W. P. Carey Inc (WPC) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $17.1B
W. P. Carey Inc
WPC · US
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Share price +0.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($44.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $44.21 – $76.71 · fair‑value band $26.70 – $44.49 · the $71.85 price screens above the $35.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
W. P. Carey Inc (WPC) currently trades at $71.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $35.59, implying the stock looks roughly 50.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, W. P. Carey Inc generated revenue of $1.7B at a net margin of 29.7%. Revenue grew 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. Net debt stands at $8.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $26.70 (bear case) to $44.49 (bull case); at $71.85, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at -50%, WPC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($57.10) versus Growth DCF ($1.54). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
W. P. Carey Inc. ranks among the largest net lease REITs with a well-diversified portfolio of high-quality, operationally critical commercial real estate. It includes 1,703 net lease properties covering approximately 185 million square feet as of March 31, 2026.
Full company description
W. P. Carey Inc. ranks among the largest net lease REITs with a well-diversified portfolio of high-quality, operationally critical commercial real estate. It includes 1,703 net lease properties covering approximately 185 million square feet as of March 31, 2026. With offices in New York, London, Amsterdam and Dallas, the company remains focused on investing primarily in single-tenant, industrial, warehouse and retail properties located in the U.S. and Europe, under long-term net leases with built-in rent escalations. W. P. Carey Inc. was incorporated in 1973 in Maryland, USA.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
W. P. Carey Inc reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was $466M in FY2025, compounding +3.3%/yr from FY2021.
WPC screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Goodman Group →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is W. P. Carey (WPC) A Bargain On Its Q2 2026 Results?
- Raised AFFO Guidance And Dividend Hike Might Change The Case For Investing In W. P. Carey (WPC)
- W.P. Carey's Q2 AFFO Beats Estimates on Investment Activity
- W. P. Carey Q2 26 Earnings Conference Call At 11:00 AM ET
Peer Group
REIT - Diversified · 163 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goodman Group GMG | A$29.11 | A$7.37 | -75% |
| VICI Properties Inc VICI | $26.73 | $41.74 | +56% |
| Charter Hall Group CHC | A$21.90 | A$11.46 | -48% |
| Fibra Uno FUNO11 | 31.10 MXN | 63.56 MXN | +104% |
| COV COV | €52.55 | €62.39 | +19% |
| The GPT Group GPT | A$4.89 | A$3.49 | -29% |
| Mirvac Group MGR | A$1.70 | A$0.5700 | -66% |
| KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS | 8.85 MYR | 6.91 MYR | -22% |
| CRRUN CRRUN | C$17.65 | C$17.89 | +1% |
| Fibra Danhos DANHOS13 | 28.26 MXN | 49.89 MXN | +77% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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