PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, (MSIN) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · ID · Market cap 27.7T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price −21.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 41% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (165.82 IDR to 561.24 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 29.10 IDR – 1,680 IDR · fair‑value band 165.82 IDR – 561.24 IDR · the 376.00 IDR price screens above the 221.09 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, (MSIN) currently trades at 376.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 221.09 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 41.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, generated revenue of 4.0T IDR at a net margin of 25.8%. Revenue grew 17.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 414B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 165.82 IDR (bear case) to 561.24 IDR (bull case); at 376.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -41%, MSIN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (470.96 IDR) versus Asset-Based (72.91 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in producing, developing, and distributing content and intellectual properties across various media platforms in Indonesia. It operates through Content, IP & Others; Online Advertising; and Subscription segments.
Full company description
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in producing, developing, and distributing content and intellectual properties across various media platforms in Indonesia. It operates through Content, IP & Others; Online Advertising; and Subscription segments. The company is involved in media and entertainment activities, such as drama production houses, infotainment, reality shows, game shows, animation, films, original content, micro drama, and music labels. It also acts as an advertising and talent agency; provides content and IP licensing; and operates social media, including multi-channel networks (MCN) and digital marketing, as well as OTT superapps, RCTI+ (AVOD Superapp) & Vision+ (SVOD Superapp). The company was formerly known as PT MNC Studios International TBK and changed its name to PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk in March 2022. PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk was founded in 2000 and is based in Jakarta Barat, Indonesia. The company operates as a subsidiary of PT Media Nusantara Citra Tbk.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, reported revenue of 3.8T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.8T IDR in FY2021, a compound +20.6%/yr. Reported net income was 975B IDR in FY2025, compounding +34.3%/yr from FY2021.
MSIN screens 41% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Peer Group
Entertainment · 267 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc ZNFL | C$6.77 | C$2.96 | -56% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $96.30 | $89.55 | -7% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $26.87 | $9.13 | -66% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $178.44 | $46.89 | -74% |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €18.91 | €14.78 | -22% |
| TKO Group TKO | $184.40 | $22.16 | -88% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 60.49 MXN | +10% |
| Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 | ¥11.77 | ¥10.97 | -7% |
| Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS | ₹298.25 | ₹63.45 | -79% |
| JYP Entertainment Corporation 035900 | 50,700 KRW | 82,382 KRW | +62% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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