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ARKO Petroleum Corp (APC) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $1.5B

AP ARKO Petroleum Corp logo ARKO Petroleum Corp APC · US
Price$18.91
Fair Value$4.80
Upside-74.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $3.60 – $6.01

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $8.71 to $4.80 (−44.9%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −0.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (5 months)

$21.55 $17.10 Fair Value $4.80 Feb 2026 Jun 2026

5‑month range $17.10 – $21.55 · fair‑value band $3.60 – $6.01 · the $18.91 price screens above the $4.80 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

ARKO Petroleum Corp (APC) currently trades at $18.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.80 — implying the stock looks roughly 74.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, ARKO Petroleum Corp generated revenue of $5.6B at a net margin of 0.7%. Revenue declined 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 64.4%. Net debt stands at $3.6B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $5.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.2%
Net margin 0.7%
Return on equity 64.4%
Free cash flow $65.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 24.3
More key figures
Operating margin 1.5%
EPS (TTM) $0.7600
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +51.8%
Net debt $3.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

ARKO Petroleum Corp. operates as a fuel distributor in North America. The company operates through three segments: Wholesale, Fleet Fueling, and GPMP. The Wholesale segment supplies fuel to gas stations operated by third-party dealers, sub-wholesalers, and bulk and spot purchasers. The Fleet Fueling segment engages in the operation of proprietary and third-party cardlock locations that sell fuel to light industrial trucks and commercial vehicles, and municipal entities. The GPMP segment sells and supplies fuel to ARKO retail sites. The company was incorporated in 2025 and is based in Richmond, Virginia. ARKO Petroleum Corp. is a subsidiary of Arko Convenience Stores LLC.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2018 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ARKO Petroleum Corp reported revenue of $7.6B in FY2025 versus $13.4B in FY2018, a compound −7.7%/yr. Reported net income was $22.7M in FY2025, compounding −37.6%/yr from FY2018.

Revenue −7.7%/yr
FY18 $13.4B
FY22 $7.1B
FY23 $7.0B
FY24 $6.4B
FY25 $7.6B
Net income −37.6%/yr
FY18 $615M
FY22 $58.9M
FY23 $41.4M
FY24 $40.2M
FY25 $22.7M

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Similar stocks

6 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,291 ₹812.28 -37%
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $262.01 $129.07 -51%
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $257.99 $109.18 -58%
Phillips 66 PSX $183.08 $50.63 -72%
Neste Oyj NESTE €28.13 €6.38 -77%
ENEOS Holdings JXHLY $15.31 $17.72 +16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ARKO Petroleum Corp (APC) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.80 versus a price of $18.91 — about −75% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of APC?
Our 21-model fair value for ARKO Petroleum Corp is $4.80 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $18.91.
What is the quality score of APC?
ARKO Petroleum Corp has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of ARKO Petroleum Corp (APC)?
ARKO Petroleum Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.6B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of APC?
The net profit margin of ARKO Petroleum Corp is about 0.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ARKO Petroleum Corp pay a dividend?
ARKO Petroleum Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.40% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.