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ARB IOT Group (ARBB) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $8.7M

AI ARB IOT Group logo ARB IOT Group ARBB · US
Price$4.10
Fair Value$4.85
Upside+18.2%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -36.2% net margin
generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Medium Range $3.92 – $5.78 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $78.26 to $4.85 (−93.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 18% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from $3.92 (bear) to $5.78 (bull), base $4.85. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 48/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$69.75 $3.75 Fair Value $4.85 Apr 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

40‑month range $3.75 – $69.75 · fair‑value band $3.92 – $5.78 · the $4.10 price screens below the $4.85 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

ARB IOT Group (ARBB) currently trades at $4.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.85, implying the stock looks roughly 18.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, ARB IOT Group generated revenue of $197M at a net margin of -36.2%. It earns a return on equity of -31.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $32.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.92 (bear case) to $5.78 (bull case); at $4.10, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 18%, ARBB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely ($0.5278 to $4.85). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.4774 $0.5278 $0.5875 72
Rev-Margin DCF $0.4794 $0.5615 $0.6573 67
EV/EBITDA $3.72 $4.85 $5.97 54
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.4774 $0.5364 $0.6111 38
Owner Earnings $2.84 $3.87 $5.17 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.4794 $0.5608 $0.6646 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $2.09 $3.60 $5.41 41
10Y Revenue Exit $0.4731 $0.5402 $0.6299 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.36 $2.35 $3.75 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $3.72 $4.85 $5.97 54
EV/Revenue $0.4891 $0.5557 $0.6223 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9732 $1.30 $1.95 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.4774 $0.5278 $0.5875 72
Rev-Margin DCF $0.4794 $0.5615 $0.6573 67

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($1.30) versus Growth DCF ($0.5278). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $197M
Revenue growth (YoY) +332%
Net margin -36.2%
Return on equity -31.4%
Free cash flow $1.7M FY2025
Operating margin -15.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-8.18
EPS growth (YoY) -79.2%
Net cash $32.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 23
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 39
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ARB IOT Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet of Things (IoT) system solutions, and system integration and support services in Malaysia. It operates through the Internet of Things (IoT), and Investment Holding and Others segments.

Full company description

ARB IOT Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet of Things (IoT) system solutions, and system integration and support services in Malaysia. It operates through the Internet of Things (IoT), and Investment Holding and Others segments. The company offers IoT smart building and engineering solutions, including design, procurement, installation, testing, commissioning, and sale of various IoT systems, solutions, and devices, as well as integration of automated systems for smart buildings, including installation of wired and wireless, and mechatronic works for property developers and contractors. It also provides IoT smart agriculture and system development services, such as development, supply, installation, commissioning, testing, and sale of smart systems related to the IoT concept and functionality. The company was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Singapore, Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ARB IOT Group reported revenue of $44.8M in FY2025 versus $50.3M in FY2021, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$16.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$44.8M
Latest YoY
−23.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−53.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Revenue −2.9%/yr
FY21 $50.3M
FY22 $443M
FY23 $242M
FY24 $58.2M
FY25 $44.8M
Net income
FY21 $18.7M
FY22 $73.4M
FY23 $25.8M
FY24 −$54.7M
FY25 −$16.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ARB IOT Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARBB

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 475 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +18% · Above median
Return on assets -12% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -36% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -15% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 332% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 58 · sector 21
FUTURE 100 · sector 31
PAST 0 · sector 37
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 37

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.92 $143.90 -39%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 250.95 MXN -90%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,457 +26%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,204 ₹1,230 +2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹178.43 ₹226.81 +27%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,455 ₹1,086 -25%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 199,300 KRW 196,390 KRW -1%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,059 ₹2,364 -53%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 393,000 KRW 133,088 KRW -66%
Coforge Limited COFORGE ₹1,541 ₹702.84 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ARB IOT Group (ARBB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.85 versus a price of $4.10, about +18% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ARBB?
Our model-based fair value for ARB IOT Group is $4.85 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.10.
What is the quality score of ARBB?
ARB IOT Group has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ARB IOT Group (ARBB)?
ARB IOT Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $197M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ARBB?
The net profit margin of ARB IOT Group is about -36.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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