NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. $41.00, price $76.50, upside -46.4%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
22‑month range $13.34 – $122.61 · fair‑value band $22.08 – $71.68 · the $76.50 price screens above the $41.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets a stabilized day and night cameras for ground and aerial vehicles in Israel and internationally. The company offers micro and mini UAVs and drones.
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NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets a stabilized day and night cameras for ground and aerial vehicles in Israel and internationally. The company offers micro and mini UAVs and drones. It also provides accessories, such as camera mounting fixture, damping fixture, third axis, and interface cables, as well as the TRIP, which allows communication between the camera and the platform's autopilot. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Ra'anana, Israel.
Stock analysis
NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF) currently trades at $76.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $41.00, 46.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $51.42 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $76.50 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $4.47, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $22.08 (bear) to $71.68 (bull), the price of $76.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. reported revenue of $168M in FY2025 versus $15.0M in FY2021, a compound +82.9%/yr. Reported net income was $104M in FY2025, compounding +106.1%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $8.6B · P/E ratio 60.7 · P/S ratio 37.4 · EPS (TTM) $1.26 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 61.6% · Return on equity 32.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 24.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −46%, NXSNF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($3.65 to $53.27). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $22.08Fair Value $41.00Bull $71.68
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.5270 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+46.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+86.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+84.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +86.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+86.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.32% → 60%
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 226% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+42.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +38.9% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (23 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 107 stocks
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Is NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $41.00 versus a price of $76.50, about −46% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NXSNF?
Our model-based fair value for NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. is $41.00 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $76.50.
What is the quality score of NXSNF?
NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $41.00 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $22.08, optimistic scenario $71.68. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $41.00, about −46% upside versus a price of $76.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $22.08, optimistic scenario $71.68. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF)?
NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $200M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. pay a dividend?
NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.74% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +42.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +84.6 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NXSNF use?
Our models discount NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.82, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. that is +42.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. grew +84.6 % a year. The price currently implies +42.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (+42.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.87 %: that much free cash flow NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. it is $41.00 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $76.50. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, NXSNF trades above its calculated fair value: price $76.50, fair value $41.00, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NXSNF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($76.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($41.00). For NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. the two are $35.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. worth?
The market values NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. at about $8.6B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $76.50; our models calculate a fair value of $41.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NXSNF?
Our models span a range for NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd.: cautious scenario $22.08, base $41.00, optimistic $71.68 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $76.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NXSNF?
NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 60.7 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $41.00 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 13.9, P/S 42.9, EV/EBITDA 72.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF)?
Balance-sheet figures for NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 32.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NXSNF from its 52-week high?
NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. trades at $76.50, about 38% below its 52-week high of $122.61 and 75% above the low of $43.79 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $41.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, ADT Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $76.50, calculated fair value $41.00 (−46%), Quality Score 55/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NXSNF calculated?
We run NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $41.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was $76.50. Our model-based fair value is $41.00, about −46% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($71.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($22.08 to $71.68). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF)?
The market capitalisation of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. is $8.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. is 37.4 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF)?
Earnings per share at NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. are $1.26 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 60.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF)?
The dividend yield of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. is 0.7% (payout 44.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF)?
The net margin of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. is 61.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. is 32.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. is 24.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF)?
The operating margin of NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. is 56.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF)?
Revenue at NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. is growing +86.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +86.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. (NXSNF)?
Earnings per share at NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. are growing +63.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026