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Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Jun 12, 2026: fair value of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation $3.51, price $1.35, upside +160.0%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · US · Home Philippines · ISIN US0492494028

AC Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation

ACMDY · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $3.51 · Strongly undervalued (+160.0%)
!Quality 48/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -7.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/9)
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$2.38 $1.35 Fair Value $3.51 Mar 2021 Jun 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.35 – $2.38 · fair‑value band $2.25 – $5.48 · the $1.35 price screens below the $3.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and mining of metallic mineral properties in the Philippines. The company operates in two segments, Mining and Non-Mining.

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Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and mining of metallic mineral properties in the Philippines. The company operates in two segments, Mining and Non-Mining. It primarily produces copper concentrate with gold and silver, as well as by-products, including pyrite, magnetite, and molybdenum. The company's primary project is the Toledo copper mine covering an area of 1,674 hectares located in Toledo City, Cebu province. It also provides and supplies bulk water to local water districts and other customers. In addition, the company engages in the business of searching, prospecting, exploring, and locating of ores and mineral resources, and other exploration work, as well as mining waste disposal, handling, and management. The company was formerly known as Masbate Consolidated Mining Company, Inc. Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation was incorporated in 1935 and is headquartered in Pasay City, the Philippines.

Stock analysis

Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY) currently trades at $1.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.51, implying the stock looks roughly 61.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $4.12 per share, and 10 of the 14 models we run sit above the $1.35 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.6900, and 4 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $2.25 (bear) to $5.48 (bull), the price of $1.35 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation reported revenue of 17.2B PHP in FY2025 versus 17.9B PHP in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was −248M PHP in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $398M · P/E ratio 6.8 · P/S ratio 0.02 · EPS (TTM) $0.2000 · Net margin −1.4% · Return on equity −2.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% · Operating margin 21.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at 160%, ACMDY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.25 Fair Value $3.51 Bull $5.48
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1512 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $2.85 $4.12 $7.90 75
EPV $0.6100 $0.6900 $0.7500 74
Growth DCF $2.67 $4.56 $7.51 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.85 $4.12 $7.90 75
Owner Earnings $3.22 $6.58 $12.81 70
5Y Revenue Exit $1.52 $2.23 $3.68 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.75 $6.72 $12.57 69
10Y Revenue Exit $1.95 $3.38 $4.07 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.46 $7.76 $15.30 62
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.6100 $0.6900 $0.7500 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.9400 $1.22 $1.50 66
EV/EBITDA $4.10 $5.44 $6.78 67
EV/Revenue $0.8300 $1.14 $1.45 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.09 $2.80 $4.18 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.67 $4.56 $7.51 74
Rev-Margin DCF $1.65 $2.54 $4.43 68
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.6100 $0.6900 $0.7500 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.6% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
22.6% (2020) → 5.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Copper · 61 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −32.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −0.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −7.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 21.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 65.5% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Copper median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.8× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 20

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Southern Copper Corporation SCCO $202.64 $157.34 −22%
Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX $71.96 $16.47 −77%
First Quantum Minerals Ltd FM C$45.54 C$20.04 −56%
Jiangxi Copper Company 600362 ¥42.40 ¥25.87 −39%
Lundin Mining Corporation LUN C$33.93 C$37.32 +10%
MMG Limited 1208 HK$8.55 HK$9.40 +10%
Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM $26.87 $21.22 −21%
Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 ¥5.89 ¥2.16 −63%
Capstone Copper Corp CS C$14.54 C$9.74 −33%
China Nonferrous Mining Corporation 1258 HK$15.49 HK$13.82 −11%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACMDY

Frequently asked questions

Is Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.51 versus the last price from Jun 12, 2026 of $1.35, about +160% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ACMDY?
Our model-based fair value for Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation is $3.51 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jun 12, 2026): $1.35.
What is the quality score of ACMDY?
Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.51 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.25, optimistic scenario $5.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.51, about +160% upside versus the last price from Jun 12, 2026 of $1.35 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.25, optimistic scenario $5.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY)?
Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 16.0B PHP (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation it is $3.51 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.35. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ACMDY trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.35, fair value $3.51, a gap of about +160% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ACMDY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.51). For Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation the two are $2.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation worth?
The market values Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation at about $398M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.35; our models calculate a fair value of $3.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ACMDY?
Our models span a range for Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation: cautious scenario $2.25, base $3.51, optimistic $5.48 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ACMDY?
Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $3.51 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ACMDY from its 52-week high?
Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation trades at $1.35, at its 52-week high of $1.35 and at the low of $1.35 (as of Jun 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Southern Copper Corporation, Freeport-McMoRan Inc, First Quantum Minerals Ltd, Jiangxi Copper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.35, calculated fair value $3.51 (+160%), Quality Score 48/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ACMDY calculated?
We run Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.51, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation currently trades 62 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY)?
The latest price we hold is from Jun 12, 2026 and stands at $1.35. Our model-based fair value is $3.51, about +160% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.25). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($2.25 to $5.48) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY)?
The market capitalisation of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation is $398M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation is 0.02 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY)?
Earnings per share at Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation are $0.2000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY)?
The net margin of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation is −1.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation is −2.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation is 2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY)?
The operating margin of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation is 21.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY)?
Revenue at Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation is growing +65.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY)?
Earnings per share at Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation are growing +180% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY) generate?
The free cash flow of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation is 1.8B PHP (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation (ACMDY) carry?
The net debt of Atlas Consolidated Mining and Development Corporation is 15.1B PHP (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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