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Blaize Holdings (BZAIW) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of Blaize Holdings $0.08, price $0.04, upside +114.2%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

US · ISIN US0929151159

BH Blaize Holdings logo Thin data Oct 11, 2026

Blaize Holdings

BZAIW · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

Fair value $0.0814 · Strongly undervalued (+114.2%)
Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +115.9 %/yr in USD)
Quality 28/100
Loss-making · -160.9% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 3/100
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$1.41 $0.0352 Fair Value $0.0814 Jan 2025 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

21‑month range $0.0352 – $1.41 · fair‑value band $0.0620 – $0.0976 · the $0.0380 price screens below the $0.0814 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 11, 2026.

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Company profile

Blaize Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled edge computing solutions.

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Blaize Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled edge computing solutions. Its portfolio includes programmable AI processors in a broad range of form factors, deployable across several verticals, including smart city, defense, retail and enterprise markets; and AI computing platforms that enable applications, such as computer vision, advanced video analytics, and AI inference, as well as software tools that allows non-expert practitioners to deploy AI applications on its hardware without the need to learn or use source code. The company also offers the GSP, an AI computing accelerator for computer vision, machine learning, and AI applications; compute cards, such as peripheral component interconnected express card and other cards; software development kit; Blaize AI Studio, a visual no-code or low-code environment intended to simplify the creation and deployment of AI models; and strategic consulting services. The company has a strategic collaboration with Winmate Inc. for the development of rugged edge AI solutions for industrial and mission-critical operations. Blaize Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in El Dorado Hills, California.

Stock analysis

Blaize Holdings (BZAIW) currently trades at $0.0380, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0814, implying the stock looks roughly 53.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0620 (bear) to $0.0976 (bull), the price of $0.0380 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality).

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Blaize Holdings reported revenue of $38.6M in FY2025 versus $3.8M in FY2022, a compound +115.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$207M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $6.5M · P/S ratio 0.13 · Net margin −161% · Return on equity −427% · Return on assets (EBIT) −100% · Operating margin −255% · Revenue (TTM) $50.4M · Revenue growth (YoY) +505%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 97% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0620 Fair Value $0.0814 Bull $0.0976
Price $0.0380 · Upside +114.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.1100 $0.1500 $0.2300 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1100 $0.1500 $0.2300 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2,386.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+115.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,307.4% (2022) → −237.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 0
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 0

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Blaize Holdings · Fair Value
$0.0814 +53%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Blaize Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BZAIW

Frequently asked questions

Is Blaize Holdings (BZAIW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0814 versus a price of $0.0380, about +114% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BZAIW?
Our model-based fair value for Blaize Holdings is $0.0814 (as of Oct 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0380.
What is the quality score of BZAIW?
Blaize Holdings has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Blaize Holdings (BZAIW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0814 (as of Oct 11, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0620, optimistic scenario $0.0976. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Blaize Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0814, about +114% upside versus a price of $0.0380 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.0620, optimistic scenario $0.0976. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Blaize Holdings (BZAIW)?
Blaize Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $50.4M (latest available figure, as of Oct 11, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Blaize Holdings (BZAIW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Blaize Holdings it is $0.0814 per share (as of Oct 11, 2026), against a price of $0.0380. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Blaize Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 11, 2026, BZAIW trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0380, fair value $0.0814, a gap of about +114% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BZAIW?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0380); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0814). For Blaize Holdings the two are $0.0434 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Blaize Holdings worth?
The market values Blaize Holdings at about $6.5M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 11, 2026). Per share that is $0.0380; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0814 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BZAIW?
Our models span a range for Blaize Holdings: cautious scenario $0.0620, base $0.0814, optimistic $0.0976 per share (as of Oct 11, 2026, price $0.0380). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is BZAIW from its 52-week high?
Blaize Holdings trades at $0.0380, about 97% below its 52-week high of $1.41 and 8% above the low of $0.0352 (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0814 is for.
Is Blaize Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 11, 2026: price $0.0380, calculated fair value $0.0814 (+114%), Quality Score 28/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BZAIW calculated?
We run Blaize Holdings through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0814, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Blaize Holdings currently trades 53 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Blaize Holdings (BZAIW)?
The closing price on Oct 9, 2026 was $0.0380. Our model-based fair value is $0.0814, about +114% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Blaize Holdings right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (28/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0620). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Blaize Holdings

How large is the market capitalisation of Blaize Holdings (BZAIW)?
The market capitalisation of Blaize Holdings is $6.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Blaize Holdings (BZAIW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Blaize Holdings is 0.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Blaize Holdings (BZAIW)?
The net margin of Blaize Holdings is −161% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Blaize Holdings (BZAIW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Blaize Holdings is −427% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Blaize Holdings (BZAIW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Blaize Holdings is −100% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Blaize Holdings (BZAIW)?
The operating margin of Blaize Holdings is −255% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Blaize Holdings (BZAIW)?
Revenue at Blaize Holdings is growing +505% versus a year earlier (3y avg +116%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Blaize Holdings (BZAIW) generate?
The free cash flow of Blaize Holdings is −$82.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Blaize Holdings (BZAIW) hold?
Blaize Holdings holds more cash than debt, $43.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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