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Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Canaf Investments Inc $0.97, price $0.23, upside +331.1%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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CI
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Canaf Investments Inc
CAFZF · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value $0.9700 · Strongly undervalued (+331.1%)
✓Quality 67/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +17.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 44/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0032 – $0.2600 · fair‑value band $0.6800 – $1.27 · the $0.2250 price screens below the $0.9700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Canaf Investments Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates a coal processing business in South Africa. The company processes anthracite coal into de-volatised anthracite; and provides calcined anthracite.
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Canaf Investments Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates a coal processing business in South Africa. The company processes anthracite coal into de-volatised anthracite; and provides calcined anthracite. It also acquires, redevelops, and rents real estate properties; and invests in the agriculture and food production sector, as well as offers capital for short-term financing to businesses and entrepreneurs. The company was formerly known as Canaf Group Inc. and changed its name to Canaf Investments Inc. in July 2018. Canaf Investments Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Stock analysis
Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF) currently trades at $0.2250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9700, implying the stock looks roughly 76.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $1.23 per share, and 23 of the 24 models we run sit above the $0.2250 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.1500, and 1 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.6800 (bear) to $1.27 (bull), the price of $0.2250 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Canaf Investments Inc reported revenue of C$27.7M in FY2025 versus C$14.4M in FY2021, a compound +17.7%/yr. Reported net income was C$2.4M in FY2025, compounding +34.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $10.7M · P/E ratio 7.5 · P/S ratio 0.66 · EPS (TTM) $0.0300 · Net margin 8.7% · Return on equity 16.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.9% · Operating margin 9.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at 331%, CAFZF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.6800
Fair Value $0.9700
Bull $1.27
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 11 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0277 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.9300
$1.38
$2.73
77
Growth DCF
$0.8800
$1.50
$2.67
75
5Y EBITDA Exit
$0.6000
$0.9100
$1.47
74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.9300
$1.38
$2.73
77
Owner Earnings
$0.6900
$1.36
$2.72
72
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.6500
$1.01
$1.72
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$0.6000
$0.9100
$1.47
74
5Y P/E Exit
$0.6900
$1.23
$1.93
69
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.7100
$1.25
$1.73
66
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.7000
$1.15
$1.96
66
10Y P/E Exit
$0.7600
$1.32
$2.30
61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.2400
$1.70
$2.38
63
Lynch FV
$0.5500
$0.7900
$1.02
61
PEG = 1.0
$0.5500
$0.7900
$1.02
57
EPV
$0.3800
$0.4200
$0.4500
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.4600
$0.6100
$0.7600
63
P/S Multiple
$0.4600
$0.6100
$0.7600
58
P/B Multiple
$0.4600
$0.6100
$0.7600
55
EV/EBIT
$0.5700
$0.7200
$0.8600
66
EV/EBITDA
$0.4700
$0.5800
$0.6900
67
EV/Revenue
$0.5100
$0.6700
$0.8300
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.1100
$0.1500
$0.2200
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.8800
$1.50
$2.67
75
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.6500
$1.11
$1.81
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.2300
$0.3000
$0.4800
69
ROIC Compounder
$0.4400
$0.5600
$0.7100
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.6800
$0.9600
$1.25
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
67/100
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Profitability
64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +20.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.28.9% vs 24.5%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 50% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−36.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CAD, Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −37.5% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Coking Coal · 26 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Coal
Similar stocks
10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC | $89.51 | $14.38 | −84% |
| PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR | 1,460 IDR | 1,223 IDR | −16% |
| Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 | ¥3.51 | ¥1.24 | −65% |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR | $170.29 | $49.60 | −71% |
| Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 | HK$2.75 | HK$3.76 | +37% |
| Shanxi Coking Co 600740 | ¥3.76 | ¥1.81 | −52% |
| Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 | ¥5.22 | ¥3.06 | −41% |
| Yunnan Coal & Energy Co 600792 | ¥5.04 | ¥5.91 | +17% |
| Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 | ¥2.90 | ¥1.32 | −54% |
| SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC | $9.43 | $2.80 | −70% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.9700 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.2250, about +331% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CAFZF?
Our model-based fair value for Canaf Investments Inc is $0.9700 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.2250.
What is the quality score of CAFZF?
Canaf Investments Inc has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.9700 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.6800, optimistic scenario $1.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Canaf Investments Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.9700, about +331% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.2250 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.6800, optimistic scenario $1.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF)?
Canaf Investments Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$25.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Canaf Investments Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -36.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CAFZF use?
Our models discount Canaf Investments Inc at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Canaf Investments Inc that is -36.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Canaf Investments Inc grew +15.2 % a year. The price currently implies -36.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Canaf Investments Inc (-36.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 22.39 %: that much free cash flow Canaf Investments Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Canaf Investments Inc it is $0.9700 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.2250. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Canaf Investments Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CAFZF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.2250, fair value $0.9700, a gap of about +331% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CAFZF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2250); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.9700). For Canaf Investments Inc the two are $0.7450 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Canaf Investments Inc worth?
The market values Canaf Investments Inc at about $10.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.2250; our models calculate a fair value of $0.9700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CAFZF?
Our models span a range for Canaf Investments Inc: cautious scenario $0.6800, base $0.9700, optimistic $1.27 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.2250). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CAFZF?
Canaf Investments Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.9700 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 0.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Canaf Investments Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 16.4%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CAFZF from its 52-week high?
Canaf Investments Inc trades at $0.2250, about 13% below its 52-week high of $0.2600 and at the low of $0.2250 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.9700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Canaf Investments Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Warrior Met Coal, Inc, PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk,, Shanxi Meijin Energy Co, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Canaf Investments Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.2250, calculated fair value $0.9700 (+331%), Quality Score 67/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CAFZF calculated?
We run Canaf Investments Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.9700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Canaf Investments Inc currently trades 77 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.2250. Our model-based fair value is $0.9700, about +331% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Canaf Investments Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.6800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($0.6800 to $1.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF) come from?
Earnings per share at Canaf Investments Inc grew +23.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.5 %, EBIT margin +7.9 %, tax rate +3.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Canaf Investments Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF)?
The market capitalisation of Canaf Investments Inc is $10.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Canaf Investments Inc is 0.66 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF)?
Earnings per share at Canaf Investments Inc are $0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF)?
The net margin of Canaf Investments Inc is 8.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Canaf Investments Inc is 16.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Canaf Investments Inc is 16.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF)?
The operating margin of Canaf Investments Inc is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF)?
Revenue at Canaf Investments Inc is growing −25.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF)?
Earnings per share at Canaf Investments Inc are growing −23.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Canaf Investments Inc (CAFZF) hold?
Canaf Investments Inc holds more cash than debt, C$9.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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