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AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited (ASTRAZEN) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · IN · Market cap ₹211B

AP AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited ASTRAZEN · NSE
Price₹8,100
Fair Value₹1,495
Upside-81.5%
Quality55/100
Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 8.2% net margin
generates free cash flow
0.43% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 49/100
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Evidence: High Range ₹770.00 – ₹2,068 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from ₹1,603 to ₹1,495 (−6.7%) since Jun 29, 2026. Share price −0.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 82% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹2,068). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (₹770.00 to ₹2,068). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹10,474 ₹2,426 Fair Value ₹1,495 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹2,426 – ₹10,474 · fair‑value band ₹770.00 – ₹2,068 · the ₹8,100 price screens above the ₹1,495 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited (ASTRAZEN) currently trades at ₹8,100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,495, implying the stock looks roughly 81.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited generated revenue of ₹22.8B at a net margin of 8.2%. Revenue grew 20.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹3.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹770.00 (bear case) to ₹2,068 (bull case); at ₹8,100, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -82%, ASTRAZEN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹511.54 ₹660.84 ₹2,821 76
Growth DCF ₹198.55 ₹220.27 ₹256.85 72
Gordon GGM ₹307.81 ₹672.00 ₹1,131 70
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹199.08 ₹216.42 ₹262.34 38
Owner Earnings ₹1,479 ₹2,943 ₹5,916 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹809.48 ₹1,584 ₹2,736 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹885.93 ₹1,755 ₹2,946 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹956.71 ₹1,913 ₹3,112 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹593.82 ₹1,292 ₹2,564 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹681.21 ₹1,426 ₹2,758 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹730.90 ₹1,551 ₹2,913 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹510.05 ₹3,054 ₹4,256 54
Lynch FV ₹870.02 ₹1,243 ₹1,616 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹870.02 ₹1,243 ₹1,616 46
EPV ₹854.53 ₹973.66 ₹1,080 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹307.81 ₹672.00 ₹1,131 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹307.81 ₹550.48 ₹700.33 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹1,125 ₹1,500 ₹1,875 63
P/S Multiple ₹956.35 ₹1,275 ₹1,594 58
P/B Multiple ₹785.51 ₹1,047 ₹1,309 55
EV/EBIT ₹1,440 ₹1,860 ₹2,281 53
EV/EBITDA ₹1,201 ₹1,542 ₹1,883 54
EV/Revenue ₹1,029 ₹1,393 ₹1,758 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹174.56 ₹233.91 ₹349.12 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹198.55 ₹220.27 ₹256.85 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹511.54 ₹660.84 ₹2,821 76
ROIC Compounder ₹967.86 ₹1,261 ₹1,650 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹1,238 ₹1,768 ₹2,299 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹1,768) versus Growth DCF (₹220.27). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹22.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.4%
Net margin 8.2%
Return on equity 22.8%
Free cash flow ₹32.1M FY2026
P/E ratio 113.0
More key figures
Operating margin 9.6%
EPS (TTM) ₹74.68
Dividend yield 0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -23.0%
Net cash ₹3.4B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited, a biopharmaceutical company, manufactures, markets, and trades in pharmaceutical products in India and internationally.

Full company description

AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited, a biopharmaceutical company, manufactures, markets, and trades in pharmaceutical products in India and internationally. It provides medicines for cardiovascular, renal, metabolic, and immunological conditions; oncology medicines under the TAGRISSO, Lynparza, ENHERTU, IMFINZI, and Zoladex brand names; rare diseases medicines under the Koselugo brand name; and respiratory medicines under the Symbicort and Fasenra brand names. The company also offers medicines for diabetes; and clinical trial services. The company has a strategic collaboration with Leica Biosystems and Daiichi Sankyo Company, Limited for the development of an immunohistochemistry assay and an image analysis algorithm for the TROP2 NMR biomarker in non-small cell lung cancer. The company was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Bengaluru, India. AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited is a subsidiary of AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals AB.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited reported revenue of ₹22.8B in FY2026 versus ₹8.1B in FY2022, a compound +29.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.9B in FY2026, compounding +32.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹22.8B
Latest YoY
+32.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+31.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+23.0%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+12.5%
Revenue +29.6%/yr
FY22 ₹8.1B
FY23 ₹10.0B
FY24 ₹13.0B
FY25 ₹17.1B
FY26 ₹22.8B
Net income +32.1%/yr
FY22 ₹616M
FY23 ₹993M
FY24 ₹1.6B
FY25 ₹1.2B
FY26 ₹1.9B

ASTRAZEN screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASTRAZEN

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 654 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 20% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 113.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 24.18× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 9.27× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 69.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 78.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 20
PAST 91 · sector 19
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 9 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited (ASTRAZEN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,495 versus a price of ₹8,100, about −82% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASTRAZEN?
Our model-based fair value for AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited is ₹1,495 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹8,100.
What is the quality score of ASTRAZEN?
AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited has a Quality Score of 55/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited (ASTRAZEN)?
AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹22.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ASTRAZEN?
The net profit margin of AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited is about 8.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited pay a dividend?
AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.43% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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