AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $91.3M
AMTD IDEA Group
AMTD · US
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price −18.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 10% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
- Our model range runs from $0.5147 (bear) to $0.8577 (bull), base $0.6885. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 51/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7501 – $42.60 · fair‑value band $0.5147 – $0.8577 · the $0.7653 price screens above the $0.6885 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) currently trades at $0.7653, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6885, implying the stock looks roughly 10.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, AMTD IDEA Group generated revenue of $88.5M at a net margin of 49.3%. Revenue declined 82.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. Net debt stands at $241M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.5147 (bear case) to $0.8577 (bull case); at $0.7653, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -10%, AMTD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($12.38) versus Asset-Based ($9.76). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AMTD IDEA Group, an investment holding company, provides capital market solutions in China, Hong Kong, Europe, the United States, and Southeast Asia. It operates through Capital Market Solutions, Digital Solutions and Other Services, Media and Entertainment Services, Hotel Operations, Hospitality and VIP Services, and Strategic Investments segments.
Full company description
AMTD IDEA Group, an investment holding company, provides capital market solutions in China, Hong Kong, Europe, the United States, and Southeast Asia. It operates through Capital Market Solutions, Digital Solutions and Other Services, Media and Entertainment Services, Hotel Operations, Hospitality and VIP Services, and Strategic Investments segments. The Capital Market Solutions segment raises funds through equity and debt financing, private placements, and debt issuances; provides financial advisory services, such as domestic and cross border advisory services for merger and acquisitions; and provides asset management products and services. The Digital Solutions and Other Services segment provides investor communication, investor relations, and corporate communication services to institutional and corporate clients, as well as digital financial solution services. The Media and Entertainment Services segment offers print and digital advertising campaigns, licensing, value-added marketing services comprising branded content, video production, social media activation, event creation, and experiential marketing services. The Hotel Operations, Hospitality and VIP Services segment engages in hotel investments, hotel operations, hospitality, and VIP services. The Strategic Investment segment engages in proprietary investments and management of global investment portfolio, including listed and unlisted equity shares investments and movie income right investments. The company was formerly known as AMTD International Inc. and changed its name to AMTD IDEA Group in March 2022. AMTD IDEA Group was founded in 2003 and is based in Paris, France. AMTD IDEA Group operates as a subsidiary of AMTD Group Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AMTD IDEA Group reported revenue of $57.2M in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound −54.9%/yr. Reported net income was $43.6M in FY2025, compounding −56.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −32.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
AMTD screens 10% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →
Peer Group
Asset Management · 971 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fondul Proprietatea SA FP | $0.0420 | $0.0800 | +90% |
| BlackRock, Inc BLK | $1,136 | $465.75 | -59% |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $124.56 | $16.35 | -87% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 423.70 | kr 847.40 | +100% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$62.45 | C$10.12 | -84% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $100.94 | $44.88 | -56% |
| AB Industrivärden INDUA | kr 532.50 | kr 1,065 | +100% |
| Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN | ₹242.98 | ₹40.19 | -83% |
| Hedef Holding HEDEF | 267.25 TRY | 320.98 TRY | +20% |
| Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG | ₹10,398 | ₹9,202 | -12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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