Acast AB (ACAST) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Acast AB stock SEK 7.14, price SEK 29.65, that is 75.9% below the price, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 4.94 – kr 40.95 · fair‑value band kr 5.97 – kr 8.31 · the kr 29.65 price screens above the kr 7.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 11, 2026.
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Acast AB (publ) operates as a podcasting company in Europe, North America, and internationally. It provides podcast marketplace and building technology to connect podcast creators, advertisers, and listeners. The company also operates a podcast platform to host and distribute their podcast.
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In addition, it offers podcast advertising services for promotion of the brand; and monetization opportunities for podcast creators and advertisers. Acast AB (publ) was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Acast AB (ACAST) currently trades at kr 29.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 7.14, 76% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: kr 5.97 (bear) to kr 8.31 (bull), the price of kr 29.65 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Acast AB reported revenue of 2.5B SEK in FY2025 versus 1.0B SEK in FY2021, a compound +25.2%/yr. Reported net income was −112M SEK in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 5.8B SEK (≈ $578M) Small · P/E ratio 40.1 · P/S ratio 1.95 · EPS (TTM) kr 0.7400 · Net margin 4.8% · Return on equity 11.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 6.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −76%, ACAST screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bearkr 5.97Fair Value kr 7.14Bullkr 8.31
Price kr 29.65 · Downside -75.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 0.6407 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+45.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−25.1% (2020) → −0.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (6 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 251 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Above median
Fair Value upside−75.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets−5.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)4.8% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)6.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)24.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)40.1× · Pricier than median
P/B4.88× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.95× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA32.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)47· sector 4
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 46
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Acast AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACAST
Frequently asked questions
Is Acast AB (ACAST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 7.14 versus a price of kr 29.65, about 76% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ACAST?
Our model-based fair value for Acast AB is kr 7.14 (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 29.65.
What is the quality score of ACAST?
Acast AB has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Acast AB (ACAST)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 7.14 (as of Nov 11, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 5.97, optimistic scenario kr 8.31. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Acast AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 7.14, about 76% lower versus a price of kr 29.65 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 5.97, optimistic scenario kr 8.31. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Acast AB (ACAST)?
Acast AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.0B SEK (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Acast AB (ACAST)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Acast AB it is kr 7.14 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of kr 29.65. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Acast AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, ACAST trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 29.65, fair value kr 7.14, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ACAST?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 29.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 7.14). For Acast AB the two are kr 22.51 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Acast AB worth?
The market values Acast AB at about 5.8B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is kr 29.65; our models calculate a fair value of kr 7.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ACAST?
Our models span a range for Acast AB: cautious scenario kr 5.97, base kr 7.14, optimistic kr 8.31 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price kr 29.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ACAST?
Acast AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 40.1 (as of Nov 11, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 7.14 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.9, P/S 2.0, EV/EBITDA 32.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Acast AB (ACAST)?
Balance-sheet figures for Acast AB (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity 11.9%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ACAST from its 52-week high?
Acast AB trades at kr 29.65, about 28% below its 52-week high of kr 40.95 and 28% above the low of kr 23.15 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 7.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Acast AB?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, TKO Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Acast AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price kr 29.65, calculated fair value kr 7.14 (−76%), Quality Score 51/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ACAST calculated?
We run Acast AB through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of kr 7.14 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Acast AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Acast AB (ACAST)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was kr 29.65. Our model-based fair value is kr 7.14, about 76% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Acast AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 8.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Acast AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Acast AB (ACAST)?
The market capitalisation of Acast AB is 5.8B SEK (≈ $578M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Acast AB (ACAST)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Acast AB is 1.95 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Acast AB (ACAST)?
Earnings per share at Acast AB are kr 0.7400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 40.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Acast AB (ACAST)?
The net margin of Acast AB is 4.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Acast AB (ACAST)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Acast AB is 11.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Acast AB (ACAST)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Acast AB is −9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Acast AB (ACAST)?
The operating margin of Acast AB is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Acast AB (ACAST)?
Revenue at Acast AB is growing +24.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Acast AB (ACAST)?
Earnings per share at Acast AB are growing +500% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Acast AB (ACAST) generate?
The free cash flow of Acast AB is −4.1M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Acast AB (ACAST) hold?
Acast AB holds more cash than debt, 454M SEK net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 11, 2026