Alithya Group (ALYA) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CA · Market cap C$96.8M

Below-average quality, screening 117% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$1.71). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
• A fairly wide model range (C$1.71 to C$3.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.9700 – C$4.05 · fair‑value band C$1.71 – C$3.70 · the C$1.25 price screens below the C$2.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Alithya Group (ALYA) currently trades at C$1.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$2.71, implying the stock looks roughly 116.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Alithya Group generated revenue of C$489M at a net margin of -4.5%. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.3%. Net debt stands at C$114M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$1.71 (bear case) to C$3.70 (bull case); at C$1.25, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 117%, ALYA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples (C$2.87) versus Growth DCF (C$0.2300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Alithya Group Inc. provides information technology services and solutions through digital technologies in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company offers strategic consulting, enterprise transformation, and business enablement services.

Full company description

Alithya Group Inc. provides information technology services and solutions through digital technologies in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company offers strategic consulting, enterprise transformation, and business enablement services. It also provides advisory services for digital strategy, organization performance, cybersecurity, enterprise architecture, and change and program management. In addition, the company offers enterprise resource planning, supply chain management, enterprise performance management, customer relationship management, cloud infrastructure, custom application development, legacy systems modernization, control/software engineering, data and analytics, machine learning and artificial intelligence, human capital management, and intelligent document processing services. Further, it provides digital adoption, training, managed, change enablement, and quality engineering services. Additionally, the company offers AI-FI, an integrated artificial intelligence and fidelity solution; Alithya Rapid QA, an automated and manual testing tool for software solutions; Alithya Adaptive Learning, a platform for on-demand training for enterprise applications; CASSI analytics, a solution for nuclear plants to generate and distribute maintenance performance reports; and SIDER, a secure integrated system to distribute electronic medical results. It serves financial services, energy, manufacturing, telecommunications, transportation and logistics, higher education services, healthcare, government, and other sectors. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Montreal, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Alithya Group reported revenue of C$477M in FY2026 versus C$438M in FY2022, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was −C$38.8M in FY2026.

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Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 475 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.