Acast AB (ACAST) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · SE · Market cap 7.2B SEK
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated today
Share price −9.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 80% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 8.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 4.94 – kr 40.95 · fair‑value band kr 6.06 – kr 8.44 · the kr 36.10 price screens above the kr 7.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Acast AB (ACAST) currently trades at kr 36.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 7.25, implying the stock looks roughly 79.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Acast AB generated revenue of 2.6B SEK at a net margin of -0.1%. Revenue grew 20.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 454M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 6.06 (bear case) to kr 8.44 (bull case); at kr 36.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 147% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -80%, ACAST screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 7.88) versus Asset-Based (kr 4.34). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Acast AB (publ) operates as a podcasting company in Europe, North America, and internationally. It provides podcast marketplace and building technology to connect podcast creators, advertisers, and listeners. The company also operates a podcast platform to host and distribute their podcast.
Full company description
Acast AB (publ) operates as a podcasting company in Europe, North America, and internationally. It provides podcast marketplace and building technology to connect podcast creators, advertisers, and listeners. The company also operates a podcast platform to host and distribute their podcast. In addition, it offers podcast advertising services for promotion of the brand; and monetization opportunities for podcast creators and advertisers. Acast AB (publ) was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Acast AB reported revenue of kr 2.5B in FY2025 versus kr 1.0B in FY2021, a compound +25.2%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 112M in FY2025.
ACAST screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Peer Group
Entertainment · 268 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc ZNFL | C$6.08 | C$2.66 | -56% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $103.18 | $80.62 | -22% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $27.65 | $9.03 | -67% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $185.33 | $59.97 | -68% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 59.14 MXN | +8% |
| PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN | 370.00 IDR | 212.14 IDR | -43% |
| Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS | ₹268.00 | ₹63.45 | -76% |
| JYP Entertainment Corporation 035900 | 46,000 KRW | 82,382 KRW | +79% |
| SM Entertainment Co 041510 | 75,500 KRW | 208,415 KRW | +176% |
| PVR INOX Limited PVRINOX | ₹1,176 | ₹467.91 | -60% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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