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Abacus Group (ABG) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · AU · Market cap A$862M

AG Abacus Group ABG · AU
PriceA$1.02
Fair ValueA$0.5100
Upside-50.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range A$0.3800 – A$0.6400

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −1.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$1.25 A$0.9450 Fair Value A$0.5100 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$0.9450 – A$1.25 · fair‑value band A$0.3800 – A$0.6400 · the A$1.02 price screens above the A$0.5100 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Abacus Group (ABG) currently trades at A$1.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.5100 — implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Abacus Group generated revenue of A$238M at a net margin of 33.8%. Revenue declined 13.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. Net debt stands at A$918M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$238M
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.0%
Net margin 33.8%
Return on equity 5.1%
Free cash flow A$65.4M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.7
More key figures
Operating margin 57.6%
EPS (TTM) A$0.0900
Dividend yield 8.9%
Net debt A$918M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Abacus Group is a strong asset-backed, annuity style business model where capital is directed towards assets that provide potential for enhanced income growth and ultimately create value. Our people, market insight and repositioning capability together with strategic partnering are the key enablers of our strategy. Abacus Group is listed on the Australian Stock Exchange and is included in the S&P/ASX300 Index and the FTSE EPRA NAREIT Global Real Estate Index Service. The Abacus Group is a stapled entity comprising of Abacus Group Holdings Limited ACN 080 604 619, Abacus Group Projects Limited ACN 104 066 104, Abacus Trust ARSN 096 572 128, Abacus Income Trust ARSN 104 934 287. Abacus Group was founded in 2001 and is based in Austrlia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Abacus Group reported revenue of A$153M in FY2025 versus A$242M in FY2021, a compound −10.9%/yr. Reported net income was A$26.9M in FY2025, compounding −48.0%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −10.9%/yr
FY21 A$242M
FY22 A$308M
FY23 A$147M
FY24 A$144M
FY25 A$153M
Net income −48.0%/yr
FY21 A$369M
FY22 A$517M
FY23 A$25.5M
FY24 −A$241M
FY25 A$26.9M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Abacus Group (ABG) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.5100 versus a price of A$1.02 — about −50% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ABG?
Our 21-model fair value for Abacus Group is A$0.5100 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$1.02.
What is the quality score of ABG?
Abacus Group has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Abacus Group (ABG)?
Abacus Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$238M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ABG?
The net profit margin of Abacus Group is about 33.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 33.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Abacus Group pay a dividend?
Abacus Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.90% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.