Catella AB A (CAT-A) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Catella AB A SEK 13.40, price SEK 17.30, upside -22.5%, quality 68 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 17.30 – kr 43.55 · the kr 17.30 price screens above the kr 13.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Catella AB (publ) is a real estate investment firm. The firm together with its subsidiaries, provides property advisory and investments, and fund management services in Europe. The company operates in two segments, Corporate Finance and Asset Management.
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Catella AB (publ) is a real estate investment firm. The firm together with its subsidiaries, provides property advisory and investments, and fund management services in Europe. The company operates in two segments, Corporate Finance and Asset Management. The Corporate Finance segment offers strategic advisory, capital market-related, and transaction advisory services to real estate companies, financial institutions, property funds, and other property owners. The Asset Management segment provides property investment management, fund, and asset management services to institutional and other professional investors, as well as project management services in the early phase of property development projects. This segment also offers equity, hedge, and fixed income funds, as well as systematic funds. The company was formerly known as Scribona AB (publ) and changed its name to Catella AB (publ) in 2010. Catella AB (publ) was incorporated in 1961 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Catella AB A (CAT-A) currently trades at kr 17.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 13.40, 22.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of kr 84.43 per share, and 5 of the 10 models we run sit above the kr 17.30 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at kr 7.10, and 5 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Catella AB A reported revenue of 2.1B SEK in FY2025 versus 1.7B SEK in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was 48.0M SEK in FY2025, compounding −27.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.7B SEK (≈ $166M) · P/E ratio 9.3 · P/S ratio 0.22 · EPS (TTM) kr 2.03 · Dividend yield 5.2% · Net margin 2.3% · Return on equity −8.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −23%, CAT-A screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 13.40Fair Value kr 13.40Bull kr 13.40
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 0.8545 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.1% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−10.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−15.8% vs −14.7%, steady
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 6%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 657 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−22.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−9.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)3.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−45.9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)5.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.63× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Catella AB A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CAT-A
Frequently asked questions
Is Catella AB A (CAT-A) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 13.40 versus a price of kr 17.30, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CAT-A?
Our model-based fair value for Catella AB A is kr 13.40 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 17.30.
What is the quality score of CAT-A?
Catella AB A has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Catella AB A (CAT-A)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 13.40 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 10 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Catella AB A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 13.40, about −23% upside versus a price of kr 17.30 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Catella AB A (CAT-A)?
Catella AB A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B SEK (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Catella AB A pay a dividend?
Catella AB A currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.20% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Catella AB A (CAT-A)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Catella AB A it is kr 13.40 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of kr 17.30. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Catella AB A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, CAT-A trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 17.30, fair value kr 13.40, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CAT-A?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 17.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 13.40). For Catella AB A the two are kr 3.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Catella AB A worth?
The market values Catella AB A at about 1.7B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is kr 17.30; our models calculate a fair value of kr 13.40 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of CAT-A?
Catella AB A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.3 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 13.40 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Catella AB A (CAT-A)?
Balance-sheet figures for Catella AB A (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −8.0%, debt of 0.63 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CAT-A from its 52-week high?
Catella AB A trades at kr 17.30, about 44% below its 52-week high of kr 31.09 and at the low of kr 17.30 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 13.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Catella AB A?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Catella AB A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price kr 17.30, calculated fair value kr 13.40 (−23%), Quality Score 68/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CAT-A calculated?
We run Catella AB A through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 13.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Catella AB A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Catella AB A (CAT-A)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 17.30. Our model-based fair value is kr 13.40, about −23% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Catella AB A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 13.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Catella AB A (CAT-A) come from?
Earnings per share at Catella AB A grew −17.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.9 %, EBIT margin +0.0 %, tax rate −1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −18.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Catella AB A
How large is the market capitalisation of Catella AB A (CAT-A)?
The market capitalisation of Catella AB A is 1.7B SEK (≈ $166M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Catella AB A (CAT-A)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Catella AB A is 0.22 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Catella AB A (CAT-A)?
Earnings per share at Catella AB A are kr 2.03 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Catella AB A (CAT-A)?
The dividend yield of Catella AB A is 5.2% (payout 44.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Catella AB A (CAT-A)?
The net margin of Catella AB A is 2.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Catella AB A (CAT-A)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Catella AB A is −8.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Catella AB A (CAT-A)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Catella AB A is 6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Catella AB A (CAT-A)?
The operating margin of Catella AB A is 3.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Catella AB A (CAT-A)?
Revenue at Catella AB A is growing −45.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Catella AB A (CAT-A)?
Earnings per share at Catella AB A are growing −65.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Catella AB A (CAT-A) generate?
The free cash flow of Catella AB A is 986M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Catella AB A (CAT-A) hold?
Catella AB A holds more cash than debt, 137M SEK net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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