ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of ARB IOT Group Limited $8.11, price $4.20, upside +93.1%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
42‑month range $3.75 – $69.75 · fair‑value band $6.93 – $9.80 · the $4.20 price screens below the $8.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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ARB IOT Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet of Things (IoT) system solutions, and system integration and support services in Malaysia. It operates through the Internet of Things (IoT), and Investment Holding and Others segments.
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ARB IOT Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet of Things (IoT) system solutions, and system integration and support services in Malaysia. It operates through the Internet of Things (IoT), and Investment Holding and Others segments. The company offers IoT smart building and engineering solutions, including design, procurement, installation, testing, commissioning, and sale of various IoT systems, solutions, and devices, as well as integration of automated systems for smart buildings, including installation of wired and wireless, and mechatronic works for property developers and contractors. It also provides IoT smart agriculture and system development services, such as development, supply, installation, commissioning, testing, and sale of smart systems related to the IoT concept and functionality. The company was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Singapore, Singapore.
Stock analysis
ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares (ARBB) currently trades at $4.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.11, implying the stock looks roughly 48.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $72.25 per share, and 11 of the 11 models we run sit above the $4.20 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $30.79, and 0 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $6.93 (bear) to $9.80 (bull), the price of $4.20 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares reported revenue of 44.8M MYR in FY2025 versus 50.3M MYR in FY2021, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was −16.2M MYR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $8.7M · P/S ratio 0.04 · EPS (TTM) $−8.18 · Net margin −36.2% · Return on equity −31.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% · Operating margin −15.2% · Revenue growth (YoY) +332%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 66% fair-value upside, at 93%, ARBB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $6.93Fair Value $8.11Bull $9.80
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.30/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−23.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−53.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.1% (2020) → −25.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 497 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside+93% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−12% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−36% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−15% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth332% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARBB
Frequently asked questions
Is ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.11 versus a price of $4.20, about +93% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ARBB?
Our model-based fair value for ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares is $8.11 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.20.
What is the quality score of ARBB?
ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.11 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.93, optimistic scenario $9.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.11, about +93% upside versus a price of $4.20 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $6.93, optimistic scenario $9.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ARBB use?
Our models discount ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares at 10.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.21, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares grew +2.8 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.53 %: that much free cash flow ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares it is $8.11 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $4.20. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ARBB trades below its calculated fair value: price $4.20, fair value $8.11, a gap of about +93% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARBB?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.11). For ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares the two are $3.91 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares at about $8.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $4.20; our models calculate a fair value of $8.11 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARBB?
Our models span a range for ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $6.93, base $8.11, optimistic $9.80 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $4.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB)?
Balance-sheet figures for ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −31.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARBB from its 52-week high?
ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares trades at $4.20, about 65% below its 52-week high of $12.00 and 12% above the low of $3.75 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $8.11 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $4.20, calculated fair value $8.11 (+93%), Quality Score 48/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARBB calculated?
We run ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $8.11, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares currently trades 93 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $4.20. Our model-based fair value is $8.11, about +93% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($6.93). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares
How large is the market capitalisation of ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB)?
The market capitalisation of ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares is $8.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares is 0.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB)?
Earnings per share at ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares are $−8.18. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB)?
The net margin of ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares is −36.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares is −31.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares is 1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB)?
The operating margin of ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares is −15.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB)?
Revenue at ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares is growing +332% versus a year earlier (3y avg −53.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB)?
Earnings per share at ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares are growing −79.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does ARB IOT Group Limited (ARBB) hold?
ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares holds more cash than debt, 32.7M MYR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026