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Austriacard Holdings (ACAG) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · GR · Market cap €348M

AH Austriacard Holdings ACAG · AT
Price€9.82
Fair Value€8.16
Upside-16.9%
Quality51/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range €5.94 – €10.21 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from €8.97 to €8.16 (−9.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from €5.94 (bear) to €10.21 (bull), base €8.16. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 51/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

€9.84 €4.80 Fair Value €8.16 Mar 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

41‑month range €4.80 – €9.84 · fair‑value band €5.94 – €10.21 · the €9.82 price screens above the €8.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Austriacard Holdings (ACAG) currently trades at €9.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €8.16, implying the stock looks roughly 16.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Austriacard Holdings generated revenue of €367M at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue grew 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. Net debt stands at €68.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €5.94 (bear case) to €10.21 (bull case); at €9.82, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -17%, ACAG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €5.34 €8.67 €13.14 80
Residual Income €3.13 €3.46 €4.87 76
Rev-Margin DCF €5.56 €10.05 €15.43 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €5.34 €8.93 €13.93 38
Owner Earnings €3.73 €6.47 €10.31 31
5Y Revenue Exit €5.56 €10.08 €15.94 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €8.39 €15.54 €24.12 41
5Y P/E Exit €4.46 €7.95 €11.67 38
10Y Revenue Exit €5.18 €9.10 €14.55 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €7.06 €12.63 €20.43 37
10Y P/E Exit €4.73 €7.72 €11.48 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €2.78 €10.09 €13.61 54
Lynch FV €2.40 €3.42 €4.45 50
PEG = 1.0 €2.40 €3.42 €4.45 46
EPV €3.71 €4.43 €5.03 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €6.12 €8.16 €10.21 63
P/S Multiple €5.20 €6.94 €8.67 58
P/B Multiple €5.20 €6.94 €8.67 55
EV/EBIT €9.71 €13.47 €17.23 53
EV/EBITDA €11.77 €16.21 €20.66 54
EV/Revenue €6.03 €9.29 €12.55 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.84 €2.47 €3.68 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €5.34 €8.67 €13.14 80
Rev-Margin DCF €5.56 €10.05 €15.43 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €3.13 €3.46 €4.87 76
ROIC Compounder €3.72 €4.87 €6.31 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €4.40 €6.28 €8.16 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€8.93) versus Asset-Based (€2.47). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €367M
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.3%
Net margin 4.4%
Return on equity 13.3%
Free cash flow €25.4M FY2025
P/E ratio 25.5
More key figures
Operating margin 6.3%
EPS (TTM) €0.3800
EPS growth (YoY) +80.0%
Net debt €68.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 90

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 91
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Austriacard Holdings AG provides business-to-business secure data and payment solutions in Europe. The company operates through two segments, Digital Security and Information Management. The company engages in the production, development, and personalization of smart cards for banks, public organizations, and retail chains.

Full company description

Austriacard Holdings AG provides business-to-business secure data and payment solutions in Europe. The company operates through two segments, Digital Security and Information Management. The company engages in the production, development, and personalization of smart cards for banks, public organizations, and retail chains. It offers digital security solutions, such as dual interface payment cards, government electronic identification cards, and mobile payment solutions. The company also offers information management solutions, including customer communication management services or enterprise document management, and scanning and archiving services, as well as digitalization solutions, such as digital onboarding, OCR / data capture solutions for automatic document recognition and registration using machine learning, robotic process automation, natural language understanding, and cognitive analytics solutions, as well as printing services for banks, telecommunication companies, public sector, and industrial/trade companies. In addition, it provides assets tracking, remote control of fridges and warehouses, communication, architecture, and custom end-to-end solutions. The company offers its products under AUSTRIACARD, INFORM, and Nautilus brand names. Austriacard Holdings AG was founded in 2010 and is based in Vienna, Austria.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Austriacard Holdings reported revenue of €360M in FY2025 versus €178M in FY2021, a compound +19.3%/yr. Reported net income was €14.7M in FY2025, compounding +12.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€360M
Latest YoY
−8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.6%
Revenue +19.3%/yr
FY21 €178M
FY22 €315M
FY23 €365M
FY24 €392M
FY25 €360M
Net income +12.3%/yr
FY21 €9.2M
FY22 €4.2M
FY23 €15.8M
FY24 €19.0M
FY25 €14.7M

ACAG screens 17% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Austriacard Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACAG

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 475 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −17% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.62× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.04× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.10× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 15.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 11 · sector 21
FUTURE 42 · sector 31
PAST 53 · sector 37
HEALTH 69 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 37

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.92 $143.90 -39%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 250.95 MXN -90%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,457 +26%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,204 ₹1,230 +2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹178.43 ₹226.81 +27%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,455 ₹1,086 -25%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 199,300 KRW 196,390 KRW -1%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,059 ₹2,364 -53%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 393,000 KRW 133,088 KRW -66%
Coforge Limited COFORGE ₹1,541 ₹702.84 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Austriacard Holdings (ACAG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €8.16 versus a price of €9.82, about −17% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ACAG?
Our model-based fair value for Austriacard Holdings is €8.16 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €9.82.
What is the quality score of ACAG?
Austriacard Holdings has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Austriacard Holdings (ACAG)?
Austriacard Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €367M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ACAG?
The net profit margin of Austriacard Holdings is about 4.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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