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Advantest Corporation (ATEYY) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $140B

AC Advantest Corporation logo Advantest Corporation ATEYY · US
Price$206.50
Fair Value$66.32
Upside-67.9%
Quality88/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 33.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.20% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Wide moat 98/100
Evidence: High Range $46.84 – $152.81 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price +16.4% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 68% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 88/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($152.81). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($46.84 to $152.81). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$216.24 $11.21 Fair Value $66.32 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $11.21 – $216.24 · fair‑value band $46.84 – $152.81 · the $206.50 price screens above the $66.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Advantest Corporation (ATEYY) currently trades at $206.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $66.32, implying the stock looks roughly 67.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 88/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Advantest Corporation generated revenue of $1.1T at a net margin of 33.3%. Revenue grew 41.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 57.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $321B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $46.84 (bear case) to $152.81 (bull case); at $206.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 219% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -75% fair-value upside, at -68%, ATEYY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $43.46 $83.56 $149.28 80
Residual Income $34.93 $66.32 $2,002 76
Rev-Margin DCF $30.69 $50.23 $91.31 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $46.03 $70.86 $149.93 38
Owner Earnings $48.51 $106.89 $229.46 31
5Y Revenue Exit $28.20 $44.22 $77.53 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $45.72 $79.66 $146.23 41
5Y P/E Exit $50.79 $111.97 $195.66 38
10Y Revenue Exit $33.07 $63.32 $80.67 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $46.62 $101.06 $196.15 37
10Y P/E Exit $50.32 $111.97 $214.06 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $21.73 $151.53 $212.64 54
Lynch FV $78.28 $111.83 $145.38 50
PEG = 1.0 $78.28 $111.83 $145.38 46
EPV $31.53 $36.33 $40.53 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.79 $5.81 $9.22 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.79 $4.90 $6.10 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $47.93 $63.91 $79.88 63
P/S Multiple $18.01 $24.02 $30.02 58
P/B Multiple $14.44 $19.25 $24.06 55
EV/EBIT $59.80 $78.82 $97.83 53
EV/EBITDA $43.96 $57.70 $71.44 54
EV/Revenue $19.55 $26.76 $33.97 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.21 $4.30 $6.42 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $43.46 $83.56 $149.28 80
Rev-Margin DCF $30.69 $50.23 $91.31 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $34.93 $66.32 $2,002 76
ROIC Compounder $36.46 $49.42 $65.41 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $100.87 $144.11 $187.34 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($144.11) versus Asset-Based ($4.30). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.1T
Revenue growth (YoY) +41.2%
Net margin 33.3%
Return on equity 57.7%
Free cash flow $320B FY2026
P/E ratio 59.8
More key figures
Operating margin 46.7%
EPS (TTM) $3.22
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +220%
Net cash $321B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 88/100

Of which business quality 86 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 95
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 23
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 79
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Advantest Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells semiconductors, component test systems, and mechatronics-related products in Japan, rest of Asia, the Americas, and Europe.

Full company description

Advantest Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells semiconductors, component test systems, and mechatronics-related products in Japan, rest of Asia, the Americas, and Europe. The company offers automated test equipment, including system on chip, power device, and memory test systems, as well as burn-in and SSD test systems; and metrology and SEM tools. It also provides component test systems, such as die level, SoC, and memory test handlers, as well as change kits, and pressure sensor stimulus; device interface for memory; test cell and automation solutions; system level test systems; device certification test systems; semiconductor failure analysis systems; and interconnect solutions, including test interface boards, substrates, test sockets, and thermal control units. In addition, the company offers cloud solutions comprising digital twin software, real-time data infrastructure, dynamic parametric test, and test engineering; and SiConic offerings, such as tackling modern silicon validation challenges, applications from bring-up to sign-off, explorer, link, empower test engineers within unified environment, and scalable ecosystem. Further, it provides system level testing for products, maintenance and support, consumables and used products sales, equipment leasing, and research and development services; consulting and solution services, including engineering, production ramp, production solution, and remote support; customer service agreement and uptime support services; and online customer training. The company was formerly known as Takeda Riken Kogyo Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Advantest Corporation in October 1985. Advantest Corporation was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Chiyoda, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Advantest Corporation reported revenue of $1.2T in FY2026 versus $417B in FY2022, a compound +30.2%/yr. Reported net income was $398B in FY2026, compounding +46.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$1.2T
Latest YoY
+53.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+28.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+30.8%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
+29.3%
Revenue +30.2%/yr
FY22 $417B
FY23 $560B
FY24 $487B
FY25 $780B
FY26 $1.2T
Net income +46.1%/yr
FY22 $87.3B
FY23 $130B
FY24 $62.3B
FY25 $161B
FY26 $398B

ATEYY screens 68% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Advantest Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATEYY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 211 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 88 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −68% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 58% · Top 25%
Return on assets 31% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 47% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 41% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 59.8× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.23× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 58
PAST 100 · sector 30
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 4 · sector 16

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ASML Holding ASML C$50.50 C$15.57 -69%
Applied Materials, Inc AMAT $579.43 $143.08 -75%
Lam Research Corporation LRCX $346.10 $67.57 -80%
KLA Corporation KLAC $212.75 $53.01 -75%
NAURA Technology Group 002371 ¥774.20 ¥151.43 -80%
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 ¥350.69 ¥41.79 -88%
Piotech Inc 688072 ¥832.00 ¥431.44 -48%
Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 6,005 TWD 1,804 TWD -70%
Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co 300604 ¥325.24 ¥33.33 -90%
MPI Corporation 6223 5,600 TWD 609.44 TWD -89%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Advantest Corporation (ATEYY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $66.32 versus a price of $206.50, about −68% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATEYY?
Our model-based fair value for Advantest Corporation is $66.32 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $206.50.
What is the quality score of ATEYY?
Advantest Corporation has a Quality Score of 88/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Advantest Corporation (ATEYY)?
Advantest Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1T (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ATEYY?
The net profit margin of Advantest Corporation is about 33.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 33.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Advantest Corporation pay a dividend?
Advantest Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.20% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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