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Acadian Timber Corp (ADN) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$319M

AT Acadian Timber Corp ADN · TO
PriceC$17.90
Fair ValueC$7.07
Upside-60.5%
Quality57/100
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Evidence: High Range C$7.07 – C$8.83

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Share price +1.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

C$18.21 C$13.73 Fair Value C$7.07 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range C$13.73 – C$18.21 · fair‑value band C$7.07 – C$8.83 · the C$17.90 price screens above the C$7.07 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Acadian Timber Corp (ADN) currently trades at C$17.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$7.07 — implying the stock looks roughly 60.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Acadian Timber Corp generated revenue of C$85.5M at a net margin of 57.0%. Revenue declined 5.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.9%. Net debt stands at C$106M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$85.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.7%
Net margin 57.0%
Return on equity 13.9%
Free cash flow C$3.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 6.5
More key figures
Operating margin 18.4%
EPS (TTM) C$2.68
Dividend yield 6.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -8.4%
Net debt C$106M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Acadian Timber Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides forest products in Eastern Canada and the Northeastern United States. The company operates through New Brunswick Timberlands, Maine Timberlands, and Environmental Solutions segments. It offers timber products, such as softwood and hardwood sawlogs, pulpwood, and biomass by-products. The company also owns and manages freehold timberlands in New Brunswick and Maine; and provides timber services relating to Crown licensed timberlands in New Brunswick. In addition, it provides forest management and environmental solutions; and engages in real estate activities. Acadian Timber Corp. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Edmundston, Canada.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Acadian Timber Corp reported revenue of C$87.0M in FY2025 versus C$95.7M in FY2021, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was C$49.0M in FY2025, compounding +27.2%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −2.4%/yr
FY21 C$95.7M
FY22 C$90.5M
FY23 C$93.5M
FY24 C$116M
FY25 C$87.0M
Net income +27.2%/yr
FY21 C$18.7M
FY22 C$35.5M
FY23 C$29.4M
FY24 C$21.7M
FY25 C$49.0M

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Similar stocks

6 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD $185.41 $105.89 -43%
West Fraser Timber Co WFG $69.05 $7.50 -89%
UFP Industries, Inc UFPI $85.44 $101.34 +19%
Stella-Jones Inc STLJF $58.00 $67.39 +16%
Boise Cascade Company BCC $68.31 $44.84 -34%
Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY ₹754.55 ₹201.01 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Acadian Timber Corp (ADN) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$7.07 versus a price of C$17.90 — about −61% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ADN?
Our model-based fair value for Acadian Timber Corp is C$7.07 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$17.90.
What is the quality score of ADN?
Acadian Timber Corp has a Quality Score of 57/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Acadian Timber Corp (ADN)?
Acadian Timber Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$85.5M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ADN?
The net profit margin of Acadian Timber Corp is about 57.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 57.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Acadian Timber Corp pay a dividend?
Acadian Timber Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.64% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.