Alico, Inc (ALCO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $298M
Alico, Inc
ALCO · US
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $9.31 to $12.06 (+29.5%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price +1.2% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $31.17 – $44.32 · fair‑value band $8.47 – $17.43 · the $41.02 price screens above the $12.06 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Alico, Inc (ALCO) currently trades at $41.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.06 — implying the stock looks roughly 70.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 92/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $16.4M. Revenue declined 70.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.8%. Net debt stands at $47.4M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Alico, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an agribusiness and land management company in the United States. It engages in the grazing and hunting leasing, management, and/or conservation of unimproved native pastureland, and activities related to rock mining royalties and other business; and owning or leasing of improved farmland. The company was incorporated in 1960 and is based in Fort Myers, Florida.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Alico, Inc reported revenue of $44.1M in FY2025 versus $109M in FY2021, a compound −20.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$147M in FY2025.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.