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Ardea Resources Limited (ARL) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$112M

AR Ardea Resources Limited ARL · AU
PriceA$0.4550
Fair ValueA$0.9200
Upside+102.2%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.6900 – A$1.15

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −25.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$0.8223 A$0.4002 Fair Value A$0.9200 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$0.4002 – A$0.8223 · fair‑value band A$0.6900 – A$1.15 · the A$0.4550 price screens below the A$0.9200 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Ardea Resources Limited (ARL) currently trades at A$0.4550, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.9200 — implying the stock looks roughly 102.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ardea Resources Limited generated revenue of A$4.0M at a net margin of -41.4%. It earns a return on equity of -2.1%. Net debt stands at A$35.0M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$4.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) +541%
Net margin -41.4%
Return on equity -2.1%
Free cash flow −A$53.4M FY2025
Operating margin -734%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0100
Net debt A$35.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Ardea Resources Limited operates as a battery mineral company in Australia. The company explores for nickel, cobalt, scandium, lithium, gold, platinum-group elements, copper, and rare earth metals. Its flagship project is the Kalgoorlie Nickel Project (KNP) located in the Kalgoorlie, Western Australia. Ardea Resources Limited was incorporated in 2016 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ardea Resources Limited reported revenue of A$3.7M in FY2025 versus A$147K in FY2021, a compound +123.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.3M in FY2025.

Revenue +123.7%/yr
FY21 A$147K
FY22 A$22.2K
FY23 A$75.1K
FY24 A$322K
FY25 A$3.7M
Net income
FY21 −A$2.3M
FY22 −A$5.3M
FY23 −A$4.2M
FY24 −A$7.7M
FY25 −A$3.3M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ardea Resources Limited (ARL) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.9200 versus a price of A$0.4550 — about +102% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ARL?
Our 21-model fair value for Ardea Resources Limited is A$0.9200 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.4550.
What is the quality score of ARL?
Ardea Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Ardea Resources Limited (ARL)?
Ardea Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$4.0M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ARL?
The net profit margin of Ardea Resources Limited is about -41.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.