC Company has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ABC Company (ABC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.94 (as of Oct 20, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.45, optimistic scenario €2.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ABC Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.94, about −50% upside versus a price of €3.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €1.45, optimistic scenario €2.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does ABC Company pay a dividend?
ABC Company currently shows a dividend yield of 1.51% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 20, 2026).
What growth is priced into ABC Company (ABC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ABC Company would have to grow free cash flow by +8.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 17.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +131.4 % per year. As of Oct 20, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ABC use?
Our models discount ABC Company at 17.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 2.28, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ABC Company that is +8.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (17.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ABC Company (ABC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at ABC Company grew +131.4 % a year. The price currently implies +8.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of ABC Company (ABC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into ABC Company (+8.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of ABC Company (ABC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.02 %: that much free cash flow ABC Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (17.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ABC Company (ABC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ABC Company it is €1.94 per share (as of Oct 20, 2026), against a price of €3.90. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ABC Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 20, 2026, ABC trades above its calculated fair value: price €3.90, fair value €1.94, a gap of about −50% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ABC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€3.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.94). For ABC Company the two are €1.96 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ABC Company worth?
The market values ABC Company at about €66.4M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 20, 2026). Per share that is €3.90; our models calculate a fair value of €1.94 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ABC?
Our models span a range for ABC Company: cautious scenario €1.45, base €1.94, optimistic €2.42 per share (as of Oct 20, 2026, price €3.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ABC?
ABC Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.9 (as of Oct 20, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €1.94 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of ABC Company (ABC)?
Balance-sheet figures for ABC Company (as of Oct 20, 2026): return on equity 9.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ABC from its 52-week high?
ABC Company trades at €3.90, about 2% below its 52-week high of €3.96 and 12% above the low of €3.49 (as of Oct 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.94 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ABC Company?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ABC Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 20, 2026: price €3.90, calculated fair value €1.94 (−50%), Quality Score 49/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ABC calculated?
We run ABC Company through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €1.94, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.6 % above its aggregate fair value. ABC Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ABC Company (ABC)?
The closing price on Oct 21, 2026 was €3.90. Our model-based fair value is €1.94, about −50% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ABC Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€2.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of ABC Company
How large is the market capitalisation of ABC Company (ABC)?
The market capitalisation of ABC Company is €66.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ABC Company (ABC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ABC Company is 16.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ABC Company (ABC)?
Earnings per share at ABC Company are €0.1400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ABC Company (ABC)?
The dividend yield of ABC Company is 1.5% (payout 42.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ABC Company (ABC)?
The net margin of ABC Company is 48.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ABC Company (ABC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ABC Company is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ABC Company (ABC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ABC Company is −20.9% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ABC Company (ABC)?
The operating margin of ABC Company is −48.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ABC Company (ABC)?
Revenue at ABC Company is growing +47.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +305%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
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