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B3 S.A (BOLSY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of B3 S.A $5.82, price $10.79, upside -46.1%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Some data
Oct 3, 2026
B3 S.A
BOLSY · USStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $5.82 · Strongly overvalued (−46.1%)
✓Quality 60/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.4 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 47.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!2.9% dividend yield · Watch coverage
✓Wide moat 86/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.80 – $11.91 · fair‑value band $2.41 – $8.38 · the $10.79 price screens above the $5.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
B3 S.A. - Brasil, Bolsa, Balcão, a financial market infrastructure company, provides trading services in an exchange and OTC environment. It operates through Markets, Data analytics solutions, Capital Market solutions, and Technology and platform segments.
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B3 S.A. - Brasil, Bolsa, Balcão, a financial market infrastructure company, provides trading services in an exchange and OTC environment. It operates through Markets, Data analytics solutions, Capital Market solutions, and Technology and platform segments. The company organized markets for securities, such as equities, financial contracts, indices, rates, currencies, energy, transportation, commodities, and spot and future settlement transactions. It also provides technological solutions for insurance, reinsurance, pension, and capitalization bond markets; data processing and analytics services, including standardization, quotations, and statistics; supports credit, financing, and leasing transactions in automotive, real estate, energy, and agribusiness sectors; and operates trading systems and clearinghouses. In addition, the company organized an over-the-counter market, and acts as a clearing ang settlement house. The company was formerly known as BM&FBOVESPA S.A. - Bolsa de Valores, Mercadorias e Futuros and changed its name to B3 S.A. - Brasil, Bolsa, Balcão in June 2017. B3 S.A. - Brasil, Bolsa, Balcão was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
Stock analysis
B3 S.A (BOLSY) currently trades at $10.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.82, 46.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of $5.54 per share, and 2 of the 13 models we run sit above the $10.79 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.34, and 11 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $2.41 (bear) to $8.38 (bull), the price of $10.79 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
B3 S.A reported revenue of R$10.1B in FY2025 versus R$9.1B in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was R$4.5B in FY2025, compounding −1.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $18.7B · P/E ratio 20.0 · P/S ratio 8.92 · EPS (TTM) $0.5400 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 44.7% · Return on equity 26.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −46%, BOLSY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.41
Fair Value $5.82
Bull $8.38
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1754 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings
$6.99
$13.33
$24.05
73
Residual Income
$3.14
$4.30
$8.30
72
Growth DCF
$0.3900
$1.67
$3.81
70
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
$6.99
$13.33
$24.05
73
5Y P/E Exit
$2.26
$5.53
$9.23
68
10Y P/E Exit
$1.61
$4.33
$8.16
60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$3.51
$15.12
$20.66
64
Lynch FV
$3.88
$5.54
$7.20
61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$1.49
$3.10
$4.92
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$1.49
$2.62
$3.26
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$5.03
$6.70
$8.38
63
P/B Multiple
$2.10
$2.80
$3.50
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$1.00
$1.34
$2.00
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.3900
$1.67
$3.81
70
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.2300
$1.40
$2.88
66
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$3.14
$4.30
$8.30
72
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
60/100
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Profitability
56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.3% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
’14
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’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
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’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in BRL ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+7.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.0% vs 12.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.70% → 65%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+75.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+8.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in BRL, Brazil: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 5.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +69.8% a year for the price and +5.0% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+14.4%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+8.1%
Projected 2028 (sales)+7.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+6.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.8%
BOLSY screens overvalued: fair value 46% below the price. Compare with S&P Global Inc →
Compare B3 S.A with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Financial Data & Stock Exchanges · 52 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Financial Data & Stock Exchanges median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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| Intercontinental Exchange, Inc ICE | $152.03 | $138.87 | −9% |
| Moody's Corporation MCO | $460.08 | $198.41 | −57% |
| Deutsche Börse AG DB1 | €287.30 | €226.86 | −21% |
| Coinbase Global, Inc COIN | $189.29 | $185.08 | −2% |
| Nasdaq, Inc NDAQ | $91.85 | $41.61 | −55% |
| MSCI Inc MSCI | $539.76 | $262.25 | −51% |
| Cboe Global Markets, Inc CBOE | $253.26 | $247.55 | −2% |
| Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network Co 300033 | ¥204.10 | ¥135.82 | −33% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is B3 S.A (BOLSY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.82 versus a price of $10.79, about −46% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BOLSY?
Our model-based fair value for B3 S.A is $5.82 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.79.
What is the quality score of BOLSY?
B3 S.A has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for B3 S.A (BOLSY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.82 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.41, optimistic scenario $8.38. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the B3 S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.82, about −46% upside versus a price of $10.79 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.41, optimistic scenario $8.38. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of B3 S.A (BOLSY)?
B3 S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$10.6B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does B3 S.A pay a dividend?
B3 S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.85% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into B3 S.A (BOLSY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, B3 S.A would have to grow free cash flow by +75.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.4 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BOLSY use?
Our models discount B3 S.A at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.15, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For B3 S.A that is +75.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has B3 S.A (BOLSY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at B3 S.A grew +4.4 % a year. The price currently implies +75.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of B3 S.A (BOLSY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into B3 S.A (+75.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of B3 S.A (BOLSY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.16 %: that much free cash flow B3 S.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of B3 S.A (BOLSY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For B3 S.A it is $5.82 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $10.79. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is B3 S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, BOLSY trades above its calculated fair value: price $10.79, fair value $5.82, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BOLSY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($10.79); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.82). For B3 S.A the two are $4.97 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is B3 S.A worth?
The market values B3 S.A at about $18.7B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $10.79; our models calculate a fair value of $5.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BOLSY?
Our models span a range for B3 S.A: cautious scenario $2.41, base $5.82, optimistic $8.38 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $10.79). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BOLSY?
B3 S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.0 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $5.82 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of B3 S.A (BOLSY)?
Balance-sheet figures for B3 S.A (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 26.7%, debt of 0.81 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BOLSY from its 52-week high?
B3 S.A trades at $10.79, about 9% below its 52-week high of $11.91 and 75% above the low of $6.18 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to B3 S.A?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value S&P Global Inc, CME Group, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc, Moody's Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is B3 S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $10.79, calculated fair value $5.82 (−46%), Quality Score 60/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BOLSY calculated?
We run B3 S.A through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.82, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. B3 S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of B3 S.A (BOLSY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $10.79. Our model-based fair value is $5.82, about −46% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with B3 S.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($2.41 to $8.38). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of B3 S.A (BOLSY) come from?
Earnings per share at B3 S.A grew +12.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +17.5 %, EBIT margin +1.1 %, tax rate −1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of B3 S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of B3 S.A (BOLSY)?
The market capitalisation of B3 S.A is $18.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of B3 S.A (BOLSY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of B3 S.A is 8.92 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of B3 S.A (BOLSY)?
Earnings per share at B3 S.A are $0.5400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of B3 S.A (BOLSY)?
The dividend yield of B3 S.A is 2.9% (payout 57.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of B3 S.A (BOLSY)?
The net margin of B3 S.A is 44.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of B3 S.A (BOLSY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of B3 S.A is 26.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of B3 S.A (BOLSY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of B3 S.A is 12.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of B3 S.A (BOLSY)?
The operating margin of B3 S.A is 67.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at B3 S.A (BOLSY)?
Revenue at B3 S.A is growing +20.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at B3 S.A (BOLSY)?
Earnings per share at B3 S.A are growing +38.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does B3 S.A (BOLSY) carry?
The net debt of B3 S.A is R$13.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 84.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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