ASML Holding (ASML) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $628B
ASML Holding
ASML · US
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $567.65 to $440.90 (−22.3%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price +23.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $613.25 – $1,778 · fair‑value band $337.29 – $737.94 · the $1,778 price screens above the $440.90 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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ASML Holding (ASML) currently trades at $1,778, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $440.90 — implying the stock looks roughly 75.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, ASML Holding generated revenue of $33.7B at a net margin of 29.7%. Revenue grew 13.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 52.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $10.2B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. The company offers lithography, metrology, and inspection systems. It also provides extreme ultraviolet lithography systems; and deep ultraviolet lithography systems comprising immersion and dry lithography systems solutions to manufacture various range of semiconductor nodes and technologies. In addition, the company offers metrology and inspection systems, including YieldStar optical metrology systems, a diffraction-based wafer metrology platform to assess the quality of patterns on the wafers; and HMI electron beam solutions to locate and analyze individual chip defects. Further, it provides computational lithography solutions, and lithography systems and control software solutions; and refurbishes and upgrades lithography systems, as well as offers customer support and related services. Additionally, the company…
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ASML Holding reported revenue of $32.7B in FY2025 versus $18.6B in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was $9.6B in FY2025, compounding +13.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- ASML (ENXTAM:ASML) Faces New AI Supply Chain Rules As Dutch Join Pax Silica
- Plunge in Chipmakers Drags Stock Indexes Sharply Lower
- Why ASML (ASML) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today
- Marvell Technology, Himax, and IPG Photonics Stocks Trade Down, What You Need To Know
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.