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AVADA Group (AVD) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · AU · Market cap A$13.2M

AG AVADA Group AVD · AU
PriceA$0.1000
Fair ValueA$0.5900
Upside+490.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.3400 – A$0.8300

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from A$1.94 to A$0.5900 (−69.6%) since Jun 24, 2026.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$0.2150 A$0.0870 Fair Value A$0.5900 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$0.0870 – A$0.2150 · fair‑value band A$0.3400 – A$0.8300 · the A$0.1000 price screens below the A$0.5900 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

AVADA Group (AVD) currently trades at A$0.1000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.5900 — implying the stock looks roughly 490.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, AVADA Group generated revenue of A$195M at a net margin of -11.6%. Revenue grew 12.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -66.5%. Net debt stands at A$32.9M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$195M
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.6%
Net margin -11.6%
Return on equity -66.5%
Free cash flow A$7.6M FY2025
Operating margin -0.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) A$-0.2600
Net debt A$32.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

AVADA Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides traffic management and ancillary services in Australia and New Zealand. The company offers traffic control, equipment hire, plans and permits, event management, and incident response services. It serves government and contractors in civil infrastructure, contractors in the utilities, telecommunications, construction, maintenance, and other industrial sectors. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Woolloongabba, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

AVADA Group reported revenue of A$183M in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$17.6M in FY2025.

Revenue
FY21 A$0
FY22 A$72.9M
FY23 A$177M
FY24 A$205M
FY25 A$183M
Net income
FY21 −A$415K
FY22 −A$12.5M
FY23 −A$5.6M
FY24 A$1.5M
FY25 −A$17.6M

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Frequently asked questions

Is AVADA Group (AVD) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.5900 versus a price of A$0.1000 — about +490% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AVD?
Our 21-model fair value for AVADA Group is A$0.5900 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.1000.
What is the quality score of AVD?
AVADA Group has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of AVADA Group (AVD)?
AVADA Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$195M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AVD?
The net profit margin of AVADA Group is about -11.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.