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Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Beijing North Star Company $0.13, price $0.10, upside +26.0%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Beijing North Star Company
BEIJF · USUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value $0.1260 · Undervalued (+26.0%)
!Quality 51/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −19.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -46.3% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0726 – $0.2889 · fair‑value band $0.0990 – $0.1800 · the $0.1000 price screens below the $0.1260 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Beijing North Star Company Limited engages in real estate development, property leasing, and hotel and property management in the People's Republic of China. It operates through the Real Estate Development; Convention and Exhibition and Commercial Properties; and Other segments.
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Beijing North Star Company Limited engages in real estate development, property leasing, and hotel and property management in the People's Republic of China. It operates through the Real Estate Development; Convention and Exhibition and Commercial Properties; and Other segments. The company is involved in the development and sale of residential properties; trading activities; multimedia information network development, system integration, and software development; and operation of rental apartments, office buildings, conference centers, and hotels. It also provides convention and exhibition services; hotel services; commercial and property management services; and hotel and restaurant management consulting services. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF) currently trades at $0.1000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1260, implying the stock looks roughly 20.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $0.3200 per share, and 6 of the 8 models we run sit above the $0.1000 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $0.0800, and 2 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $0.0990 (bear) to $0.1800 (bull), the price of $0.1000 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Beijing North Star Company reported revenue of 6.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 22.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound −27.6%/yr. Reported net income was −3.0B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $416M · P/S ratio 0.07 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1200 · Net margin −49.3% · Return on equity −30.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.4% · Operating margin 6.5% · Revenue (TTM) 6.1B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 26%, BEIJF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0990
Fair Value $0.1260
Bull $0.1800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.1500
$0.3100
$0.5200
77
Growth DCF
$0.1600
$0.3000
$0.4700
77
5Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
$0.0700
$0.1600
72
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.1500
$0.3100
$0.5200
77
5Y Revenue Exit
n/a
n/a
$0.0300
69
5Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
$0.0700
$0.1600
72
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.0300
$0.0800
$0.1400
63
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.0600
$0.1300
$0.2300
65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.2200
$0.3900
$0.5400
68
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.2200
$0.3200
$0.4200
67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.1000
$0.1300
$0.1900
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.1600
$0.3000
$0.4700
77
Rev-Margin DCF
n/a
n/a
$0.0600
69
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
51/100
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Profitability
2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
96
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.7% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.6% (2019) → −44.7% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−2.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.6% a year for the price.
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 | HK$107.10 | HK$155.14 | +45% |
| China Resources Land Limited 1109 | HK$28.64 | HK$71.60 | +150% |
| CK Asset Holdings 1113 | HK$45.90 | HK$71.49 | +56% |
| Hongkong Land Holdings H78 | $8.57 | $1.52 | −82% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹658.40 | ₹167.48 | −75% |
| China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 | HK$12.42 | HK$22.33 | +80% |
| Sino Land Company 0083 | HK$9.94 | HK$7.28 | −27% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,165 | ₹274.14 | −76% |
| Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 | ¥5.77 | ¥5.87 | +2% |
| China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 | ¥7.18 | ¥6.04 | −16% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1260 versus a price of $0.1000, about +26% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BEIJF?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing North Star Company is $0.1260 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.1000.
What is the quality score of BEIJF?
Beijing North Star Company has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1260 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0990, optimistic scenario $0.1800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Beijing North Star Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1260, about +26% upside versus a price of $0.1000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.0990, optimistic scenario $0.1800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF)?
Beijing North Star Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Beijing North Star Company would have to grow free cash flow by -2.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -19.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BEIJF use?
Our models discount Beijing North Star Company at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.59, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Beijing North Star Company that is -2.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Beijing North Star Company grew -19.6 % a year. The price currently implies -2.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Beijing North Star Company (-2.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 48.44 %: that much free cash flow Beijing North Star Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Beijing North Star Company it is $0.1260 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.1000. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Beijing North Star Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BEIJF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.1000, fair value $0.1260, a gap of about +26% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BEIJF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1260). For Beijing North Star Company the two are $0.0260 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Beijing North Star Company worth?
The market values Beijing North Star Company at about $416M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.1000; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1260 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BEIJF?
Our models span a range for Beijing North Star Company: cautious scenario $0.0990, base $0.1260, optimistic $0.1800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.1000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is BEIJF from its 52-week high?
Beijing North Star Company trades at $0.1000, about 3% below its 52-week high of $0.1030 and 25% above the low of $0.0800 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1260 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Beijing North Star Company?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Beijing North Star Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.1000, calculated fair value $0.1260 (+26%), Quality Score 51/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BEIJF calculated?
We run Beijing North Star Company through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1260, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Beijing North Star Company currently trades 21 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.1000. Our model-based fair value is $0.1260, about +26% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Beijing North Star Company right now?
Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($0.0990 to $0.1800) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Beijing North Star Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF)?
The market capitalisation of Beijing North Star Company is $416M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Beijing North Star Company is 0.07 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF)?
Earnings per share at Beijing North Star Company are $−0.1200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF)?
The net margin of Beijing North Star Company is −49.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Beijing North Star Company is −30.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Beijing North Star Company is −1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF)?
The operating margin of Beijing North Star Company is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF)?
Revenue at Beijing North Star Company is growing +7.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Beijing North Star Company (BEIJF) carry?
The net debt of Beijing North Star Company is 8.6B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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