Lodha Developers Limited (LODHA) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · IN · Market cap ₹1.2T
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price +10.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹729.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹316.18 to ₹729.28) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹231.15 – ₹1,587 · fair‑value band ₹316.18 – ₹729.28 · the ₹1,214 price screens above the ₹583.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Lodha Developers Limited (LODHA) currently trades at ₹1,214, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹583.43, implying the stock looks roughly 51.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Lodha Developers Limited generated revenue of ₹167B at a net margin of 20.6%. Revenue grew 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.7%. Net debt stands at ₹63.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹316.18 (bear case) to ₹729.28 (bull case); at ₹1,214, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -52%, LODHA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹782.00) versus Growth DCF (₹14.58). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lodha Developers Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the development of real estate properties in India. The company is involved in the construction and development of residential, office, and retail properties, as well as leasing of retail and office spaces.
Full company description
Lodha Developers Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the development of real estate properties in India. The company is involved in the construction and development of residential, office, and retail properties, as well as leasing of retail and office spaces. It also develops warehousing, logistics, light industrial facilities, and digital infrastructure parks. It develops properties under the LODHA, LODHA LUXURY, and PALAVA brand names. The company was formerly known as Macrotech Developers Limited and changed its name to Lodha Developers Limited in June 2025. Lodha Developers Limited was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Lodha Developers Limited reported revenue of ₹167B in FY2026 versus ₹92.3B in FY2022, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹34.3B in FY2026, compounding +29.9%/yr from FY2022.
LODHA screens 52% overvalued. Compare with Vinhomes Joint Stock Company →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 592 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM | 147,000 VND | 147,415 VND | +0% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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