Avensia AB (AVEN) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · SE · Market cap 264M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price −10.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 83% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (71/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 8.75). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 5.40 – kr 15.05 · fair‑value band kr 8.75 – kr 14.58 · the kr 6.38 price screens below the kr 11.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Avensia AB (AVEN) currently trades at kr 6.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 11.67, implying the stock looks roughly 82.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Avensia AB generated revenue of 411M SEK at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue declined 10.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.1%. Net debt stands at 41.3M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 8.75 (bear case) to kr 14.58 (bull case); at kr 6.38, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 83%, AVEN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 16.42) versus Asset-Based (kr 0.7800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Avensia AB (publ) provides e-commerce solutions in Sweden. The company offers e-commerce consulting, online marketplace strategy, digital transformation strategy and advisory, commerce consulting, and retail trends analysis services; UX and Web design services for digital transformation; loyalty program services; CRM solutions; product information …
Full company description
Avensia AB (publ) provides e-commerce solutions in Sweden. The company offers e-commerce consulting, online marketplace strategy, digital transformation strategy and advisory, commerce consulting, and retail trends analysis services; UX and Web design services for digital transformation; loyalty program services; CRM solutions; product information management solutions that allows businesses to collect, enrich, and activate product data to ensure accuracy; master data management solutions It also provides e-commerce technology solutions, including Avensia Nitro, a packaged e-commerce platform; Avensia Excite, a modular e-commerce platform; B2B and D2C e-commerce solutions for businesses; online sales optimization; order management systems. In addition, the company offers omnichannel technology solution, such as in-store checkout and display solutions; and data and analytics, online sales optimization, and web experimentation services, as well as AI strategy consulting services for e-commerce. Further, it serves beauty and fashion, interior design, sports and outdoor, consumer goods, food and beverage, and construction sectors. The company was formerly known as InXL Innovation AB (publ) and changed its name to Avensia AB (publ) in June 2015. Avensia AB (publ) was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Lund, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Avensia AB reported revenue of kr 423M in FY2025 versus kr 390M in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was kr 21.7M in FY2025, compounding +5.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +15.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $235.92 | $143.90 | -39% |
| Accenture plc ACNN | 2,460 MXN | 250.95 MXN | -90% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,156 | ₹1,457 | +26% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,204 | ₹1,230 | +2% |
| Wipro Limited WIPRO | ₹178.43 | ₹226.81 | +27% |
| Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM | ₹1,455 | ₹1,086 | -25% |
| Samsung SDS Co 018260 | 199,300 KRW | 196,390 KRW | -1% |
| Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT | ₹5,059 | ₹2,364 | -53% |
| Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 | 393,000 KRW | 133,088 KRW | -66% |
| Coforge Limited COFORGE | ₹1,541 | ₹702.84 | -54% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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