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Acast AB (ACAST) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Acast AB SEK 7.25, price SEK 31.95, upside -77.3%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · SE · ISIN SE0015960935

AA Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Acast AB

ACAST · ST

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value kr 7.25 · Strongly overvalued (−77.3%)
!Quality 59/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +33.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (7/11)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 40.95 kr 4.94 Fair Value kr 7.25 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 4.94 – kr 40.95 · fair‑value band kr 6.06 – kr 8.44 · the kr 31.95 price screens above the kr 7.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Acast AB (publ) operates as a podcasting company in Europe, North America, and internationally. It provides podcast marketplace and building technology to connect podcast creators, advertisers, and listeners. The company also operates a podcast platform to host and distribute their podcast.

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Acast AB (publ) operates as a podcasting company in Europe, North America, and internationally. It provides podcast marketplace and building technology to connect podcast creators, advertisers, and listeners. The company also operates a podcast platform to host and distribute their podcast. In addition, it offers podcast advertising services for promotion of the brand; and monetization opportunities for podcast creators and advertisers. Acast AB (publ) was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Acast AB (ACAST) currently trades at kr 31.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 7.25, implying the stock looks roughly 340.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: kr 6.06 (bear) to kr 8.44 (bull), the price of kr 31.95 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Acast AB reported revenue of 2.5B SEK in FY2025 versus 1.0B SEK in FY2021, a compound +25.2%/yr. Reported net income was −112M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 7.2B SEK (≈ $726M) · P/S ratio 2.74 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.0200 · Net margin −4.5% · Return on equity −0.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.9% · Operating margin 0.7% · Revenue (TTM) 2.6B SEK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 86% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at −77%, ACAST screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 6.06 Fair Value kr 7.25 Bull kr 8.44
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA kr 6.69 kr 7.88 kr 9.07 67
NCAV (Graham) kr 3.24 kr 4.34 kr 6.47 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA kr 6.69 kr 7.88 kr 9.07 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 3.24 kr 4.34 kr 6.47 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+45.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−25.1% (2020) → −0.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ACAST screens 341% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 256 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −77.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −0.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 20.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.61× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.28× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 15
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 4
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $71.15 $78.27 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $106.15 $101.23 −5%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $30.86 $13.47 −56%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $170.87 $48.93 −71%
TKO Group TKO $182.67 $69.66 −62%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.59 €16.05 +10%
Fox Corporation FOX $56.54 $65.92 +17%
Formula One Group FWONK $94.61 $104.07 +10%
Roku, Inc ROKU $152.68 $42.86 −72%
News Corporation NWS $31.75 $17.05 −46%

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Acast AB · Fair Value
kr 7.25 −341%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Acast AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACAST

Frequently asked questions

Is Acast AB (ACAST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 7.25 versus a price of kr 31.95, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ACAST?
Our model-based fair value for Acast AB is kr 7.25 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 31.95.
What is the quality score of ACAST?
Acast AB has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Acast AB (ACAST)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 7.25 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 6.06, optimistic scenario kr 8.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Acast AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 7.25, about −77% upside versus a price of kr 31.95 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 6.06, optimistic scenario kr 8.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Acast AB (ACAST)?
Acast AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.6B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Acast AB (ACAST)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Acast AB it is kr 7.25 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of kr 31.95. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Acast AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, ACAST trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 31.95, fair value kr 7.25, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ACAST?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 31.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 7.25). For Acast AB the two are kr 24.70 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Acast AB worth?
The market values Acast AB at about 7.2B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is kr 31.95; our models calculate a fair value of kr 7.25 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ACAST?
Our models span a range for Acast AB: cautious scenario kr 6.06, base kr 7.25, optimistic kr 8.44 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price kr 31.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Acast AB (ACAST)?
Balance-sheet figures for Acast AB (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −0.2%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ACAST from its 52-week high?
Acast AB trades at kr 31.95, about 22% below its 52-week high of kr 40.95 and 86% above the low of kr 17.22 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 7.25 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Acast AB?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Acast AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price kr 31.95, calculated fair value kr 7.25 (−77%), Quality Score 59/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ACAST calculated?
We run Acast AB through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 7.25, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Acast AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Acast AB (ACAST)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was kr 31.95. Our model-based fair value is kr 7.25, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Acast AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 8.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Acast AB

How large is the market capitalisation of Acast AB (ACAST)?
The market capitalisation of Acast AB is 7.2B SEK (≈ $726M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Acast AB (ACAST)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Acast AB is 2.74 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Acast AB (ACAST)?
Earnings per share at Acast AB are kr −0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Acast AB (ACAST)?
The net margin of Acast AB is −4.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Acast AB (ACAST)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Acast AB is −0.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Acast AB (ACAST)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Acast AB is −9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Acast AB (ACAST)?
The operating margin of Acast AB is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Acast AB (ACAST)?
Revenue at Acast AB is growing +20.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Acast AB (ACAST)?
Earnings per share at Acast AB are growing −60.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Acast AB (ACAST) generate?
The free cash flow of Acast AB is −4.1M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Acast AB (ACAST) hold?
Acast AB holds more cash than debt, 454M SEK net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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