AVA Risk Group (AVA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$14.8M
Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from A$0.1500 to A$0.0788 (−47.5%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −40.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range A$0.0349 – A$0.1163 · fair‑value band A$0.0640 – A$0.0899 · the A$0.0370 price screens below the A$0.0788 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.
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AVA Risk Group (AVA) currently trades at A$0.0370, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0788 — implying the stock looks roughly 113.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, AVA Risk Group generated revenue of A$28.6M at a net margin of -26.6%. Revenue declined 17.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -31.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$2.8M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
AVA Risk Group Limited provides risk management technologies in Australia, Europe, Asia Pacific, India, Middle East, North Africa, the United States, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Detect, Access, and Illuminate. The company designs and manufactures fibre optic intrusion detection and location systems for perimeter intrusion detection and location, data network tapping and tampering detection, oil and gas pipeline third party interference, and other applications, including health, safety, and traffic monitoring. It also designs and manufactures electro-mechanical locks; biometrics and access control cards; card readers and biometric terminals; camera illuminators; and related electronic security products. In addition, the company engages in design, manufacture, and supply of external security and intruder detection equipment, including ANPR cameras, lighting controllers, infrared and white-light LED illuminators, and laser perimeter detectors, as well as pr…
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AVA Risk Group reported revenue of A$31.6M in FY2025 versus A$24.7M in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$6.5M in FY2025.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.