Antin Infrastructure Partners S.A (ANTIN) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · FR · Market cap €1.6B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +5.7% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 60% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 85/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€4.67). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range €8.42 – €28.05 · fair‑value band €2.80 – €4.67 · the €9.34 price screens above the €3.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Antin Infrastructure Partners S.A (ANTIN) currently trades at €9.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.74, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 85/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Antin Infrastructure Partners S.A generated revenue of €292M at a net margin of 36.6%. Revenue declined 15.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €301M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €2.80 (bear case) to €4.67 (bull case); at €9.34, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -60%, ANTIN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€12.82) versus Asset-Based (€1.79). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 82 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Antin Infrastructure Partners S.A. is a private equity firm specializing in infrastructure investments. The firm does not invest in projects which involve technological or commercial risk associated with developing a clientele in a competitive market or invest alongside partners which could represent counterparty risk.
Full company description
Antin Infrastructure Partners S.A. is a private equity firm specializing in infrastructure investments. The firm does not invest in projects which involve technological or commercial risk associated with developing a clientele in a competitive market or invest alongside partners which could represent counterparty risk. It seeks to invest in main infrastructure sectors including transportation, energy, digital, social infrastructure, environment, and telecommunication. The firm focuses on toll roads, tunnels, highways, tramways, bridges; airports; ports; urban rail, bus lines; car parks in transport; Motorway Service Areas (MSAs); gas storage; LNG terminals; transmission (pipelines, high-voltage electricity transmission); distribution; buildings and public works, generation (non-merchant); water infrastructure (pipelines & sewage units); waste management in energy and environment; and GSM towers; ADSL networks; broadcast networks; cable networks; and satellites in Telecommunication. It typically to invests in non-listed companies based in continental Europe including United Kingdom and North America. It seeks to invest between "600 million ($643.62 million) to "1000 million ($1072.70 million) in flagship, between "50 million ($53.63 million) to "300 million ($321.81 million) in mid cap, between "20 million ($21.45 million) to "200 million ($214.54 million) in nextgen. The firm may take minority or majority stake allowing representation to the board of directors. It essentially invests in equity and may invest alone or co-invest through a consortium. Antin Infrastructure Partners S.A. was founded in 2007 and is based in Paris, France with additional offices in London, United Kingdom, Luxembourg, Luxembourg, Singapore, Singapore, Seoul, South Korea and New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Antin Infrastructure Partners S.A reported revenue of €292M in FY2025 versus €181M in FY2021, a compound +12.8%/yr. Reported net income was €111M in FY2025, compounding +36.1%/yr from FY2021.
ANTIN screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →
Peer Group
Asset Management · 973 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fondul Proprietatea SA FP | $0.0420 | $0.0800 | +90% |
| BlackRock, Inc BLK | $1,136 | $465.75 | -59% |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $124.56 | $16.35 | -87% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 423.70 | kr 847.40 | +100% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$62.45 | C$10.12 | -84% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $100.94 | $44.88 | -56% |
| AB Industrivärden INDUA | kr 532.50 | kr 1,065 | +100% |
| Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN | ₹242.98 | ₹40.19 | -83% |
| Hedef Holding HEDEF | 267.25 TRY | 320.98 TRY | +20% |
| Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG | ₹10,398 | ₹9,202 | -12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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