Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A (MOTV3) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · BR · Market cap R$29.8B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +0.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 101% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$20.43). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (R$20.43 to R$42.81) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$9.20 – R$17.55 · fair‑value band R$20.43 – R$42.81 · the R$14.49 price screens below the R$29.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A (MOTV3) currently trades at R$14.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$29.18, implying the stock looks roughly 101.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A generated revenue of R$19.3B at a net margin of 17.4%. Revenue grew 12.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.4%. Net debt stands at R$33.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$20.43 (bear case) to R$42.81 (bull case); at R$14.49, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 101%, MOTV3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (R$35.88) versus Asset-Based (R$5.26). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. provides infrastructure services for highway, rail, and airport concessions in Brazil. It manages and maintains 36 concessions on highways, airports, and rails. The company was formerly known as CCR S.A. and changed its name to Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. in April 2025.
Full company description
Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. provides infrastructure services for highway, rail, and airport concessions in Brazil. It manages and maintains 36 concessions on highways, airports, and rails. The company was formerly known as CCR S.A. and changed its name to Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. in April 2025. Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. was incorporated in 1998 and is based in São Paulo, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A reported revenue of R$18.9B in FY2025 versus R$12.2B in FY2021, a compound +11.4%/yr. Reported net income was R$3.3B in FY2025, compounding +47.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Infrastructure Operations · 65 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings 001965 | ¥9.88 | ¥9.16 | -7% |
| Jiangsu Expressway Company 600377 | ¥11.86 | ¥15.32 | +29% |
| Shandong Hi-speed Company 600350 | ¥10.86 | ¥8.68 | -20% |
| Impulsora del Desarrollo y el Empleo en América Latina, S.A. IDEALB1 | 43.00 MXN | 43.57 MXN | +1% |
| Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. PINFRA | 281.25 MXN | 945.00 MXN | +236% |
| Zhejiang Expressway Co 0576 | HK$6.16 | HK$18.35 | +198% |
| Anhui Expressway Company 600012 | ¥16.31 | ¥14.90 | -9% |
| Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co 000429 | ¥14.33 | ¥17.93 | +25% |
| Shenzhen Expressway Corporation 600548 | ¥8.35 | ¥7.70 | -8% |
| IRB Infrastructure Developers Limited IRB | ₹20.13 | ₹11.97 | -41% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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