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Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Bell Equipment Limited $5.20, price $2.35, upside +121.3%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Bell Equipment Limited
BLLQF · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value $5.20 · Strongly undervalued (+121.3%)
✓Quality 63/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +10.8 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -1.5% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 3.4%
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.3273 – $2.59 · fair‑value band $3.90 – $6.50 · the $2.35 price screens below the $5.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Bell Equipment Limited designs, manufactures, exports, distributes, and supports a range of heavy equipment for the mining and quarrying, construction, forestry, agriculture, and industry sectors in South Africa, Rest of Africa, and Europe.
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Bell Equipment Limited designs, manufactures, exports, distributes, and supports a range of heavy equipment for the mining and quarrying, construction, forestry, agriculture, and industry sectors in South Africa, Rest of Africa, and Europe. It operates through two segments, Manufacturing, Assembly, Logistics and Dealer Sales Operations and Direct Sales Operations. The company offers articulated dump trucks (ADT), water tankers, motor graders, tracked carriers, and articulated haulers; backhoe, skid steer, and wheel loaders; compaction; excavators, telehandlers, and rough terrain forklifts; and crushers, screeners, and conveyors for the mining and construction industries. It also provides forklifts and versalifts, haulage tractors, loggers and cane loaders, logpro and canepro, skoggers, slew loaders, and timber trucks; telecopic wheel loaders and loadalls; and attachments comprising cross-cut grapples, felling and harvesting heads, pickaroons, and stem and timber grapples for the forestry and agriculture industries. In addition, the company offers aftermarket products and services; spare parts, lubricants, and service kits; apprentice, operator, and technical training services; care packages and extended cover; product support services; and Fleetm@tic, a fleet management tool. It sells its products under the BELL, JCB, KOBELCO, and FINLAY brands through a network of customer service centers and independent dealers. The company was founded in 1954 and is based in Richards Bay, South Africa. Bell Equipment Limited is a subsidiary of I A Bell and Company (Pty) Limited.
Stock analysis
Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF) currently trades at $2.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.20, implying the stock looks roughly 54.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $6.69 per share, and 22 of the 24 models we run sit above the $2.35 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $2.15, and 2 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $3.90 (bear) to $6.50 (bull), the price of $2.35 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Bell Equipment Limited reported revenue of 11.2B ZAR in FY2025 versus 8.0B ZAR in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was 384M ZAR in FY2025, compounding +7.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $225M · P/E ratio 10.2 · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) $0.2300 · Net margin 3.4% · Return on equity 6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.0% · Operating margin 5.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 85% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 121%, BLLQF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.90
Fair Value $5.20
Bull $6.50
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1739 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$5.68
$8.27
$11.72
80
Growth DCF
$5.64
$7.98
$10.92
79
Owner Earnings
$3.23
$4.66
$6.56
77
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$5.68
$8.27
$11.72
80
Owner Earnings
$3.23
$4.66
$6.56
77
5Y Revenue Exit
$4.36
$6.43
$9.04
73
5Y EBITDA Exit
$5.14
$7.96
$11.28
75
5Y P/E Exit
$4.48
$6.67
$8.99
71
10Y Revenue Exit
$4.79
$6.69
$9.25
67
10Y EBITDA Exit
$5.30
$7.62
$10.76
68
10Y P/E Exit
$4.93
$6.83
$9.21
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$1.64
$6.21
$8.40
64
Lynch FV
$1.50
$2.15
$2.79
61
PEG = 1.0
$1.50
$2.15
$2.79
57
EPV
$2.57
$2.85
$3.08
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$3.80
$5.07
$6.34
63
P/S Multiple
$3.08
$4.10
$5.13
58
P/B Multiple
$3.08
$4.10
$5.13
55
EV/EBIT
$4.87
$6.43
$7.98
66
EV/EBITDA
$5.31
$7.01
$8.71
67
EV/Revenue
$3.54
$4.97
$6.39
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$1.82
$2.43
$3.63
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$5.64
$7.98
$10.92
79
Rev-Margin DCF
$4.36
$6.47
$9.05
73
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$2.62
$2.62
$2.78
76
ROIC Compounder
$2.57
$2.85
$3.08
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$2.75
$3.94
$5.12
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
63/100
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Profitability
49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.6% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.8%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in ZAR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in ZAR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+16.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 5%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−17.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in ZAR, South Africa: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −20.1% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 145 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $810.79 | $308.45 | −62% |
| Deere & Company DE | $671.55 | $258.17 | −62% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $109.81 | $120.79 | +10% |
| Daimler Truck Holding DTG | €42.54 | €50.36 | +18% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥17.20 | ¥20.84 | +21% |
| CNH Industrial N.V CNH | $13.06 | $8.65 | −34% |
| Traton SE 8TRA | €34.04 | €32.82 | −4% |
| Metso Oyj METSO | €17.08 | €18.79 | +10% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥7.17 | ¥14.52 | +103% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$35.30 | HK$56.32 | +60% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.20 versus a price of $2.35, about +121% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BLLQF?
Our model-based fair value for Bell Equipment Limited is $5.20 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.35.
What is the quality score of BLLQF?
Bell Equipment Limited has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.20 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.90, optimistic scenario $6.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bell Equipment Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.20, about +121% upside versus a price of $2.35 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $3.90, optimistic scenario $6.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF)?
Bell Equipment Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.2B ZAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bell Equipment Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -17.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BLLQF use?
Our models discount Bell Equipment Limited at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.14, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bell Equipment Limited that is -17.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bell Equipment Limited grew +10.8 % a year. The price currently implies -17.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bell Equipment Limited (-17.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 24.84 %: that much free cash flow Bell Equipment Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bell Equipment Limited it is $5.20 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $2.35. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bell Equipment Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BLLQF trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.35, fair value $5.20, a gap of about +121% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BLLQF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.20). For Bell Equipment Limited the two are $2.85 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bell Equipment Limited worth?
The market values Bell Equipment Limited at about $225M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $2.35; our models calculate a fair value of $5.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BLLQF?
Our models span a range for Bell Equipment Limited: cautious scenario $3.90, base $5.20, optimistic $6.50 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $2.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BLLQF?
Bell Equipment Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $5.20 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 0.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bell Equipment Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.5%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BLLQF from its 52-week high?
Bell Equipment Limited trades at $2.35, about 9% below its 52-week high of $2.59 and 85% above the low of $1.27 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bell Equipment Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Daimler Truck Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bell Equipment Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $2.35, calculated fair value $5.20 (+121%), Quality Score 63/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BLLQF calculated?
We run Bell Equipment Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Bell Equipment Limited currently trades 55 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $2.35. Our model-based fair value is $5.20, about +121% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bell Equipment Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.90). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Bell Equipment Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF)?
The market capitalisation of Bell Equipment Limited is $225M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bell Equipment Limited is 0.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF)?
Earnings per share at Bell Equipment Limited are $0.2300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF)?
The net margin of Bell Equipment Limited is 3.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bell Equipment Limited is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bell Equipment Limited is 8.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF)?
The operating margin of Bell Equipment Limited is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF)?
Revenue at Bell Equipment Limited is growing −5.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF)?
Earnings per share at Bell Equipment Limited are growing +38.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Bell Equipment Limited (BLLQF) carry?
The net debt of Bell Equipment Limited is 609M ZAR (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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