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Accelerant Holdings (ARX) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $3.2B

AH Accelerant Holdings logo Accelerant Holdings ARX · US
Price$13.05
Fair Value$26.10
Upside+100.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $22.09 – $30.11

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from $26.26 to $26.10 (−0.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −20.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (11 months)

$31.05 $9.67 Fair Value $26.10 Jul 2025 Jun 2026

11‑month range $9.67 – $31.05 · fair‑value band $22.09 – $30.11 · the $13.05 price screens below the $26.10 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Accelerant Holdings (ARX) currently trades at $13.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $26.10 — implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $954M. Revenue grew 59.7% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.7B. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $954M
Revenue growth (YoY) +59.7%
Net margin -151%
Return on equity -243%
Free cash flow $404M FY2025
Operating margin -2.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-6.49
EPS growth (YoY) -11.1%
Net cash $1.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Accelerant Holdings, together with its subsidiaries, operates a data-driven risk exchange that connects selected specialty insurance underwriters with risk capital partners. It operates through Exchange Services, MGA Operations, and Underwriting segments. The Exchange Services segment consists of risk exchange, its operating platform that incorporates various technology, data ingestion, and agency operations that serve the needs of its members and risk capital partners. Its Risk capital partners write premiums directly through the Risk Exchange pay us a fixed-percentage, volume-based fee for sourcing, managing, and monitoring the business they write. The MGA Operations segment includes the fees earned by members, predominantly for originating and underwriting a portfolio of insurance policies, reduced by the expenses associated with providing services. The Underwriting segment is involved in underwriting insurance policies and assumption of reinsurance policies issued or accepted by…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Accelerant Holdings reported revenue of $880M in FY2025 versus $103M in FY2021, a compound +70.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.4B in FY2025.

Revenue +70.9%/yr
FY21 $103M
FY22 $213M
FY23 $330M
FY24 $598M
FY25 $880M
Net income
FY21 −$21.5M
FY22 −$91.7M
FY23 −$48.8M
FY24 $27.2M
FY25 −$1.4B

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6 more Insurance Brokers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

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Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc MRSH $165.44 $112.25 -32%
Aon plc AON $336.33 $216.52 -36%
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co A1JG34 R$559.44 R$350.39 -37%
Willis Towers Watson Public Limited WTW $263.54 $178.13 -32%
Brown & Brown, Inc BRO $60.18 $68.15 +13%
Erie Indemnity Company ERIE $219.51 $163.62 -25%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Accelerant Holdings (ARX) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $26.10 versus a price of $13.05 — about +100% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ARX?
Our 21-model fair value for Accelerant Holdings is $26.10 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.05.
What is the quality score of ARX?
Accelerant Holdings has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Accelerant Holdings (ARX)?
Accelerant Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $954M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ARX?
The net profit margin of Accelerant Holdings is about -150.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.