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Data-driven stock valuation

Avita Medical Inc (AVH) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Avita Medical Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Healthcare · AU · Market cap A$190M (≈ $137M) · ISIN AU000000AVH4

At a glance

AM Avita Medical Inc AVH · AU
PriceA$2.83
Fair ValueA$1.44
Upside−49.2%
Quality37/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 97% above our fair value of A$1.44.

As of Jun 23, 2026, the fair value of Avita Medical Inc is A$1.44 per share against a price of A$2.83, so the fair value sits 49% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +29.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -62.7% net margin
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 20 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range A$1.07 to A$1.79

Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 77 days ago

Share price +39.4% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$1.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$6.14 A$1.01 Fair Value A$1.44 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$1.01 – A$6.14 · fair‑value band A$1.07 – A$1.79 · the A$2.83 price screens above the A$1.44 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Avita Medical Inc (AVH) currently trades at A$2.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.44, implying the stock looks roughly 97.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 85/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Avita Medical Inc generated revenue of A$72.3M at a net margin of −62.7%. Revenue grew 4.0% year over year. Net debt stands at A$38.0M. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026

Scenario range: A$1.07 (bear) to A$1.79 (bull), the price of A$2.83 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 183% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −49%, AVH screens richer than that median.

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 2.47 TTM
EPS (TTM) A$−0.4400
Net margin −67.8% FY2025
Return on equity −1,746% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −51.9% avg 5y
Operating margin −45.7% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) A$72.3M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.0% 3y avg +17.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −A$33.3M FY2025
Net debt A$38.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 23
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

AVITA Medical, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a therapeutic acute wound care company in the United States, Japan, the European Union, Australia, and the United Kingdom.

Full company description

AVITA Medical, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a therapeutic acute wound care company in the United States, Japan, the European Union, Australia, and the United Kingdom. The company's lead product is the RECELL System, a cell harvesting device used for the treatment of thermal burn wounds and full-thickness skin defects, as well as for repigmentation of stable depigmented vitiligo lesions. It also provides RECALL autologous cell harvesting device, which can treat areas of up to 1,920 cm2; RECELL autologous cell harvesting device with ease-of-use, an enhanced ease-of-use device that can treat areas of up to 1,920 cm²; and RECELL GO mini autologous cell harvesting device, a line extension of the RECELL GO system to treat smaller wounds up to 480 cm2, as well as RECELL GO autologous cell harvesting device consisting of RECELL GO processing device, which controls and manages the pressure applied to disaggregate the donor skin cells and controls the incubation time of the RECELL Enzyme to optimize cell yield and promote cell viability; and RECELL GO preparation kit, which can treat areas up to 1,920 cm2. In addition, the company sells and distributes PermeaDerm, a biosynthetic wound matrix and Cohealyx, a collagen-based dermal matrix. It serves hospitals, treatment centers, and distributors. The company was formerly known as AVITA Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to AVITA Medical, Inc. in December 2020. AVITA Medical, Inc. is headquartered in Valencia, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Avita Medical Inc reported revenue of $74.1M in FY2025 versus $14.3M in FY2021, a compound +51.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$50.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$74.1M
Latest YoY
+15.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (27Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.7%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−299.2% (2020) → −58.6% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +51.0%/yr
FY21 $14.3M
FY22 $45.5M
FY23 $50.1M
FY24 $64.3M
FY25 $74.1M
Net income
FY21 −$42.0M
FY22 −$34.6M
FY23 −$35.4M
FY24 −$61.8M
FY25 −$50.3M

AVH screens 97% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Avita Medical Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AVH

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 353 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −19% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −41% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −63% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −46% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 1.89× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.78× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE20 · sector 31
PAST0 · sector 4
HEALTH100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND0 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $108.33 $74.79 −31%
Stryker Corporation SYK $303.13 $186.28 −39%
Medtronic plc MDT $94.17 $65.57 −30%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $47.80 $30.73 −36%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $89.78 $41.02 −54%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €39.00 €33.87 −13%
DexCom, Inc DXCM $87.90 $38.95 −56%
GE HealthCare Technologies Inc GEHC $74.82 $64.13 −14%
Koninklijke Philips N.V PHIA €23.69 €14.36 −39%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥150.63 ¥147.63 −2%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Avita Medical Inc (AVH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$1.44 versus a price of A$2.83, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AVH?
Our model-based fair value for Avita Medical Inc is A$1.44 (as of Jun 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$2.83.
What is the quality score of AVH?
Avita Medical Inc has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Avita Medical Inc (AVH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$1.44 (as of Jun 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$1.07, optimistic scenario A$1.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Avita Medical Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$1.44, about −49% upside versus a price of A$2.83 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$1.07, optimistic scenario A$1.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Avita Medical Inc (AVH)?
Avita Medical Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$72.3M (latest available figure, as of Jun 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AVH?
The net profit margin of Avita Medical Inc is about −62.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
What is the intrinsic value of Avita Medical Inc (AVH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Avita Medical Inc it is A$1.44 per share (as of Jun 23, 2026), against a price of A$2.83. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Avita Medical Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 23, 2026, AVH trades above its calculated fair value: price A$2.83, fair value A$1.44, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$2.83); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$1.44). For Avita Medical Inc the two are A$1.39 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Avita Medical Inc worth?
The market values Avita Medical Inc at about A$190M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 23, 2026). Per share that is A$2.83; our models calculate a fair value of A$1.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVH?
Our models span a range for Avita Medical Inc: cautious scenario A$1.07, base A$1.44, optimistic A$1.79 per share (as of Jun 23, 2026, price A$2.83). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of AVH?
The PEG ratio of Avita Medical Inc is 0.78 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Jun 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How far is AVH from its 52-week high?
Avita Medical Inc trades at A$2.83, about 43% below its 52-week high of A$1.98 and 183% above the low of A$1.00 (as of Jun 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$1.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Avita Medical Inc?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Abbott Laboratories,, Stryker Corporation, Medtronic plc, Boston Scientific Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Avita Medical Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 23, 2026: price A$2.83, calculated fair value A$1.44 (−49%), Quality Score 37/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVH calculated?
We run Avita Medical Inc through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$1.44, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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