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Shandong Hi-speed Company (600350) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 52.5B CNY

SH Shandong Hi-speed Company 600350 · SHG
Price¥10.86
Fair Value¥8.68
Upside-20.1%
Quality52/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
3.89% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/15)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥7.97 – ¥13.95 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −19.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 20% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from ¥7.97 (bear) to ¥13.95 (bull), base ¥8.68. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 52/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥13.49 ¥4.37 Fair Value ¥8.68 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.37 – ¥13.49 · fair‑value band ¥7.97 – ¥13.95 · the ¥10.86 price screens above the ¥8.68 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Shandong Hi-speed Company (600350) currently trades at ¥10.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.68, implying the stock looks roughly 20.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Hi-speed Company generated revenue of 24.1B CNY at a net margin of 13.4%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.8%. Net debt stands at 58.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.97 (bear case) to ¥13.95 (bull case); at ¥10.86, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -20%, 600350 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥7.84 80
Residual Income ¥7.50 ¥7.92 ¥8.58 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.28 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.1100 ¥9.70 38
Owner Earnings ¥8.87 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.99 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.39 ¥17.97 ¥36.86 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.98 ¥14.08 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥7.20 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.4800 ¥12.81 ¥32.74 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.18 ¥13.26 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.51 ¥22.48 ¥31.02 54
Lynch FV ¥6.08 ¥8.68 ¥11.28 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥6.08 ¥8.68 ¥11.28 46
EPV ¥0.0200 ¥1.45 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥10.44 ¥13.92 ¥17.41 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.42 ¥9.90 ¥12.37 58
P/B Multiple ¥8.45 ¥11.27 ¥14.09 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.16 ¥10.67 ¥16.18 53
EV/EBITDA ¥8.74 ¥15.45 ¥22.15 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.2100 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.60 ¥6.17 ¥9.20 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥7.84 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.28 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.50 ¥7.92 ¥8.58 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.0200 ¥1.45 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.29 ¥13.28 ¥17.26 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥13.28) versus Economic Profit (¥0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 24.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.6%
Net margin 13.4%
Return on equity 6.8%
Free cash flow 2.2B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 20.4
More key figures
Operating margin 31.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5500
Dividend yield 3.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +5.2%
Net debt 58.7B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shandong Hi-speed Company Limited engages in the investment and operation of transportation infrastructure in China. The company operates and manages road and bridge assets.

Full company description

Shandong Hi-speed Company Limited engages in the investment and operation of transportation infrastructure in China. The company operates and manages road and bridge assets. It is also involved in reconstruction and expansion of bridges, underpasses, grade-separated interchanges, overpasses, culverts, service areas, parking area, and toll stations, as well as expressway. The company was formerly known as Shandong Expressway Company Limited and changed its name to Shandong Hi-speed Company Limited in April 2012. Shandong Hi-speed Company Limited was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Jinan, China. Shandong Hi-speed Company Limited is a subsidiary of Shandong High-Speed Group Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shandong Hi-speed Company reported revenue of ¥23.9B in FY2025 versus ¥16.2B in FY2021, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥3.2B in FY2025, compounding +1.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
23.9B CNY
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+20.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+22.3%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
+15.8%
Revenue +10.2%/yr
FY21 ¥16.2B
FY22 ¥22.4B
FY23 ¥26.5B
FY24 ¥28.5B
FY25 ¥23.9B
Net income +1.2%/yr
FY21 ¥3.1B
FY22 ¥3.0B
FY23 ¥3.3B
FY24 ¥3.2B
FY25 ¥3.2B

600350 screens 20% overvalued. Compare with China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Hi-speed Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600350

Peer Group

Infrastructure Operations · 65 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −20% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 32% · Above median
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.29× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.18× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.18× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 3.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.93× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 7 · sector 54
FUTURE 18 · sector 13
PAST 27 · sector 25
HEALTH 36 · sector 69
DIVIDEND 78 · sector 79

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shandong Hi-speed Company (600350) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.68 versus a price of ¥10.86, about −20% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600350?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Hi-speed Company is ¥8.68 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥10.86.
What is the quality score of 600350?
Shandong Hi-speed Company has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shandong Hi-speed Company (600350)?
Shandong Hi-speed Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 24.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600350?
The net profit margin of Shandong Hi-speed Company is about 13.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shandong Hi-speed Company pay a dividend?
Shandong Hi-speed Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.89% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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