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Alamos Gold Inc (AGI) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $16.6B

AG Alamos Gold Inc logo Alamos Gold Inc AGI · US
Price$30.88
Fair Value$27.83
Upside-9.9%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $15.72 – $59.83

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −24.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$55.54 $24.36 Fair Value $27.83 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $24.36 – $55.54 · fair‑value band $15.72 – $59.83 · the $30.88 price screens above the $27.83 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Alamos Gold Inc (AGI) currently trades at $30.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $27.83 — implying the stock looks roughly 9.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Alamos Gold Inc generated revenue of $2.1B at a net margin of 51.2%. Revenue grew 79.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $388M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +79.2%
Net margin 51.2%
Return on equity 25.9%
Free cash flow $271M FY2025
P/E ratio 15.8
More key figures
Operating margin 52.4%
EPS (TTM) $2.51
Dividend yield 0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +1,145%
Net cash $388M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Alamos Gold Inc reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $824M in FY2021, a compound +21.8%/yr. Reported net income was $889M in FY2025.

Revenue +21.8%/yr
FY21 $824M
FY22 $821M
FY23 $1.0B
FY24 $1.3B
FY25 $1.8B
Net income
FY21 −$66.7M
FY22 $37.1M
FY23 $210M
FY24 $284M
FY25 $889M

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Similar stocks

6 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $112.00 $132.73 +19%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥29.63 ¥43.68 +47%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $152.48 $243.94 +60%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $42.79 $73.15 +71%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp SII €105.35 €52.47 -50%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $86.23 $88.63 +3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alamos Gold Inc (AGI) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $27.83 versus a price of $30.88 — about −10% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AGI?
Our 21-model fair value for Alamos Gold Inc is $27.83 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $30.88.
What is the quality score of AGI?
Alamos Gold Inc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Alamos Gold Inc (AGI)?
Alamos Gold Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.1B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AGI?
The net profit margin of Alamos Gold Inc is about 51.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 51.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Alamos Gold Inc pay a dividend?
Alamos Gold Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.29% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.