NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd (NXSNF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $8.6B
NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd
NXSNF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price −9.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($28.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($10.38 to $28.61). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (20 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
20‑month range $13.34 – $122.61 · fair‑value band $10.38 – $28.61 · the $77.25 price screens above the $16.24 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd (NXSNF) currently trades at $77.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.24, implying the stock looks roughly 79.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd generated revenue of $200M at a net margin of 60.8%. Revenue grew 86.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 73.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $10.38 (bear case) to $28.61 (bull case); at $77.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 199% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -79%, NXSNF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($51.42) versus Asset-Based ($4.47). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets a stabilized day and night cameras for ground and aerial vehicles in Israel and internationally. The company offers micro and mini UAVs and drones.
Full company description
NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets a stabilized day and night cameras for ground and aerial vehicles in Israel and internationally. The company offers micro and mini UAVs and drones. It also provides accessories, such as camera mounting fixture, damping fixture, third axis, and interface cables, as well as the TRIP, which allows communication between the camera and the platform's autopilot. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Ra'anana, Israel.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd reported revenue of $168M in FY2025 versus $15.0M in FY2021, a compound +82.9%/yr. Reported net income was $104M in FY2025, compounding +106.1%/yr from FY2021.
NXSNF screens 79% overvalued. Compare with ASSA ABLOY AB →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Completion of Secondary Placing of Ordinary Shares in NextVision Stabilized Systems Ltd.
- NextVision Reports Record Results Exceeding Board Targets for the Fifth Consecutive Year
- NextVision Reports the BoD's Sales Target to Company Management for 2026
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 348.40 | kr 269.97 | -23% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €10.26 | €12.40 | +21% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $137.24 | $127.80 | -7% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 162.10 | kr 186.34 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.57 | ¥23.58 | +42% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $169.00 | $118.51 | -30% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.06 | $17.10 | +142% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $104.24 | $101.84 | -2% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $90.16 | $73.43 | -19% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $29.46 | $32.36 | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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