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Antin IP SA (ANTIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Antin IP SA €12.21, price €7.40, upside +65.0%, quality 85 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Financial Services · FR · ISIN FR0014005AL0

AI Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Antin IP SA

ANTIN · PA

Strongly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside with high Quality.

✓Fair value €12.21 · Strongly undervalued (+65%)
✓Quality 85/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +10.2 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 36.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·9.59% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (9/14)
✓Wide moat 85/100
!Insider activity 40/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€28.05 €7.35 Fair Value €12.21 Sep 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €7.35 – €28.05 · fair‑value band €6.06 – €17.43 · the €7.40 price screens below the €12.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Antin Infrastructure Partners S.A. is a private equity firm specializing in infrastructure investments. The firm does not invest in projects which involve technological or commercial risk associated with developing a clientele in a competitive market or invest alongside partners which could represent counterparty risk.

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Antin Infrastructure Partners S.A. is a private equity firm specializing in infrastructure investments. The firm does not invest in projects which involve technological or commercial risk associated with developing a clientele in a competitive market or invest alongside partners which could represent counterparty risk. It seeks to invest in main infrastructure sectors including transportation, energy, digital, social infrastructure, environment, and telecommunication. The firm focuses on toll roads, tunnels, highways, tramways, bridges; airports; ports; urban rail, bus lines; car parks in transport; Motorway Service Areas (MSAs); gas storage; LNG terminals; transmission (pipelines, high-voltage electricity transmission); distribution; buildings and public works, generation (non-merchant); water infrastructure (pipelines & sewage units); waste management in energy and environment; and GSM towers; ADSL networks; broadcast networks; cable networks; and satellites in Telecommunication. It typically to invests in non-listed companies based in continental Europe including United Kingdom and North America. It seeks to invest between "600 million ($643.62 million) to "1000 million ($1072.70 million) in flagship, between "50 million ($53.63 million) to "300 million ($321.81 million) in mid cap, between "20 million ($21.45 million) to "200 million ($214.54 million) in nextgen. The firm may take minority or majority stake allowing representation to the board of directors. It essentially invests in equity and may invest alone or co-invest through a consortium. Antin Infrastructure Partners S.A. was founded in 2007 and is based in Paris, France with additional offices in London, United Kingdom, Luxembourg, Luxembourg, Singapore, Singapore, Seoul, South Korea and New York, New York.

Stock analysis

Antin IP SA (ANTIN) currently trades at €7.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €12.21, implying the stock looks roughly 39.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €12.94 per share, and 10 of the 13 models we run sit above the €7.40 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €1.79, and 3 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €6.06 (bear) to €17.43 (bull), the price of €7.40 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 85/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Antin IP SA reported revenue of €292M in FY2025 versus €181M in FY2021, a compound +12.8%/yr. Reported net income was €111M in FY2025, compounding +36.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €1.6B · P/E ratio 12.3 · P/S ratio 4.68 · EPS (TTM) €0.6000 · Dividend yield 9.6% · Net margin 38.0% · Return on equity 21.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at 65%, ANTIN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €6.06 Fair Value €12.21 Bull €17.43
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €9.62 €14.47 €21.62 78
Owner Earnings €9.48 €14.90 €23.49 75
Rev-Margin DCF €6.31 €8.51 €11.45 73
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €9.48 €14.90 €23.49 75
5Y P/E Exit €8.41 €12.92 €18.10 71
10Y P/E Exit €8.84 €12.94 €18.78 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €4.23 €21.32 €29.44 64
Lynch FV €5.78 €8.26 €10.74 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €5.67 €10.22 €14.07 68
DDM Multi-Stage €5.67 €9.34 €10.92 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple €6.06 €8.08 €10.10 63
P/B Multiple €2.80 €3.74 €4.67 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.33 €1.79 €2.67 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €9.62 €14.47 €21.62 78
Rev-Margin DCF €6.31 €8.51 €11.45 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income €3.32 €4.02 €8.79 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 85/100

Of which business quality 82 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 76
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+26.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)9.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.69% → 49%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.2% a year for the price and +2.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+1.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.8%

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Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (79 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 659 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 85 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +65% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 37% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 51% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −16% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.6% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.81× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 6.20× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 14.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.6× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 55
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)88 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 80

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Blackstone Inc BX $124.01 $52.88 −57%
Brookfield Corporation BN $37.85 $13.75 −64%
KKR & Co KKR $98.44 $19.97 −80%
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $124.15 $229.64 +85%
State Street Corporation STT $180.25 $138.33 −23%
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $512.37 $579.51 +13%
Ares Management Corporation ARES $124.72 $119.25 −4%
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $173.40 $122.02 −30%
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $159.39 $312.27 +96%
T. Rowe Price Group TROW $104.17 $208.34 +100%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Antin IP SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ANTIN

Frequently asked questions

Is Antin IP SA (ANTIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €12.21 versus a price of €7.40, about +65% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ANTIN?
Our model-based fair value for Antin IP SA is €12.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €7.40.
What is the quality score of ANTIN?
Antin IP SA has a Quality Score of 85/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Antin IP SA (ANTIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €12.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario €6.06, optimistic scenario €17.43. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Antin IP SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €12.21, about +65% upside versus a price of €7.40 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €6.06, optimistic scenario €17.43. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Antin IP SA (ANTIN)?
Antin IP SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €292M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Antin IP SA pay a dividend?
Antin IP SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.59% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Antin IP SA (ANTIN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Antin IP SA would have to grow free cash flow by -3.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ANTIN use?
Our models discount Antin IP SA at 12.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.09, country premium for France. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Antin IP SA that is -3.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Antin IP SA (ANTIN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Antin IP SA grew +10.2 % a year. The price currently implies -3.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Antin IP SA (ANTIN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Antin IP SA (-3.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Antin IP SA (ANTIN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.28 %: that much free cash flow Antin IP SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Antin IP SA (ANTIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Antin IP SA it is €12.21 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €7.40. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Antin IP SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ANTIN trades below its calculated fair value: price €7.40, fair value €12.21, a gap of about +65% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ANTIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€7.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€12.21). For Antin IP SA the two are €4.81 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Antin IP SA worth?
The market values Antin IP SA at about €1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €7.40; our models calculate a fair value of €12.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ANTIN?
Our models span a range for Antin IP SA: cautious scenario €6.06, base €12.21, optimistic €17.43 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €7.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ANTIN?
Antin IP SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €12.21 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.8, P/S 6.2, EV/EBITDA 9.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Antin IP SA (ANTIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Antin IP SA (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 21.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 85/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ANTIN from its 52-week high?
Antin IP SA trades at €7.40, about 33% below its 52-week high of €11.06 and 1% above the low of €7.35 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €12.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Antin IP SA?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Antin IP SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €7.40, calculated fair value €12.21 (+65%), Quality Score 85/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ANTIN calculated?
We run Antin IP SA through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €12.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Antin IP SA currently trades 65 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Antin IP SA (ANTIN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €7.40. Our model-based fair value is €12.21, about +65% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Antin IP SA right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (85/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The model range is unusually wide (€6.06 to €17.43). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Antin IP SA

How large is the market capitalisation of Antin IP SA (ANTIN)?
The market capitalisation of Antin IP SA is €1.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Antin IP SA (ANTIN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Antin IP SA is 4.68 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Antin IP SA (ANTIN)?
Earnings per share at Antin IP SA are €0.6000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Antin IP SA (ANTIN)?
The dividend yield of Antin IP SA is 9.6% (payout 118%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Antin IP SA (ANTIN)?
The net margin of Antin IP SA is 38.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Antin IP SA (ANTIN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Antin IP SA is 21.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Antin IP SA (ANTIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Antin IP SA is 15.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Antin IP SA (ANTIN)?
The operating margin of Antin IP SA is 50.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Antin IP SA (ANTIN)?
Revenue at Antin IP SA is growing −15.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Antin IP SA (ANTIN)?
Earnings per share at Antin IP SA are growing −23.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Antin IP SA (ANTIN) hold?
Antin IP SA holds more cash than debt, €301M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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