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Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Austriacard Holdings AG €8.81, price €9.77, upside -9.8%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · GR

AH Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Austriacard Holdings AG

ACAG · AT

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value €8.81 · Overvalued (−10%)
!Quality 51/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +4.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/14)
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Weak on valuation: 20 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€9.90 €4.75 Fair Value €8.81 Mar 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

42‑month range €4.75 – €9.90 · fair‑value band €5.73 – €12.66 · the €9.77 price screens above the €8.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Austriacard Holdings AG provides business-to-business secure data and payment solutions in Europe. The company operates through two segments, Digital Security and Information Management. The company engages in the production, development, and personalization of smart cards for banks, public organizations, and retail chains.

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Austriacard Holdings AG provides business-to-business secure data and payment solutions in Europe. The company operates through two segments, Digital Security and Information Management. The company engages in the production, development, and personalization of smart cards for banks, public organizations, and retail chains. It offers digital security solutions, such as dual interface payment cards, government electronic identification cards, and mobile payment solutions. The company also offers information management solutions, including customer communication management services or enterprise document management, and scanning and archiving services, as well as digitalization solutions, such as digital onboarding, OCR / data capture solutions for automatic document recognition and registration using machine learning, robotic process automation, natural language understanding, and cognitive analytics solutions, as well as printing services for banks, telecommunication companies, public sector, and industrial/trade companies. In addition, it provides assets tracking, remote control of fridges and warehouses, communication, architecture, and custom end-to-end solutions. The company offers its products under AUSTRIACARD, INFORM, and Nautilus brand names. Austriacard Holdings AG was founded in 2010 and is based in Vienna, Austria.

Stock analysis

Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG) currently trades at €9.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €8.81, implying the stock looks roughly 10.9% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €10.65 per share, and 13 of the 24 models we run sit above the €9.77 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €2.47, and 11 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €5.73 (bear) to €12.66 (bull), the price of €9.77 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Austriacard Holdings AG reported revenue of €360M in FY2025 versus €178M in FY2021, a compound +19.3%/yr. Reported net income was €14.7M in FY2025, compounding +12.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €351M · P/E ratio 25.7 · P/S ratio 1.05 · EPS (TTM) €0.3800 · Net margin 4.1% · Return on equity 13.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.0% · Operating margin 6.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 106% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 53% fair-value upside, at −10%, ACAG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €5.73 Fair Value €8.81 Bull €12.66
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.2790 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €6.64 €10.89 €16.83 76
Growth DCF €6.63 €10.59 €15.90 74
Residual Income €3.13 €3.46 €4.87 73
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €6.64 €10.89 €16.83 76
Owner Earnings €5.02 €8.43 €13.21 72
5Y Revenue Exit €6.07 €10.65 €16.57 68
5Y EBITDA Exit €11.69 €21.52 €33.33 70
5Y P/E Exit €6.30 €11.10 €16.25 67
10Y Revenue Exit €6.00 €10.06 €15.67 63
10Y EBITDA Exit €9.52 €17.07 €27.71 64
10Y P/E Exit €6.33 €10.35 €15.44 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €2.78 €10.09 €13.61 61
Lynch FV €2.40 €3.42 €4.45 58
PEG = 1.0 €2.40 €3.42 €4.45 55
EPV €3.71 €4.43 €5.03 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple €8.57 €11.43 €14.29 63
P/S Multiple €5.20 €6.94 €8.67 58
P/B Multiple €5.20 €6.94 €8.67 55
EV/EBIT €13.47 €18.48 €23.49 66
EV/EBITDA €16.90 €23.06 €29.21 67
EV/Revenue €6.03 €9.29 €12.55 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.84 €2.47 €3.68 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €6.63 €10.59 €15.90 74
Rev-Margin DCF €6.07 €10.65 €16.16 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income €3.13 €3.46 €4.87 73
ROIC Compounder €3.72 €4.87 €6.31 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €5.46 €7.81 €10.15 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 79
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 99
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 8%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.6% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 498 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −10% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.62× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.02× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.09× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 15.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 13.1× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)20 · sector 45
FUTURE (revenue growth)42 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)53 · sector 36
HEALTH (low debt)69 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 43

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $227.06 $186.56 −18%
Accenture plc ACN $183.52 $305.06 +66%
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS ₹2,090 ₹2,993 +43%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,021 ₹1,690 +66%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,257 ₹1,926 +53%
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc FIS $34.67 $32.47 −6%
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation CTSH $59.14 $132.01 +123%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹164.90 ₹287.90 +75%
CDW Corporation CDW $146.16 $162.00 +11%
Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc BR $163.45 $145.34 −11%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Austriacard Holdings AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACAG

Frequently asked questions

Is Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €8.81 versus a price of €9.77, about −10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ACAG?
Our model-based fair value for Austriacard Holdings AG is €8.81 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €9.77.
What is the quality score of ACAG?
Austriacard Holdings AG has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €8.81 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €5.73, optimistic scenario €12.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Austriacard Holdings AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €8.81, about −10% upside versus a price of €9.77 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €5.73, optimistic scenario €12.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG)?
Austriacard Holdings AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €367M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Austriacard Holdings AG would have to grow free cash flow by +12.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +19.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ACAG use?
Our models discount Austriacard Holdings AG at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.47, country premium for Greece. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Austriacard Holdings AG that is +12.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Austriacard Holdings AG grew +19.3 % a year. The price currently implies +12.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Austriacard Holdings AG (+12.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.24 %: that much free cash flow Austriacard Holdings AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Austriacard Holdings AG it is €8.81 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €9.77. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Austriacard Holdings AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ACAG trades above its calculated fair value: price €9.77, fair value €8.81, a gap of about −10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ACAG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€9.77); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€8.81). For Austriacard Holdings AG the two are €0.9600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Austriacard Holdings AG worth?
The market values Austriacard Holdings AG at about €351M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €9.77; our models calculate a fair value of €8.81 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ACAG?
Our models span a range for Austriacard Holdings AG: cautious scenario €5.73, base €8.81, optimistic €12.66 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €9.77). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ACAG?
Austriacard Holdings AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.7 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €8.81 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.0, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 13.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Austriacard Holdings AG (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 13.3%, debt of 0.62 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ACAG from its 52-week high?
Austriacard Holdings AG trades at €9.77, about 1% below its 52-week high of €9.90 and 106% above the low of €4.75 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €8.81 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Austriacard Holdings AG?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Austriacard Holdings AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €9.77, calculated fair value €8.81 (−10%), Quality Score 51/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ACAG calculated?
We run Austriacard Holdings AG through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €8.81, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Austriacard Holdings AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €9.77. Our model-based fair value is €8.81, about −10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Austriacard Holdings AG right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (€5.73 to €12.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Austriacard Holdings AG

How large is the market capitalisation of Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG)?
The market capitalisation of Austriacard Holdings AG is €351M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Austriacard Holdings AG is 1.05 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG)?
Earnings per share at Austriacard Holdings AG are €0.3800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG)?
The net margin of Austriacard Holdings AG is 4.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Austriacard Holdings AG is 13.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Austriacard Holdings AG is 8.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG)?
The operating margin of Austriacard Holdings AG is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG)?
Revenue at Austriacard Holdings AG is growing +8.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG)?
Earnings per share at Austriacard Holdings AG are growing +80.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Austriacard Holdings AG (ACAG) carry?
The net debt of Austriacard Holdings AG is €68.0M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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