Bridger Aerospace Group (BAER) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $111M
Bridger Aerospace Group
BAER · US
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price −23.1% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $1.49 – $3.14 · fair‑value band $1.08 – $1.80 · the $1.73 price screens above the $1.44 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Bridger Aerospace Group (BAER) currently trades at $1.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.44 — implying the stock looks roughly 16.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Bridger Aerospace Group generated revenue of $116M at a net margin of -10.1%. Revenue declined 45.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -31.6%. Net debt stands at $213M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. provides aerial wildfire surveillance, relief and suppression, and aerial firefighting services in the United States. The company offers fire suppression services, such as aerial firefighting support for ground crews by operating the Viking CL-415EAF (Super Scooper) aircraft to drop water as part of the initial and direct attack to slow, contain, and extinguish wildfires. It also provides aerial surveillance services via manned (Air Attack) aircraft for fire suppression over an incident and providing tactical coordination with the incident commander, and decision-makers rapid, current intelligence from useful aerial vantage points, giving access to information to support ground firefighters and safety for the public. In addition, the company offers maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) that provides maintenance and repair services for return-to-service upgrades of the Spanish scoopers, as well as airframe modification and integration solution…
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bridger Aerospace Group reported revenue of $123M in FY2025 versus $39.4M in FY2021, a compound +32.9%/yr. Reported net income was $4.1M in FY2025.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.