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AXL (AXL) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · Market cap A$10.6M

A AXL AXL · AU
PriceA$0.0540
Fair ValueA$0.0518
Upside-4.0%
Quality18/100
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Evidence: Low Range A$0.0410 – A$0.0572

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from A$0.0900 to A$0.0518 (−42.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −15.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$0.1254 A$0.0473 Fair Value A$0.0518 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range A$0.0473 – A$0.1254 · fair‑value band A$0.0410 – A$0.0572 · the A$0.0540 price screens above the A$0.0518 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

AXL (AXL) currently trades at A$0.0540, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0518 — implying the stock looks roughly 4.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$424K. It earns a return on equity of -37.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$9.8M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$424K
Revenue growth (YoY) +4,525%
Return on equity -37.2%
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0200
Net cash A$9.8M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

AXL reported revenue of A$0 in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2023. Reported net income was −A$3.2M in FY2025.

Revenue
FY23 A$0
FY24 A$0
FY25 A$0
Net income
FY23 −A$17.0K
FY24 −A$2.3M
FY25 −A$3.2M

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Similar stocks

6 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

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BHP Group BHP $82.25 $60.26 -27%
Rio Tinto Group RTNTF $129.57 $76.59 -41%
RIO RIO A$184.58 A$454.52 +146%
Grupo México, S.A. GMBXF $11.89 $9.58 -19%
CMOC Group CMCLY $148.88 $119.76 -20%
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Frequently asked questions

Is AXL (AXL) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0518 versus a price of A$0.0540 — about −4% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AXL?
Our model-based fair value for AXL is A$0.0518 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0540.
What is the quality score of AXL?
AXL has a Quality Score of 18/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of AXL (AXL)?
AXL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$424K (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AXL?
The net profit margin of AXL is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.