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Avanos Medical, Inc (AVNS) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.2B

AM Avanos Medical, Inc logo Avanos Medical, Inc AVNS · US
Price$24.99
Fair Value$8.72
Upside-65.1%
Quality58/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -10.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: Medium Range $6.76 – $11.03 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price +0.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 65% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($11.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$45.46 $9.89 Fair Value $8.72 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $9.89 – $45.46 · fair‑value band $6.76 – $11.03 · the $24.99 price screens above the $8.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Avanos Medical, Inc (AVNS) currently trades at $24.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.72, implying the stock looks roughly 65.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Avanos Medical, Inc generated revenue of $716M at a net margin of -10.4%. Revenue grew 8.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.2%. Net debt stands at $39.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.76 (bear case) to $11.03 (bull case); at $24.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 169% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -65%, AVNS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $7.70 $9.85 $13.18 80
Rev-Margin DCF $7.58 $11.14 $15.52 74
Gordon GGM $0.2800 $0.3000 $0.3400 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $7.46 $9.72 $13.53 38
5Y Revenue Exit $7.58 $10.95 $15.83 39
10Y Revenue Exit $7.29 $9.62 $12.10 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.2800 $0.3000 $0.3400 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.2800 $0.3400 $0.4000 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue $8.36 $11.95 $15.54 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.31 $11.13 $16.61 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $7.70 $9.85 $13.18 80
Rev-Margin DCF $7.58 $11.14 $15.52 74

Widest divergence: Multiples ($11.95) versus Dividend Discount ($0.3000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $716M
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.8%
Net margin -10.4%
Return on equity -9.2%
Free cash flow $43.1M FY2025
Operating margin 5.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.60
EPS growth (YoY) -21.7%
Net debt $39.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 9
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 84
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 99
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Avanos Medical, Inc., a medical technology company, provides medical device solutions in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. It offers digestive health products, such as Mic-Key enteral feeding tubes, Corpak patient feeding solutions, and NeoMed neonatal and pediatric feeding solutions.

Full company description

Avanos Medical, Inc., a medical technology company, provides medical device solutions in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. It offers digestive health products, such as Mic-Key enteral feeding tubes, Corpak patient feeding solutions, and NeoMed neonatal and pediatric feeding solutions. The company also provides non-opioid pain solutions, including surgical pain and recovery products, which comprise ON-Q and ambIT surgical pain pump, Game Ready cold, and compression therapy systems. In addition, it offers interventional pain solutions, which provide minimally invasive pain-relieving therapies, such as COOLIEF chronic pain products; and Trident and Esentec RFA radiofrequency ablation products to treat chronic pain conditions. The company markets its products directly to hospitals and other healthcare providers, healthcare facilities, and other end-user customers, as well as through third-party wholesale distributors. Avanos Medical, Inc. was formerly known as Halyard Health, Inc. and changed its name to Avanos Medical, Inc. in June 2018. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Alpharetta, Georgia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Avanos Medical, Inc reported revenue of $701M in FY2025 versus $745M in FY2021, a compound −1.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$67.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 28/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$701M
Latest YoY
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
−6.0%
Revenue −1.5%/yr
FY21 $745M
FY22 $684M
FY23 $673M
FY24 $688M
FY25 $701M
Net income
FY21 $6.3M
FY22 $50.5M
FY23 −$61.8M
FY24 −$392M
FY25 −$67.9M

AVNS screens 65% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Avanos Medical, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AVNS

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 351 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.50× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.63× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 27.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 20.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 44 · sector 27
PAST 0 · sector 8
HEALTH 94 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $100.68 $74.79 -26%
Stryker Corporation SYK $316.44 $186.28 -41%
Medtronic plc MDT $83.56 $65.57 -22%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $43.04 $38.44 -11%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $85.73 $41.02 -52%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €34.59 €33.87 -2%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥149.43 ¥147.63 -1%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥109.00 ¥43.60 -60%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 276.60 kr 161.17 -42%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 206.80 kr 192.14 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Avanos Medical, Inc (AVNS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.72 versus a price of $24.99, about −65% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AVNS?
Our model-based fair value for Avanos Medical, Inc is $8.72 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $24.99.
What is the quality score of AVNS?
Avanos Medical, Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Avanos Medical, Inc (AVNS)?
Avanos Medical, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $716M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AVNS?
The net profit margin of Avanos Medical, Inc is about -10.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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