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Samara Asset Group (CAGPF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $241M

SA Samara Asset Group logo Samara Asset Group CAGPF · US
Price$2.49
Fair Value$0.3655
Upside-85.3%
Quality43/100
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Weak Growth
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/8)
Narrow moat 19/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.2720 – $0.4505 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −4.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 85% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.4505). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$126.09 $1.26 Fair Value $0.3655 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.26 – $126.09 · fair‑value band $0.2720 – $0.4505 · the $2.49 price screens above the $0.3655 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Samara Asset Group (CAGPF) currently trades at $2.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3655, implying the stock looks roughly 85.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $3.4M. Revenue grew 20.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.3%. Net debt stands at $49.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.2720 (bear case) to $0.4505 (bull case); at $2.49, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 72% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -85%, CAGPF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple $1.62 $2.17 $2.71 55
NCAV (Graham) $1.27 $1.71 $2.55 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple $1.62 $2.17 $2.71 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.27 $1.71 $2.55 50

Widest divergence: Multiples ($2.17) versus Asset-Based ($1.71). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.7%
Net margin -217%
Return on equity -3.3%
Free cash flow −$30.0M FY2024
Operating margin 367%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.4200
EPS growth (YoY) +16.5%
Net debt $49.2M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 82
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Samara Asset Group plc invests in digital assets and companies with blockchain-related business models. It also provides strategic advice and consultancy services. The company formerly known as Cryptology Asset Group plc and changed its name to Samara Asset Group plc in March 2023.

Full company description

Samara Asset Group plc invests in digital assets and companies with blockchain-related business models. It also provides strategic advice and consultancy services. The company formerly known as Cryptology Asset Group plc and changed its name to Samara Asset Group plc in March 2023. Samara Asset Group plc was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Sliema, Malta.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Samara Asset Group reported revenue of $10.6M in FY2024 versus $2.5M in FY2020, a compound +42.8%/yr. Reported net income was $2.0M in FY2024, compounding −33.3%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 6/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$10.6M
Latest YoY
+192.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+45.8%
Revenue +42.8%/yr
FY20 $2.5M
FY21 $13.2M
FY22 $89.7K
FY23 $3.6M
FY24 $10.6M
Net income −33.3%/yr
FY20 $10.3M
FY21 −$292K
FY22 −$6.5M
FY23 −$6.6M
FY24 $2.0M

CAGPF screens 85% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Samara Asset Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CAGPF

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 21% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.14× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.02× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 70.70× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 93 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 69

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Samara Asset Group (CAGPF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3655 versus a price of $2.49, about −85% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CAGPF?
Our model-based fair value for Samara Asset Group is $0.3655 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.49.
What is the quality score of CAGPF?
Samara Asset Group has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Samara Asset Group (CAGPF)?
Samara Asset Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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