Vinhomes Joint Stock Company (VHM) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · VN · Market cap 604T VND
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from 109,431 VND to 147,415 VND (+34.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −48.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 91% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (90,363 VND). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (90,363 VND to 326,731 VND). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 33,222 VND – 157,926 VND · fair‑value band 90,363 VND – 326,731 VND · the 77,100 VND price screens below the 147,415 VND fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company (VHM) currently trades at 77,100 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 147,415 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 91.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company generated revenue of 203T VND at a net margin of 32.0%. It earns a return on equity of 26.7%. Net debt stands at 96.3T VND. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 26.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 90,363 VND (bear case) to 326,731 VND (bull case); at 77,100 VND, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 91%, VHM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (358,594 VND) versus Dividend Discount (4,734 VND). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company develops and sells real estate properties in Vietnam. The company also leases office properties. In addition, it provides real estate management and related services; general contractor; consulting and designing construction; and supervision and construction management services.
Full company description
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company develops and sells real estate properties in Vietnam. The company also leases office properties. In addition, it provides real estate management and related services; general contractor; consulting and designing construction; and supervision and construction management services. The company was formerly known as Hanoi Southern City Development Joint Stock Company and changed its name to Vinhomes Joint Stock Company in February 2018. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Hanoi, Vietnam. Vinhomes Joint Stock Company operates as a subsidiary of Vingroup Joint Stock Company.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company reported revenue of 153T VND in FY2025 versus 85.0T VND in FY2021, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was 41.9T VND in FY2025, compounding +1.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 592 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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